America Mineiro vs São Bernardo Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away Win |
50.7%
|
2.95 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.73 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
2.16 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.10 | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
7.00 | |
| Correct Score | 1-2 |
-
|
12.00 |
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
America Mineiro
27 matches
São Bernardo
27 matches
| America Mineiro | Statistic | São Bernardo |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 9 |
| 5 | Draws | 8 |
| 18 | Losses | 10 |
| 21 | Goals For | 37 |
| 46 | Goals Against | 31 |
| 0.78 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.37 |
| 1.7 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.15 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 17 |
| 21 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 16 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 4 | Clean Sheets | 6 |
| 10 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 4.63 | Shots On Goal | 4.26 |
| 13.52 | Total Shots | 12.07 |
| 5.56 | Corners | 4.89 |
| 53.7% | Ball Possession | 49.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by São Bernardo's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward São Bernardo. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. São Bernardo carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 14 with 32 points while America Mineiro sit 19 on 14, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
With 14 points from 26 games and a place of 19, America Mineiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 18 defeats, and the 19:45 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Matías Segovia (2 goals), Willian (2 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian (2 assists), Gonzalo Mastriani (1 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
São Bernardo sit 14 with 32 points after 25 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 34:29, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Rodrigo Ferreira (4 goals), Pedro Vitor (3 goals), Pedrinho (3 goals), with creative support from Romisson (4 assists), Pedro Vitor (3 assists), Eduardo (3 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of 6 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests balanced attacking football.
Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 0 times, São Bernardo won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:1 from America Mineiro's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 41:31 | 10 | 51 |
W
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 2 | 29 | 14 | 9 | 6 | 33:24 | 9 | 51 |
W
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 49:27 | 22 | 50 |
L
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 29 | 14 | 8 | 7 | 31:19 | 12 | 50 |
L
L
W
D
D
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 28:25 | 3 | 47 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | 36:27 | 9 | 46 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 29 | 13 | 6 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 39:36 | 3 | 44 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 11 | 7 | 39:29 | 10 | 44 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 30:35 | -5 | 42 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 |
São Bernardo
Away
|
29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 40:31 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 34:31 | 3 | 41 |
D
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 27:22 | 5 | 40 |
D
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 35:33 | 2 | 38 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | 31:37 | -6 | 35 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 16 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 32:36 | -4 | 32 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 29 | 8 | 6 | 15 | 30:38 | -8 | 30 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 29 | 7 | 7 | 15 | 39:41 | -2 | 28 |
L
W
W
L
D
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Home
|
29 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 21:49 | -28 | 17 |
L
L
W
L
W
|
| 20 | 29 | 3 | 4 | 22 | 17:62 | -45 | 13 |
W
L
L
L
L
|