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FRANCE › LIGUE 3
03.10.2026 18:45
Stade de la Licorne
Amiens
Match Timeline
Villefranche
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
10'
D. Gassama
Villefranche
🟨
27'
R. Boissier
Amiens
🔄
46'
C. Mbondi ↔ M. Colin
Amiens
🔄
57'
L. Piquionne ↔ J. Tiehi
Villefranche
🔄
64'
R. Boissier ↔ C. Suljic
Amiens
🔄
64'
A. Giacomini ↔ E. Julien
Amiens
🟨
67'
S. Pean
Villefranche
🟨
70'
M. Tshibuabua
Villefranche
⚽
71'
Z. Sopromadze
Amiens
🔄
72'
E. Somon ↔ A. Julloux
Amiens
🔄
77'
M. Etuin ↔ M. De Lima
Villefranche
🔄
77'
T. Norde ↔ Y. Tade
Villefranche
⚽
81'
M. Colin · Assist: E. Julien
Amiens
🔄
83'
L. Diakite ↔ C. Fromager
Amiens
🔄
83'
D. Gassama ↔ G. Fofana
Villefranche
🔄
83'
A. Diakite ↔ N. Sabihi
Villefranche
⚽
87'
M. Colin · Assist: E. Julien
Amiens

Amiens vs Villefranche Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 56%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
- ▥
BTTS No
56%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 3-0
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Amiens Win 88%
Draw 6%
Villefranche Win 6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Amiens1.9
Villefranche0.92
Recent Form (Last 5)
Amiens Amiens
WWDLW
22 GF / 13 GA
Villefranche Villefranche
WLDWL
9 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
1.38
Average Goals Scored
1
0.81
Average Goals Conceded
2.67
7
BTTS Yes
5
6
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Amiens Amiens 16 matches
Villefranche Villefranche 9 matches
Amiens Statistic Villefranche
7 Wins 1
5 Draws 1
4 Losses 7
22 Goals For 9
13 Goals Against 24
1.38 Avg Goals Scored 1
0.81 Avg Goals Conceded 2.67
7 BTTS Yes 5
11 Over 1.5 8
6 Over 2.5 5
2 Over 3.5 4
6 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Amiens's more proactive style and Villefranche's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Villefranche arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Amiens arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 6 with 11 points compared to Villefranche in 18 on 4, which underlines the gap in season consistency. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Villefranche having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Villefranche. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Amiens Analysis

Amiens sit 6 with 11 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 8:2 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Villefranche Analysis

Villefranche approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 18 with 4 points from 7 matches. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 1 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 6:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (94%)

Standings

National
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 16:10 6 21
L W W W D
2 9 6 2 1 17:5 12 20
W L W W D
3 10 6 0 4 19:13 6 18
W L W L W
4 9 4 4 1 12:8 4 16
W D W W D
5 9 5 1 3 13:12 1 16
W W D W L
6 9 4 3 2 12:3 9 15
W D W D W
7 9 3 6 0 11:4 7 15
W D D D W
8 9 4 1 4 11:9 2 13
W L W L D
9 9 3 3 3 14:14 0 12
L L D L D
10 9 3 3 3 15:12 3 12
W L D W W
11 9 3 3 3 7:9 -2 12
L W D L D
12 9 3 2 4 7:11 -4 11
D L D W L
13 9 2 4 3 8:12 -4 10
L D D W D
14 9 2 3 4 7:11 -4 9
D D L L D
15 9 2 2 5 9:14 -5 8
L W L L D
16 9 2 1 6 6:12 -6 7
L W L L D
17 9 1 2 6 5:15 -10 5
L D D L L
18 9 1 1 7 7:22 -15 4
L L L D L
Promotion - Ligue 2
Promotion - Ligue 2 (Promotion)
Relegation