BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
Arena das Dunas
America-RN
Match Timeline
Central SC
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
62'
Augusto Galvan
America-RN

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 68.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
68.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
America-RN Win 54.2%
Draw 13%
Central SC Win 32.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
America-RN1.05
Central SC0.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
America-RN America-RN
WWDLW
12 GF / 4 GA
Central SC Central SC
WLDWL
6 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1.33
Average Goals Scored
0.75
0.44
Average Goals Conceded
0.63
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
1
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America-RN America-RN 9 matches
Central SC Central SC 8 matches
America-RN Statistic Central SC
4 Wins 2
4 Draws 4
1 Losses 2
12 Goals For 6
4 Goals Against 5
1.33 Avg Goals Scored 0.75
0.44 Avg Goals Conceded 0.63
3 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
2 Over 2.5 1
1 Over 3.5 0
6 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 4
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Central SC. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. America-RN arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 2 with 14 points compared to Central SC in 4 on 9, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Central SC having the stronger overall control.

America-RN Analysis

Placed 2 with 14 points from 7 outings, America-RN continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:2 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Alisson Taddei (2 goals), Matheus Regis (2 goals), Cassiano (1 goals), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Central SC Analysis

Central SC come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 4 with 9 points from 7 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 6:5 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Augusto Potiguar (1 goals), Caio Vinicius (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, America-RN won 4 times, Central SC won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from America-RN's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (87%)
H2H summary: America-RN wins 4, draws 1, Central SC wins 0
Last matches: America-RN
04.07.26
Ser
America-RN
Trem
4
1
W
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
20.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
3
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
1
D
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
10.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
26.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
1
0
W
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
12.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
30.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
1
L
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
17.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
1
0
W
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
03.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
1
1
D
27.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
2
0
W
Last matches: Central SC
28.06.26
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
0
2
L
21.06.26
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
1
1
D
14.06.26
Ser
Central SC
Laguna
2
1
W
23.05.26
Ser
Central SC
Sousa
0
0
D
17.05.26
Ser
Central SC
Maguary PE
0
0
D
10.05.26
Ser
Central SC
ABC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Ser
Central SC
ABC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Maguary PE
2
0
W
19.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Sousa
2
1
W
12.04.26
Ser
Central SC
America-RN
0
1
L
05.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Laguna
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Maranhão
0
0
D
16.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Maranhão
1
2
L
10.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Lagarto
2
2
D
03.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Lagarto
1
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
0
0
D
20.07.25
Ser
Central SC
Sousa
1
1
D
13.07.25
Ser
Central SC
America-RN
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
Central SC
Santa Cruz RN
1
0
W
29.06.25
Ser
Central SC
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
H2H: America-RN vs Central SC
29.05.26
H2H
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
12.04.26
H2H
Central SC
America-RN
0
1
W
13.07.25
H2H
America-RN
Central SC
0
0
D
04.05.25
H2H
Central SC
America-RN
1
2
W
05.06.21
H2H
America-RN
Central
1
0
W
Last matches: America-RN
27.06.26
Ser
America-RN
Fluminense PI
1
0
W
17.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Laguna
5
0
W
03.05.26
Ser
America-RN
Maguary PE
0
0
D
22.04.26
Ser
America-RN
ABC
1
2
L
04.04.26
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
04.01.26
Fri
America-RN
Campinense
1
1
D
07.09.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
1
1
D
24.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Imperatriz
0
0
D
10.08.25
Ser
America-RN
Juazeirense
2
0
W
27.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Horizonte
2
0
W
13.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Central SC
0
0
D
06.07.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz
0
0
D
16.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Ferroviario
3
2
W
01.06.25
Ser
America-RN
Sousa
2
0
W
18.05.25
Ser
America-RN
Santa Cruz RN
3
0
W
26.04.25
Ser
America-RN
Treze
4
0
W
H2H at home: America-RN
29.05.26
H2H
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
W
13.07.25
H2H
America-RN
Central SC
0
0
D
05.06.21
H2H
America-RN
Central
1
0
W
Last matches: Central SC
28.06.26
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
0
2
L
23.05.26
Ser
Central SC
Sousa
0
0
D
02.05.26
Ser
Central SC
ABC
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Maguary PE
2
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Central SC
Laguna
1
1
D
16.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Maranhão
1
2
L
10.08.25
Ser
Central SC
Lagarto
2
2
D
27.07.25
Ser
Central SC
Ferroviario
0
0
D
13.07.25
Ser
Central SC
America-RN
0
0
D
29.06.25
Ser
Central SC
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
15.06.25
Ser
Central SC
Horizonte
1
1
D
31.05.25
Ser
Central SC
Treze
3
0
W
10.05.25
Ser
Central SC
Santa Cruz RN
2
0
W
27.04.25
Ser
Central SC
Sousa
0
0
D
H2H away: Central SC
29.05.26
H2H
America-RN
Central SC
1
0
L
13.07.25
H2H
America-RN
Central SC
0
0
D

Standings

Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)