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24.10.2026 14:00
Bosuilstadion
Referee: W. Smet

Antwerp vs Charleroi Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 70.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
70.9%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
88.6%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Antwerp Win 22.1%
Draw 7.1%
Charleroi Win 70.9%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antwerp1.4
Charleroi1.85
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antwerp Antwerp
WWDLW
20 GF / 26 GA
Charleroi Charleroi
WLDWL
27 GF / 21 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
1.93
1.73
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
8
BTTS Yes
10
8
Over 2.5
10
5.13
Shots on Goal
5.63

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antwerp Antwerp 15 matches
Charleroi Charleroi 14 matches
Antwerp Statistic Charleroi
4 Wins 8
3 Draws 2
8 Losses 4
20 Goals For 27
26 Goals Against 21
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 1.93
1.73 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
8 BTTS Yes 10
12 Over 1.5 11
8 Over 2.5 10
4 Over 3.5 9
3 Clean Sheets 4
4 Failed To Score 0
5.13 Shots On Goal 5.63
14.88 Total Shots 17.13
4.75 Corners 5.63
48% Ball Possession 56.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Charleroi's more proactive style and Antwerp's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Charleroi. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Antwerp expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Charleroi in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Charleroi having the stronger overall control. Charleroi look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Charleroi carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 21 points while Antwerp sit 13 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Antwerp Analysis

Antwerp sit 13 with 7 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 12:20 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Michael Frey (2 goals), Snayder Porozo (2 goals), Ibrahim Salah (1 goals), with creative support from Taishi Brandon Nozawa (1 assists), Thibo Somers (1 assists), Christopher Scott (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 1 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Charleroi Analysis

Charleroi come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 21 points after 8 matches. They have recorded 7 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, with a 16:7 goal return and very strong form and are on a winning streak. In attack they lean heavily on Aurélien Scheidler (3 goals), Freddy Mbemba (3 goals), Kevin Van Den Kerkhof (2 goals), with creative support from Jakob Napoleon Romsaas (3 assists), Patrick Pflücke (3 assists), Kevin Van Den Kerkhof (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Antwerp won 5 times, Charleroi won 8 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 22:21 from Antwerp's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93%)
Predicted formations: Antwerp 4-4-2 / Charleroi 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Antwerp wins 5, draws 2, Charleroi wins 8

Standings

Pro League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 15:4 11 22
W W D W W
2 8 7 0 1 19:4 15 21
W W W W L
3 8 7 0 1 16:7 9 21
W W W L W
4 8 6 2 0 22:4 18 20
D W W W W
5 8 5 1 2 9:6 3 16
W W W D W
6 8 4 1 3 20:17 3 13
W W W W D
7 8 3 3 2 16:12 4 12
W L D D W
8 8 3 2 3 10:9 1 11
L L L W D
9 8 3 2 3 13:13 0 11
L L L W W
10 8 3 2 3 9:9 0 11
W D L L W
11 8 3 0 5 8:14 -6 9
L L W W L
12 8 2 2 4 15:16 -1 8
L L L W L
13 8 2 1 5 12:20 -8 7
L L L L L
14 8 1 3 4 9:17 -8 6
W D L L D
15 8 1 2 5 6:14 -8 5
D W D L L
16 8 1 1 6 8:18 -10 4
L L W L D
17 8 1 0 7 2:18 -16 3
L W L L L
18 8 0 3 5 9:16 -7 3
L L D L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - Challenger Pro League