BRAZIL SERIE C
29.08.2026 20:00
Estadio Jonas Duarte
Referee: A. Furtado
Anápolis
Match Timeline
Santa Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
3'
Samuel
Anápolis
🟨
13'
Eron
Santa Cruz
🔄
37'
Matheus Lagoa ↔ Gustavo Henrique
Anápolis
39'
Eurico
Santa Cruz
🔄
46'
Samuel ↔ Lucas Mila
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Helder ↔ Fernandinho
Anápolis
🔄
63'
Vitinho ↔ Fernando Viana
Anápolis
🔄
63'
Everaldo ↔ Fabinho
Santa Cruz
🔄
63'
Alex Ruan ↔ Ze Mario
Santa Cruz
🔄
70'
Gharib ↔ Felipe Para
Anápolis
🔄
71'
Eron ↔ Tiago Marques
Santa Cruz
74'
Fernando Viana
Anápolis
🟨
84'
Fabinho
Santa Cruz
🔄
89'
Ronald ↔ Cassiano
Santa Cruz
🔄
89'
Arilson ↔ Edson Miranda
Santa Cruz
🟨
90'
Anápolis
Anápolis

Anápolis vs Santa Cruz Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 66.3%
Odds 2.96
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71%
Odds 1.83
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds 2.33
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
66.3%
2.96
BTTS Yes
71%
1.83
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
2.33
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Anápolis Win 29.6%
Draw 4.1%
Santa Cruz Win 66.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Anápolis0.85
Santa Cruz1.07
Recent Form (Last 5)
Anápolis Anápolis
WWDLW
16 GF / 21 GA
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz
WLDWL
19 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.89
Average Goals Scored
1
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
7
BTTS Yes
7
6
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Anápolis Anápolis 18 matches
Santa Cruz Santa Cruz 19 matches
Anápolis Statistic Santa Cruz
5 Wins 8
3 Draws 4
10 Losses 7
16 Goals For 19
21 Goals Against 15
0.89 Avg Goals Scored 1
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
7 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 9
6 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 5
9 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Santa Cruz's more proactive style and Anápolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Santa Cruz. Anápolis have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Santa Cruz having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Santa Cruz carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 25 points while Anápolis sit 19 on 15, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Anápolis Analysis

Anápolis approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 15 points from 17 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, together with goals at 15:21, reflects mixed form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Santa Cruz Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Santa Cruz have collected 25 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 17:14 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.9%)

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L L W W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W L W W W
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation