BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jonas Duarte
Anápolis
Match Timeline
Guarani Campinas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
15'
Guilherme Cachoeira
Guarani Campinas
🟨
38'
Ynaia
Guarani Campinas
39'
Matheus Lagoa
Anápolis
🟥
44'
Gharib
Anápolis
🟥
45'
Juninho
Anápolis
🟥
45'
Emerson Barbosa
Guarani Campinas
🟨
45+2'
Caique Franca
Guarani Campinas
🟨
45+7'
Lucas Mila
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Helder ↔ Gustavo Henrique
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Luiz Felipe ↔ Samuel
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Guilherme Cachoeira ↔ Renan Castro
Guarani Campinas
🔄
55'
Isaque ↔ Carlos Eduardo
Guarani Campinas
🟨
57'
Joao Paulo
Guarani Campinas
🔄
65'
Fernando Viana ↔ Felipe Para
Anápolis
🔄
69'
Vitinho ↔ Kaik Vicoza
Anápolis
🔄
69'
Lucas Mila ↔ Joao Borim
Anápolis
🔄
76'
Joao Paulo ↔ Herbert
Guarani Campinas
🔄
76'
Lucca ↔ Neto Costa
Guarani Campinas
🟨
81'
Neto Costa
Guarani Campinas
🔄
83'
Kaua Jesus ↔ Everton Brito
Guarani Campinas
🟨
89'
Rafael Costa
Anápolis
90'
Matheus Lagoa
Anápolis

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61.5%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 52.4%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61.5%
-
BTTS Yes
75%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
52.4%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Anápolis Win 23.5%
Draw 15%
Guarani Campinas Win 61.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Anápolis0.92
Guarani Campinas1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Anápolis Anápolis
WWDLW
13 GF / 19 GA
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas
WLDWL
28 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.87
Average Goals Scored
1.87
1.27
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Anápolis Anápolis 15 matches
Guarani Campinas Guarani Campinas 15 matches
Anápolis Statistic Guarani Campinas
3 Wins 7
3 Draws 5
9 Losses 3
13 Goals For 28
19 Goals Against 15
0.87 Avg Goals Scored 1.87
1.27 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 13
5 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 6
2 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Guarani Campinas's more proactive style and Anápolis's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Guarani Campinas carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 26 points while Anápolis sit 19 on 12, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Guarani Campinas. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Guarani Campinas having the stronger overall control.

Anápolis Analysis

With 12 points from 15 games and a place of 19, Anápolis still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats with a 13:19 goal balance points toward mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Guarani Campinas Analysis

Guarani Campinas arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 2 place with 26 points after 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 3 losses, while the 28:15 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Anápolis won 2 times, Guarani Campinas won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:1 from Anápolis's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
H2H summary: Anápolis wins 2, draws 0, Guarani Campinas wins 0

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
W W D D W
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D D W L W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W L W D D
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
W W D L D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W W W L D
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D L W L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L W L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
D W L D L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation