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25.10.2026 20:30
Estadio Regional de Antofagasta
Antofagasta
Match Timeline
Curico Unido
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
27'
J. Monreal
Antofagasta
⚽
34'
M. Suarez
Antofagasta
🔄
46'
W. Saez ↔ D. Munoz
Curico Unido
🔄
46'
E. Ormeno ↔ J. Retamales
Curico Unido
🟨
56'
J. Romo
Curico Unido
🔄
58'
V. Saldivia ↔ I. Aliaga
Curico Unido
🟨
61'
M. Suarez
Antofagasta
🟨
63'
R. Colombo
Curico Unido
🔄
64'
M. Suarez ↔ B. Tapia
Antofagasta
🔄
64'
J. Monreal ↔ B. Hurtado
Antofagasta
🔄
64'
S. Hinojosa ↔ A. Cuadra
Antofagasta
⚽
67'
B. Hurtado
Antofagasta
🔄
70'
J. D. Bandez ↔ C. Bravo
Antofagasta
🔄
73'
V. Aros ↔ N. Sepulveda
Antofagasta
🔄
78'
L. Lopez ↔ A. E. Ramirez Cuevas
Curico Unido
🔄
78'
R. Guzman ↔ F. Gutierrez
Curico Unido
⚽
90'
B. Hurtado
Antofagasta

Antofagasta vs Curico Unido Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 84.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 66.7%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
84.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
50.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
66.7%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Antofagasta Win 84.5%
Draw 4.3%
Curico Unido Win 11.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antofagasta1.67
Curico Unido0.96
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antofagasta Antofagasta
D W W W W
11 GF / 1 GA
Curico Unido Curico Unido
D W L L L
4 GF / 10 GA
Key Stats
1.78
Average Goals Scored
1
0.89
Average Goals Conceded
1.51
18
BTTS Yes
19
18
Over 2.5
19
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antofagasta Antofagasta 37 matches
Curico Unido Curico Unido 37 matches
Antofagasta Statistic Curico Unido
19 Wins 10
11 Draws 13
7 Losses 14
66 Goals For 37
33 Goals Against 56
1.78 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.89 Avg Goals Conceded 1.51
18 BTTS Yes 19
28 Over 1.5 27
18 Over 2.5 19
11 Over 3.5 10
16 Clean Sheets 9
8 Failed To Score 13
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Antofagasta's more proactive style and Curico Unido's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Curico Unido. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Antofagasta arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 5 with 44 points compared to Curico Unido in 13 on 30, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Curico Unido having the stronger overall control. Curico Unido arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly.

Antofagasta Analysis

Placed 5 with 44 points from 27 outings, Antofagasta continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 12 wins, 8 draws, and 7 losses, while the 47:26 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses points toward a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Curico Unido Analysis

Curico Unido sit 13 with 30 points after 27 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 7 wins, 9 draws, and 11 losses, together with goals at 24:40, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Antofagasta won 2 times, Curico Unido won 6 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Antofagasta's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.7%)
H2H summary: Antofagasta wins 2, draws 6, Curico Unido wins 6

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 9 5 52:30 22 54
W W L W W
2 29 15 9 5 44:30 14 54
D W W W W
3 29 14 8 7 48:32 16 50
W W L L L
4 29 13 9 7 51:26 25 48
W D W W L
5 29 13 7 9 45:44 1 46
L L W W W
6 29 11 10 8 35:28 7 43
W D L W W
7 29 11 9 9 41:43 -2 42
D L L W D
8 29 11 8 10 43:42 1 41
D L W W W
9 29 11 6 12 34:37 -3 39
L W L L D
10 29 9 11 9 42:33 9 38
W D W W W
11 29 11 5 13 29:36 -7 38
W D L L L
12 30 9 9 12 46:45 1 36
L L D W L
13 30 8 10 12 30:47 -17 34
W L D W L
14 29 4 12 13 29:43 -14 24
D D L L D
15 29 5 8 16 19:53 -34 23
L D L L L
16 29 5 6 18 28:47 -19 21
L L W L L