BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jonas Duarte
Referee: F. Mendes
Anápolis
Match Timeline
AO Itabaiana
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
19'
Juninho
Anápolis
🟨
21'
Cassio Gabriel
Anápolis
🟨
38'
Juninho
Anápolis
🟨
41'
Lucas Kallyel
Anápolis
🟨
45+5'
AO Itabaiana
AO Itabaiana
🔄
46'
Lucas Kallyel ↔ Luiz Felipe
Anápolis
🔄
46'
Ricardo Cerqueira ↔ Isaque
AO Itabaiana
🔄
46'
Lucas Bessa ↔ Fabricio Moura
AO Itabaiana
58'
Cassio Gabriel
Anápolis
🔄
59'
Kaik Vicoza ↔ Fernandinho
Anápolis
🔄
62'
Tarcisio ↔ Tito
AO Itabaiana
🔄
62'
Renatinho ↔ Elimar
AO Itabaiana
🔄
70'
Kauan Guilherme ↔ Joao Borim
Anápolis
🔄
79'
Gustavo Crecci ↔ Cleiton
AO Itabaiana
🔄
84'
Juninho ↔ Gharib
Anápolis
🔄
84'
Cassio Gabriel ↔ Julio Cesar
Anápolis
🟨
90+1'
Isaque
AO Itabaiana

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 72.2%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
72.2%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Anápolis Win 37.5%
Draw 27.9%
AO Itabaiana Win 34.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Anápolis0.96
AO Itabaiana1.04
Recent Form (Last 5)
Anápolis Anápolis
WWDLW
6 GF / 14 GA
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana
WLDWL
8 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
0.6
Average Goals Scored
0.8
1.4
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
4
BTTS Yes
5
4
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Anápolis Anápolis 10 matches
AO Itabaiana AO Itabaiana 10 matches
Anápolis Statistic AO Itabaiana
1 Wins 1
2 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
6 Goals For 8
14 Goals Against 15
0.6 Avg Goals Scored 0.8
1.4 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
4 BTTS Yes 5
6 Over 1.5 5
4 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 3
1 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward AO Itabaiana having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring AO Itabaiana. Anápolis have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Anápolis Analysis

Anápolis approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 5 points from 10 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 7 defeats with a 6:14 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Fernando Viana (2 goals), Fernandinho (1 goals), Joao Borim (1 goals), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

AO Itabaiana Analysis

AO Itabaiana sit 19 with 6 points after 9 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 3 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:13 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Everton Kanela (3 goals), Isaque (1 goals), Karl (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Anápolis won 2 times, AO Itabaiana won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 3:0 from Anápolis's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (72.2%)
H2H summary: Anápolis wins 2, draws 0, AO Itabaiana wins 0

Lineups

Anápolis
Formation
AO Itabaiana
Ravel Pelegrini
Ravel Pelegrini
Rubinho
Rubinho
Igor Souza
Igor Souza
Rafael Costa
Rafael Costa
Leonan
Leonan
Kauan Guilherme
Kauan Guilherme
Lucas Kallyel
Lucas Kallyel
Cassio Gabriel
Cassio Gabriel
Kaik Vicoza
Kaik Vicoza
Juninho
Juninho
Gonzalo Fornari
Gonzalo Fornari
Jefferson
Jefferson
Ricardo Cerqueira
Ricardo Cerqueira
Lucao
Lucao
Ligger
Ligger
Gustavo Crecci
Gustavo Crecci
Tarcisio
Tarcisio
Lucas Bessa
Lucas Bessa
Karl
Karl
Leilson
Leilson
Renatinho
Renatinho
Rodrigo Alves
Rodrigo Alves
Anápolis 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
Ravel Pelegrini
2
Rubinho
3
Igor Souza
4
Rafael Costa
6
Leonan
5
Kauan Guilherme
↓ 70'
8
Lucas Kallyel
↓ 46' 🟨 41'
26
Cassio Gabriel
⚽ 58' ↓ 84' 🟨 21'
22
Kaik Vicoza
↓ 59'
10
Juninho
⚽ 19' ↓ 84' 🟨 38'
9
Gonzalo Fornari
Substitutes
23
Victor Hugo
31
Marcio Defendi
11
Fernandinho
↑ 59'
15
Gharib
↑ 84'
16
Julio Cesar
↑ 84'
17
Vitor Fonseca
18
Giva
20
Luiz Felipe
↑ 46'
21
Rodriguinho
33
Robson Reis
41
Joao Borim
↑ 70'
27
Gustavo Henrique
AO Itabaiana 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Jefferson
2
Ricardo Cerqueira
↓ 46'
3
Lucao
4
Ligger
5
Gustavo Crecci
↓ 79'
6
Tarcisio
↓ 62'
23
Lucas Bessa
↓ 46'
8
Karl
7
Leilson
11
Renatinho
↓ 62'
10
Rodrigo Alves
Substitutes
12
Geaze
13
Gustavo Fagundes
14
Gustavo Cintra
15
Isaque
↑ 46' 🟨 90+1'
16
Tito
↑ 62'
17
Fabricio Moura
↑ 46'
18
Vitinho
19
Elimar
↑ 62'
20
Dudu
21
Caio Felipe
22
Cleiton
↑ 79'
Last matches: Anápolis
12.07.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maringá
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Anápolis
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
30.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Caxias
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Anápolis
Amazonas
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maranhão
0
0
D
24.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Brusque
0
1
L
17.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Barra
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Paysandu
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ferroviária
0
1
L
26.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Figueirense
3
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ypiranga-RS
0
3
L
12.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
05.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Ituano
0
2
L
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
13.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Brusque
1
0
W
07.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Amazonas
2
0
W
27.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ferroviária
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ituano
2
2
D
30.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Volta Redonda
0
1
L
24.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Figueirense
1
0
W
09.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Floresta
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maringá
2
4
L
25.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Paysandu
1
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Ypiranga-RS
1
2
L
06.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H: Anápolis vs AO Itabaiana
20.06.26
H2H
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
06.07.25
H2H
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
Last matches: Anápolis
12.07.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maringá
0
1
L
06.07.26
Ser
Anápolis
Botafogo PB
0
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Maranhão
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Anápolis
Barra
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Figueirense
3
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Anápolis
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
H2H at home: Anápolis
20.06.26
H2H
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
2
0
W
06.07.25
H2H
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
1
0
W
Last matches: AO Itabaiana
07.07.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Amazonas
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Inter De Limeira
0
0
D
16.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Figueirense
1
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Maringá
2
4
L
19.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Guarani Campinas
1
1
D
06.04.26
Ser
AO Itabaiana
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
H2H away: AO Itabaiana
20.06.26
H2H
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
2
0
L
06.07.25
H2H
Anápolis
AO Itabaiana
1
0
L