WALES PREMIER LEAGUE
11.09.2026 18:45

Ammanford AFC vs Caernarfon Town Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
67.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Ammanford AFC Win 6%
Draw 6%
Caernarfon Town Win 88%
Expected Goals (xG)
Ammanford AFC1.14
Caernarfon Town2.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC
WWDLW
4 GF / 16 GA
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town
WLDWL
20 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.57
Average Goals Scored
2
2.29
Average Goals Conceded
2
3
BTTS Yes
5
3
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Ammanford AFC Ammanford AFC 7 matches
Caernarfon Town Caernarfon Town 10 matches
Ammanford AFC Statistic Caernarfon Town
0 Wins 6
2 Draws 0
5 Losses 4
4 Goals For 20
16 Goals Against 20
0.57 Avg Goals Scored 2
2.29 Avg Goals Conceded 2
3 BTTS Yes 5
7 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 9
2 Over 3.5 4
0 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Caernarfon Town's more proactive style and Ammanford AFC's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Caernarfon Town. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Caernarfon Town having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ammanford AFC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Caernarfon Town carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 5 with 12 points while Ammanford AFC sit 13 on 2, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Ammanford AFC Analysis

Ammanford AFC approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 13 with 2 points from 6 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 defeats, and the 4:14 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Caernarfon Town Analysis

Caernarfon Town come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 12 points after 6 matches. They have recorded 4 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a 15:9 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, their record of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Ammanford AFC won 0 times, Caernarfon Town won 1 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:4 from Ammanford AFC's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 4 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (94%)
H2H summary: Ammanford AFC wins 0, draws 0, Caernarfon Town wins 1

Standings

Premier League
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 7 6 1 0 17:3 14 19
W W W W W
2 7 6 0 1 17:8 9 18
L W W W W
3 7 5 1 1 18:5 13 16
D W W W W
4 7 5 0 2 18:9 9 15
W L W W W
5 7 5 0 2 15:7 8 15
W L W L W
6 7 4 3 0 11:5 6 15
W D D W W
7 7 4 1 2 18:9 9 13
D W W L L
8 7 4 0 3 13:9 4 12
W W L L W
9 7 3 1 3 8:11 -3 10
L W L W L
10 7 2 3 2 10:10 0 9
D D L W W
11 7 2 1 4 5:12 -7 7
L L L W L
12 7 1 1 5 3:13 -10 4
D W L L L
13 7 0 2 5 4:16 -12 2
L L D L L
14 7 0 2 5 3:18 -15 2
D L D L L
15 7 0 1 6 6:14 -8 1
L L D L L
16 7 0 1 6 10:27 -17 1
D L L L L
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Championship Group)
Promotion - Cymru Premier (Conference League Group)
Cymru Premier (Relegation Group)