BRAZIL SERIE C
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Estadio Jonas Duarte

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.2%
Odds 1.25
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.73
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.85
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.2%
1.25
BTTS Yes
54.1%
1.73
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
1.85
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.18
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.50
Correct Score 0-1
-
8.00
Probability Distribution
Anápolis Win 43.7%
Draw 4.9%
Maringá Win 51.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Anápolis1.15
Maringá1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Anápolis Anápolis
WWDLW
9 GF / 17 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
26 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
2
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
5
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Anápolis Anápolis 13 matches
Maringá Maringá 13 matches
Anápolis Statistic Maringá
2 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 4
9 Goals For 26
17 Goals Against 24
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
5 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 12
4 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Maringá's more proactive style and Anápolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maringá. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control. Maringá carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 19 points while Anápolis sit 20 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Anápolis Analysis

Anápolis sit 20 with 9 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 9:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maringá Analysis

Maringá are currently 7 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 26:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Anápolis won 0 times, Maringá won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:2 from Anápolis's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.33 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Anápolis wins 0, draws 3, Maringá wins 0
Last matches: Anápolis
06.07.26
Ser
Anápolis
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
30.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Caxias
1
1
D
20.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
13.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Amazonas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maranhão
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Brusque
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Barra
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Paysandu
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ferroviária
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Figueirense
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ypiranga-RS
0
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ituano
0
2
L
Last matches: Maringá
04.07.26
Ser
Maringá
Volta Redonda
4
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
15.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Maranhão
0
0
D
30.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
11.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
03.05.26
Ser
Maringá
AO Itabaiana
4
2
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
20.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Brusque
2
3
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ferroviária
3
2
W
H2H: Anápolis vs Maringá
25.05.25
H2H
Anápolis
Maringá
1
1
D
15.09.24
H2H
Maringá
Anápolis
0
0
D
08.09.24
H2H
Anápolis
Maringá
1
1
D
Last matches: Anápolis
06.07.26
Ser
Anápolis
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maranhão
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Barra
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Figueirense
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
H2H at home: Anápolis
25.05.25
H2H
Anápolis
Maringá
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
Anápolis
Maringá
1
1
D
Last matches: Maringá
27.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Inter De Limeira
2
2
D
21.06.26
Ser
Maringá
Caxias
1
1
D
30.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Botafogo PB
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Maringá
Ypiranga-RS
4
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Ituano
1
4
L
13.04.26
Ser
Maringá
Figueirense
3
1
W
H2H away: Maringá
25.05.25
H2H
Anápolis
Maringá
1
1
D
08.09.24
H2H
Anápolis
Maringá
1
1
D
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.16
Draw 3.22
Home 3.13
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.75 1.33
Over 2.0 1.43
Over 2.25 1.68
Over 2.5 1.93
Over 2.75 2.19
Over 3.0 2.64
Over 3.25 2.98
Under 1.75 3.09
Under 2.0 2.68
Under 2.25 2.13
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 2.75 1.65
Under 3.0 1.44
Under 3.25 1.35
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.10
Draw 3.30
Home 2.90
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.10
Home 3.60
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.50
Draw 2.50
Home 3.20
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.28
Over 2.5 1.95
Over 3.5 3.40
Over 4.5 6.00
Over 5.5 10.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.50
Under 1.5 3.50
Under 2.5 1.85
Under 3.5 1.30
Under 4.5 1.11
Under 5.5 1.03
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.11
Draw 3.28
Home 3.10
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.70
Draw 2.09
Home 3.83
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.44
Draw 2.42
Home 3.48
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.01
Over 0.75 1.02
Over 1.0 1.03
Over 1.25 1.14
Over 1.5 1.26
Over 1.75 1.32
Over 2.0 1.41
Over 2.25 1.66
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 2.75 2.12
Over 3.0 2.49
Over 3.25 2.81
Over 3.5 3.08
Over 3.75 3.82
Over 4.0 5.15
Over 4.25 5.49
Over 4.5 5.80
Over 5.0 9.10
Over 5.5 13.00
Over 6.5 15.00
Over 7.5 21.00
Under 0.5 8.70
Under 0.75 8.30
Under 1.0 7.70
Under 1.25 4.39
Under 1.5 3.20
Under 1.75 2.87
Under 2.0 2.52
Under 2.25 2.07
Under 2.5 1.82
Under 2.75 1.63
Under 3.0 1.42
Under 3.25 1.33
Under 3.5 1.28
Under 3.75 1.18
Under 4.0 1.10
Under 4.25 1.08
Under 4.5 1.07
Under 5.0 1.00
Under 5.5 1.02
Under 6.5 1.01
Under 7.5 1.00
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 3.30
Home 2.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 2.88
Draw 2.28
Home 3.35
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.60
Draw 2.60
Home 3.10
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 1.5 1.24
Over 2.0 1.36
Over 2.25 1.57
Over 2.5 1.77
Over 2.75 1.98
Over 3.0 2.33
Over 3.25 2.63
Over 3.5 2.95
Over 3.75 3.55
Over 4.0 4.70
Over 4.25 5.00
Over 4.5 5.30
Under 1.5 3.55
Under 2.0 2.80
Under 2.25 2.20
Under 2.5 1.92
Under 2.75 1.72
Under 3.0 1.50
Under 3.25 1.41
Under 3.5 1.34
Under 3.75 1.24
Under 4.0 1.15
Under 4.25 1.13
Under 4.5 1.11

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 13 7 3 3 20:14 6 24
W L W L D
2 13 6 5 2 23:11 12 23
D D L W W
3 13 6 4 3 16:14 2 22
W D L W W
4 13 6 3 4 13:9 4 21
W W L W D
5 14 5 6 3 13:10 3 21
D W D D L
6 13 6 2 5 19:17 2 20
L L W L L
7 14 5 5 4 15:14 1 20
D D W L L
8 13 6 1 6 17:15 2 19
W W W D W
9 13 5 4 4 26:24 2 19
W D D D L
10 13 5 4 4 15:13 2 19
L D D D L
11 13 5 4 4 12:11 1 19
L L W W D
12 13 5 3 5 16:17 -1 18
W D W D L
13 13 5 2 6 13:18 -5 17
L L D W L
14 13 5 2 6 10:15 -5 17
L W L W W
15 13 4 4 5 12:18 -6 16
L D D W W
16 13 3 6 4 16:14 2 15
W L D L D
17 13 3 5 5 9:13 -4 14
L D L D D
18 13 3 4 6 11:17 -6 13
W W L D L
19 13 3 2 8 8:12 -4 11
L D W L L
20 13 2 3 8 9:17 -8 9
L D W L D
Play-offs
Relegation