CHILE PRIMERA B
10.09.2026 23:00
Estadio Regional de Antofagasta

Antofagasta vs Cobreloa Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.78
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.69
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.80
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
63.4%
1.78
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.69
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
1.80
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
2.61
Correct Score 2-1
-
7.00
Probability Distribution
Antofagasta Win 63.4%
Draw 4.2%
Cobreloa Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Antofagasta1.55
Cobreloa1.4
Recent Form (Last 5)
Antofagasta Antofagasta
WWDLW
53 GF / 29 GA
Cobreloa Cobreloa
WLDWL
50 GF / 34 GA
Key Stats
1.83
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1
Average Goals Conceded
1.13
15
BTTS Yes
19
15
Over 2.5
14
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Antofagasta Antofagasta 29 matches
Cobreloa Cobreloa 30 matches
Antofagasta Statistic Cobreloa
15 Wins 13
8 Draws 11
6 Losses 6
53 Goals For 50
29 Goals Against 34
1.83 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.13
15 BTTS Yes 19
22 Over 1.5 24
15 Over 2.5 14
10 Over 3.5 10
11 Clean Sheets 10
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Cobreloa. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Cobreloa having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Antofagasta Analysis

Antofagasta come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 3 place with 37 points after 22 matches. With 10 wins, 7 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 40:22, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, the split of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Cobreloa Analysis

Cobreloa come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 41 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 11 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 40:23 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 6 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Antofagasta won 4 times, Cobreloa won 5 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:17 from Antofagasta's perspective. 7 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.91 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.8%)
Predicted formations: Antofagasta - / Cobreloa 4-2-1-3
H2H summary: Antofagasta wins 4, draws 2, Cobreloa wins 5

Standings

Primera B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 12 8 4 40:25 15 44
L W W W D
2 23 11 8 4 42:27 15 41
L W L W D
3 23 10 8 5 36:28 8 38
W W L W D
4 23 10 7 6 41:24 17 37
L W W D D
5 24 10 7 7 36:33 3 37
W W D W D
6 24 10 7 7 39:38 1 37
D D L W W
7 24 10 5 9 31:31 0 35
L D L W W
8 24 10 4 10 26:29 -3 34
L W L L D
9 24 8 9 7 28:23 5 33
L W L L L
10 24 8 7 9 39:34 5 31
W L W L D
11 24 8 7 9 33:38 -5 31
D L L L W
12 24 6 9 9 22:35 -13 27
W L D W L
13 24 5 10 9 31:29 2 25
L L L W D
14 23 5 7 11 15:37 -22 22
D D L L W
15 24 4 9 11 26:38 -12 21
W D D L L
16 24 4 6 14 22:38 -16 18
W W W W L