BRAZIL SERIE D
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Arena das Dunas

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 81.9%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
81.9%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
America-RN Win 45.4%
Draw 18.1%
Trem Win 36.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
America-RN1.57
Trem1.21
Recent Form (Last 5)
America-RN America-RN
WWDLW
23 GF / 5 GA
Trem Trem
WLDWL
23 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
1.64
Average Goals Scored
1.77
0.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.46
4
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America-RN America-RN 14 matches
Trem Trem 13 matches
America-RN Statistic Trem
9 Wins 7
4 Draws 2
1 Losses 4
23 Goals For 23
5 Goals Against 19
1.64 Avg Goals Scored 1.77
0.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.46
4 BTTS Yes 7
8 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 7
2 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 4
2 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

In knockout conditions, this fixture pairs two sides with a fairly similar football identity, which should make the margins especially important. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. America-RN hold an advantage after winning the first leg 4-1, so Trem now have a 3-goal deficit to overturn. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Trem. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Trem having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

America-RN Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, America-RN arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 21 points after 10 matches. With 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 14:3, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. At home, the return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

Trem Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Trem arrive from a league campaign that has them 1 with 20 points after 10 matches. With 6 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 19:13, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on their main attacking players, while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, which supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.9%)
Last matches: America-RN
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
Last matches: Trem
04.07.26
Ser
Trem
America-RN
1
4
L
27.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
1
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
2
0
W
06.06.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
4
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
4
2
W
10.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
0
4
L
04.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
2
1
W
26.04.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
3
3
D
04.04.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
0
1
L
19.07.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
1
W
12.07.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
3
L
06.07.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
4
2
W
29.06.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
2
2
D
14.06.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
1
W
07.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
2
L
Last matches: America-RN
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
16.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
3
2
W
01.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
3
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
4
0
W
Last matches: Trem
21.06.26
Ser
Trem
Sampaio Correa
2
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
0
1
L
10.05.26
Ser
Trem
Imperatriz
0
4
L
26.04.26
Ser
Trem
Oratório
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Trem
Tocantinópolis
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
Trem
Manaus FC
0
1
L
06.07.25
Ser
Trem
Humaitá
4
2
W
29.06.25
Ser
Trem
Independência
2
2
D
07.06.25
Ser
Trem
Manauara
0
2
L
24.05.25
Ser
Trem
Águia de Marabá
2
0
W
03.05.25
Ser
Trem
GAS
1
1
D
27.04.25
Ser
Trem
Tuna Luso
2
4
L

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)