18.09.2026 18:45

Ammanford AFC vs Penybont Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ammanford AFC Win 6%
Draw 6%
Penybont Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ammanford AFC0.63
Penybont1.87
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC
WWDLW
4 GF / 21 GA
Penybont Penybont
WLDWL
15 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.36
2.63
Average Goals Conceded
0.82
3
BTTS Yes
4
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 8 matches
Penybont Penybont 11 matches
Ammanford AFC Statistic Penybont
0 Wins 6
2 Draws 3
6 Losses 2
4 Goals For 15
21 Goals Against 9
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.36
2.63 Avg Goals Conceded 0.82
3 BTTS Yes 4
8 Over 1.5 7
4 Over 2.5 6
3 Over 3.5 1
0 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Penybont's more proactive style and Ammanford AFC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Ammanford AFC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Penybont. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Penybont having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Penybont carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 15 points while Ammanford AFC sit 13 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

Ammanford AFC Analysis

With 2 points from 7 games and a place of 13, Ammanford AFC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 5 losses, together with goals at 4:16, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Penybont Analysis

Penybont sit 6 with 15 points after 7 league matches. Their overall return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 0 losses with goals at 11:5 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Ammanford AFC won 1 times, Penybont won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:8 from Ammanford AFC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
H2H summary: Ammanford AFC wins 1, draws 0, Penybont wins 2

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 7 1 0 19:3 16 22
W W W W W
2 8 7 0 1 21:9 12 21
W L W W W
3 8 6 0 2 23:9 14 18
W W L W W
4 8 5 3 0 12:5 7 18
W W D D W
5 8 5 1 2 19:7 12 16
L D W W W
6 8 5 0 3 16:11 5 15
L W L W L
7 8 4 2 2 19:10 9 14
D D W W L
8 8 4 1 3 10:12 -2 13
W L W L W
9 8 4 0 4 13:11 2 12
L W W L L
10 8 3 3 2 12:11 1 12
W D D L W
11 8 2 1 5 6:14 -8 7
W D W L L
12 8 2 1 5 6:15 -9 7
L L L L W
13 8 0 2 6 7:15 -8 2
D L L D L
14 8 0 2 6 3:19 -16 2
L D L D L
15 8 0 2 6 4:21 -17 2
L L L D L
16 8 0 1 7 11:29 -18 1
L D L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)