BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Arena das Dunas
America-RN
Match Timeline
Fluminense PI
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
Alisson Taddei
America-RN

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 86.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 58.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
86.4%
-
BTTS Yes
54.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
58.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
America-RN Win 51%
Draw 13.6%
Fluminense PI Win 35.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
America-RN1.34
Fluminense PI0.79
Recent Form (Last 5)
America-RN America-RN
WWDLW
18 GF / 4 GA
Fluminense PI Fluminense PI
WLDWL
12 GF / 12 GA
Key Stats
1.5
Average Goals Scored
1.09
0.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.09
3
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America-RN America-RN 12 matches
Fluminense PI Fluminense PI 11 matches
America-RN Statistic Fluminense PI
7 Wins 3
4 Draws 5
1 Losses 3
18 Goals For 12
4 Goals Against 12
1.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.09
0.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.09
3 BTTS Yes 6
7 Over 1.5 8
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 1
9 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 3
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This knockout meeting sets up as a clash between two sides with a fairly similar football identity, where game management could be just as important as attacking output. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Because this is a knockout setting, momentum shifts, risk management, and late-game discipline could all carry more weight than in a standard league fixture. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Fluminense PI having the stronger overall control. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Fluminense PI. America-RN arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 21 points compared to Fluminense PI in 3 on 14, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

America-RN Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, America-RN arrive from a league campaign that has them 2 with 21 points after 10 matches. With 6 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses plus a goal ratio of 14:3, they bring good form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Matheus Regis (3 goals), Alisson Taddei (2 goals), with creative support from Alisson Taddei (1 assists), while defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically they continue to show balanced attacking football.

Fluminense PI Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Fluminense PI arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 14 points after 10 matches. With 3 wins, 5 draws, and 2 losses plus a goal ratio of 12:9, they bring poor form over their recent run into this tie. Going forward they rely on Joao Vitor (6 goals), Junior Timbo (2 goals), while defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, America-RN won 2 times, Fluminense PI won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:0 from America-RN's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (86.4%)
H2H summary: America-RN wins 2, draws 0, Fluminense PI wins 0
Last matches: America-RN
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
Last matches: Fluminense PI
20.06.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
America-RN
0
3
L
13.06.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Ferroviario
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Altos
1
1
D
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Piauí
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Tirol/CEFAT
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
2
L
02.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
1
D
25.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Tirol/CEFAT
0
0
D
19.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Piauí
3
2
W
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Altos
3
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Ferroviario
1
1
D
H2H: America-RN vs Fluminense PI
27.06.26
H2H
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
20.06.26
H2H
Fluminense PI
America-RN
0
3
W
Last matches: America-RN
13.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
2
1
W
29.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
16.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
3
2
W
01.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
3
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
4
0
W
H2H at home: America-RN
27.06.26
H2H
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
Last matches: Fluminense PI
13.06.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Ferroviario
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Piauí
1
0
W
16.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Tirol/CEFAT
1
1
D
02.05.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Uniclinic Atletico Clube
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Fluminense PI
Altos
3
0
W
H2H away: Fluminense PI
27.06.26
H2H
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
L

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)