BRAZIL SERIE C
12.07.2026 19:00
Estadio Jonas Duarte
Referee: L. Guimaraes
Anápolis
Match Timeline
Maringá
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
13'
Thiago Rosa
Maringá
🟨
45+3'
Lucas Mila
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Lucas Mila ↔ Gharib
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Gonzalo Fornari ↔ Joao Vitor
Anápolis
🟨
47'
Rubinho
Anápolis
🔄
61'
Caique Calito ↔ Giovane Gomez
Maringá
🔄
61'
Kelvi Gomes ↔ Lucas Bonifacio
Maringá
🟨
63'
Edison Negueba
Maringá
🟨
63'
Kauan Martins
Anápolis
🔄
68'
Bruno Cheron ↔ Guilherme Pira
Maringá
🔄
68'
Edison Negueba ↔ Rafinha
Maringá
🔄
69'
Luiz Felipe ↔ Fernandinho
Anápolis
72'
Guilherme Pira
Maringá
🔄
87'
Ronald Camarao ↔ Ronald Carvalho
Maringá
🔄
90+1'
Kauan Martins ↔ Joao Borim
Anápolis
🔄
90+1'
Rubinho ↔ Kaik Vicoza
Anápolis

Anápolis vs Maringá Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 95.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 51.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
95.2%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
51.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Anápolis Win 43.7%
Draw 4.9%
Maringá Win 51.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Anápolis1.15
Maringá1.72
Recent Form (Last 5)
Anápolis Anápolis
WWDLW
9 GF / 17 GA
Maringá Maringá
WLDWL
26 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
2
1.31
Average Goals Conceded
1.85
5
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Anápolis Anápolis 13 matches
Maringá Maringá 13 matches
Anápolis Statistic Maringá
2 Wins 5
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 4
9 Goals For 26
17 Goals Against 24
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.31 Avg Goals Conceded 1.85
5 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 12
4 Over 2.5 10
1 Over 3.5 9
2 Clean Sheets 2
7 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Maringá's more proactive style and Anápolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Maringá. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Maringá having the stronger overall control. Maringá carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 19 points while Anápolis sit 20 on 9, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Anápolis Analysis

Anápolis sit 20 with 9 points after 12 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, and the 9:15 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Maringá Analysis

Maringá are currently 7 in the standings with 19 points from 13 matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 4 draws, and 4 losses with goals at 26:24 reflects poor form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Anápolis won 0 times, Maringá won 1 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Anápolis's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1.25 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
H2H summary: Anápolis wins 0, draws 3, Maringá wins 1

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
D W L W D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D L W
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation