BRAZIL SERIE D
--.--.---- --:--
América RJ
Match Timeline
Madureira
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
22'
Yan Victor
América RJ
38'
Arthur Vignoli
América RJ
78'
Wallace Camilo
Madureira
90'
Nathan Palafoz
América RJ

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Draw or Away
Probability 87.9%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 30.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Draw or Away
87.9%
-
BTTS BTTS No
30.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
América RJ Win 12.1%
Draw 67.3%
Madureira Win 20.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
América RJ0.93
Madureira1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
América RJ América RJ
WWDLW
4 GF / 14 GA
Madureira Madureira
WLDWL
7 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.17
2.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
2
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
3
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

América RJ América RJ 6 matches
Madureira Madureira 6 matches
América RJ Statistic Madureira
1 Wins 2
2 Draws 1
3 Losses 3
4 Goals For 7
14 Goals Against 8
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
2.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
2 BTTS Yes 3
5 Over 1.5 4
4 Over 2.5 3
3 Over 3.5 2
1 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Madureira having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Madureira. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

América RJ Analysis

So far, América RJ have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 5 points from 6 matches. The record of 1 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 4:14 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Capanema Werley (1 goals), Emerson Carioca (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Madureira Analysis

Madureira arrive from the upper part of the table, holding 4 place with 7 points after 6 matches. The record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, together with a 7:8 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Joao Carlos (2 goals), Adriano (1 goals), Caua Coutinho (1 goals), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, América RJ won 2 times, Madureira won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:3 from América RJ's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 4.5 goals per game.

1X2: Draw or Away
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (87.9%)
H2H summary: América RJ wins 2, draws 0, Madureira wins 0
Last matches: América RJ
27.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
0
2
L
20.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
2
2
D
23.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
4
L
09.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
3
L
02.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
0
D
25.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Madureira
3
2
W
18.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
0
4
L
04.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
0
4
L
Last matches: Madureira
06.06.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
1
0
W
30.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
1
4
L
23.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
1
1
D
09.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Madureira
América RJ
2
3
L
18.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
11.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
3
1
W
04.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
H2H: América RJ vs Madureira
16.05.26
H2H
América RJ
Madureira
3
1
W
25.04.26
H2H
Madureira
América RJ
2
3
W
Last matches: América RJ
20.06.26
Ser
América RJ
XV de Piracicaba
1
1
D
06.06.26
Ser
América RJ
Água Santa
1
0
W
02.05.26
Ser
América RJ
Pouso Alegre
0
0
D
18.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa
1
1
D
11.04.26
Ser
América RJ
Portuguesa RJ
0
4
L
H2H at home: América RJ
16.05.26
H2H
América RJ
Madureira
3
1
W
Last matches: Madureira
30.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Água Santa
1
4
L
02.05.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Portuguesa RJ
0
0
D
04.04.26
Ser
Madureira
Pouso Alegre
0
2
L
H2H away: Madureira
16.05.26
H2H
América RJ
Madureira
3
1
L

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 13:5 8 22
W W D W D
2 10 6 2 2 15:9 6 20
W D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 10:7 3 13
L W D L L
4 10 2 4 4 11:14 -3 10
L L D W W
5 10 2 4 4 8:13 -5 10
L D D W L
6 10 1 2 7 8:17 -9 5
W L L L D
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 4 0 19:9 10 22
D W W D W
2 10 5 3 2 33:9 24 18
W W D D W
3 10 5 3 2 31:9 22 18
W L D L W
4 10 4 3 3 17:10 7 15
D W W W L
5 10 3 1 6 14:31 -17 10
L L L W L
6 10 0 0 10 4:50 -46 0
L L L L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 3
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 8 2 0 23:6 17 26
D W W W W
2 10 4 3 3 11:10 1 15
W D W L L
3 10 3 5 2 11:10 1 14
W D W L L
4 10 3 4 3 13:12 1 13
D D L D W
5 10 3 3 4 10:13 -3 12
L D L W W
6 10 0 1 9 3:20 -17 1
L L L D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 4
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 16:6 10 23
W W D W W
2 10 5 4 1 13:7 6 19
W D D L D
3 10 3 3 4 9:10 -1 12
D D W L L
4 10 2 6 2 10:9 1 12
D D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 11:18 -7 9
L D L W D
6 10 1 2 7 7:16 -9 5
L L D L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 5
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 2 2 19:13 6 20
W L W W L
2 10 5 3 2 20:11 9 18
L W W L W
3 10 4 3 3 15:10 5 15
W W L L W
4 10 3 4 3 14:17 -3 13
L W D W L
5 10 3 3 4 18:18 0 12
W L L W W
6 10 1 1 8 12:29 -17 4
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 6
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 5 0 14:7 7 20
W D D D W
2 10 5 4 1 12:6 6 19
W W W D D
3 10 4 2 4 11:13 -2 14
W D L L W
4 10 3 4 3 12:6 6 13
L W W W D
5 10 2 3 5 8:15 -7 9
L L L D L
6 10 0 4 6 10:20 -10 4
L L D D L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4 10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Group 8
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 7 2 1 15:6 9 23
W W D W W
2 10 6 3 1 14:3 11 21
W W D W D
3 10 3 4 3 8:5 3 13
L W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 8:7 1 13
W L D D L
5 10 3 1 6 4:11 -7 10
L L D L W
6 10 0 2 8 3:20 -17 2
L L D L L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)
Standings
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 5 2 3 18:14 4 17
L D L W W
1 10 6 3 1 25:8 17 21
W D D W W
1 10 5 3 2 12:8 4 18
L D D D W
1 10 5 2 3 13:9 4 17
D W W L L
1 10 6 3 1 16:6 10 21
W W W D L
1 10 4 5 1 14:9 5 17
L D D W W
1 10 6 1 3 15:9 6 19
W W W W L
1 10 6 1 3 14:8 6 19
L W W L D
2 10 4 3 3 15:13 2 15
D L L D W
2 10 5 2 3 12:9 3 17
W D D L L
2 10 4 3 3 12:9 3 15
W L W D D
2 10 4 5 1 13:6 7 17
D W D W D
2 10 5 2 3 16:8 8 17
L W W D D
2 10 4 3 3 12:7 5 15
W D L W W
2 10 5 1 4 9:8 1 16
W L D W L
2 10 4 4 2 9:5 4 16
D L D W W
3 10 3 6 1 12:8 4 15
D D W L D
3 10 4 4 2 11:7 4 16
D D D W W
3 10 3 4 3 7:7 0 13
D L D W D
3 10 4 3 3 12:8 4 15
D D W D W
3 10 3 5 2 14:9 5 14
L D D W D
3 10 3 4 3 10:10 0 13
W L D L D
3 10 4 3 3 9:4 5 15
L D W L W
3 10 3 4 3 3:4 -1 13
D L D L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:15 -1 13
W W D D D
4 10 3 4 3 12:14 -2 13
D D D W W
4 10 3 4 3 9:12 -3 13
D D L L D
4 10 3 4 3 14:12 2 13
W L L D D
4 10 3 3 4 11:21 -10 12
W D L W L
4 10 3 3 4 8:10 -2 12
L W D L L
4 10 4 3 3 11:9 2 15
W D L W W
4 10 3 4 3 6:8 -2 13
W W D D W
5 10 3 3 4 13:15 -2 12
W D D W L
5 10 2 3 5 10:17 -7 9
L D D L L
5 10 3 3 4 8:9 -1 12
W W W L D
5 10 3 1 6 9:21 -12 10
L L L D L
5 10 3 2 5 11:16 -5 11
W L D L W
5 10 3 3 4 7:10 -3 12
W L W W D
5 10 4 3 3 10:8 2 15
L W D L L
5 10 2 4 4 9:12 -3 10
D L D D L
6 10 2 2 6 10:17 -7 8
L D W L L
6 10 1 2 7 5:20 -15 5
L D D L L
6 10 2 3 5 9:12 -3 9
L W L W L
6 10 1 5 4 6:11 -5 8
D D D D W
6 10 2 1 7 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
6 10 3 2 5 9:14 -5 11
L W D L L
6 10 1 1 8 2:18 -16 4
L L L L W
6 10 2 3 5 7:11 -4 9
D W L W L
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)