BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Independência
Referee: P. Vollkopf
America Mineiro
Match Timeline
Londrina
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
45'
M. Segovia · Assist: Dalbert
America Mineiro
🟨
50'
Tarik
Londrina
🔄
55'
Heron ↔ Artur
Londrina
🔄
55'
Tarik ↔ Thalis
Londrina
🔄
55'
Paulinho Moccelin ↔ Gilberto
Londrina
57'
Yago Lincoln · Assist: Joao Vitor
Londrina
🟨
62'
Thalis Cantanhede
Londrina
🔄
70'
Gabriel Barros ↔ Willian Bigode
America Mineiro
🔄
70'
Vitinho Mota ↔ Nino Paraiba
Londrina
🟨
74'
João Vitor
Londrina
🔄
81'
Yago Souza ↔ Gabriel Domingos
America Mineiro
🔄
81'
Paulo Victor ↔ G. Italo
America Mineiro
🟨
85'
Willian Bigode
America Mineiro
🔄
85'
Kaue Leonardo ↔ Wallace
Londrina
VAR
90+1'
Gilberto
Londrina
🔄
90+2'
Felipe Amaral ↔ Gonzalo Mastriani
America Mineiro
🔄
90+2'
Guilherme Parede ↔ F. Elizari
America Mineiro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 74.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 58.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
74.1%
-
BTTS Yes
58.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
80.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
America Mineiro Win 16.1%
Draw 9.8%
Londrina Win 74.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
America Mineiro0.98
Londrina1.58
Recent Form (Last 5)
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WWDLW
10 GF / 27 GA
Londrina Londrina
WLDWL
24 GF / 24 GA
Key Stats
0.63
Average Goals Scored
1.5
1.69
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
11
4.38
Shots on Goal
3.69

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America Mineiro America Mineiro 16 matches
Londrina Londrina 16 matches
America Mineiro Statistic Londrina
1 Wins 5
3 Draws 3
12 Losses 8
10 Goals For 24
27 Goals Against 24
0.63 Avg Goals Scored 1.5
1.69 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 12
9 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 3
8 Failed To Score 6
4.38 Shots On Goal 3.69
12.31 Total Shots 11.69
5.44 Corners 5
54.3% Ball Possession 44.6%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Londrina. Londrina carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 15 with 18 points while America Mineiro sit 20 on 6, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America Mineiro expected to line up in 4-1-4-1 and Londrina in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Londrina having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 6 points from 16 matches. The overall return of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 12 defeats with a 10:27 goal balance points toward poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Going forward they depend heavily on G. Mastriani (3 goals), Felipe Amaral (1 goals), Nathan Cardoso (1 goals), with creative support from M. Segovia (2 assists), Willian (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 6 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Londrina Analysis

Londrina approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 18 points from 16 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 24:24 goal record continues to suggest good form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Bruno Santos (4 goals), Iago Teles (2 goals), Lucas Marques (1 goals), with creative support from Bruno Santos (3 assists), Iago Teles (1 assists), Lucas Marques (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 3 times, Londrina won 0 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:6 from America Mineiro's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (90.2%)
Predicted formations: America Mineiro 4-1-4-1 / Londrina 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: America Mineiro wins 3, draws 2, Londrina wins 0
Stats
America Mineiro America Mineiro
Londrina Londrina
Shots on Goal
6
Shots on Goal
2
Shots off Goal
11
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
6
Blocked Shots
5
7 Corner Kicks 7
14 Fouls 20
2 Offsides 3
62% Ball Possession 38%
23 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Goal 2
11 Shots off Goal 4
6 Blocked Shots 5
16 Shots insidebox 6
7 Shots outsidebox 5
1 Goalkeeper Saves 4
462 Total passes 284
414 Passes accurate 227
2.10 expected_goals 1.75
🟨 1 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

America Mineiro
Formation
Londrina
Gustavo
Gustavo
Alex Silva
Alex Silva
Ricardo Silva
Ricardo Silva
Manoel
Manoel
Dalbert
🎯
Dalbert
M. Segovia
M. Segovia
Felipe Amaral
Felipe Amaral
Yago Souza
Yago Souza
Guilherme Parede
Guilherme Parede
Paulo Victor
Paulo Victor
Gabriel Barros
Gabriel Barros
Mauricio Kozlinski
Mauricio Kozlinski
Kaue Leonardo
Kaue Leonardo
Yago Lincoln
Yago Lincoln
Gabriel Lacerda
Gabriel Lacerda
Heron
Heron
Tarik
Tarik
Vitinho Mota
Vitinho Mota
Joao Tavares
Joao Tavares
Joao Vitor
🎯
Joao Vitor
Pablo Dyego
Pablo Dyego
Paulinho Moccelin
Paulinho Moccelin
America Mineiro 4-3-3
Starting XI
1
Gustavo
G
15
Alex Silva
D
45
Ricardo Silva
D
26
Manoel
D
29
Dalbert
🎯 45'
D
77
M. Segovia
⚽ 45'
M
8
Felipe Amaral
↓ 90+2'
M
10
Yago Souza
↓ 81'
M
7
Guilherme Parede
↓ 90+2'
F
20
Paulo Victor
↓ 81'
F
11
Gabriel Barros
↓ 70'
F
Substitutes
19
William
G
9
Willian Bigode
↑ 70' 🟨 85'
F
17
Gonzalo Mastriani
↑ 90+2'
F
2
Emerson Santos
D
32
Filipe Dahora
5
F. Elizari
↑ 90+2'
M
93
Jorge Jimenez
M
6
Gabriel Domingos
↑ 81'
M
42
Jhonny
D
4
Rafa Barcelos
D
30
L. Montes
D
39
G. Italo
↑ 81'
F
Londrina 4-1-4-1
Starting XI
30
Mauricio Kozlinski
G
75
Kaue Leonardo
↓ 85'
D
3
Yago Lincoln
⚽ 57'
D
15
Gabriel Lacerda
D
34
Heron
↓ 55'
D
5
Tarik
↓ 55' 🟨 50'
M
7
Vitinho Mota
↓ 70'
M
32
Joao Tavares
M
20
Joao Vitor
🎯 57' 🟨 74'
M
19
Pablo Dyego
M
18
Paulinho Moccelin
↓ 55'
F
Substitutes
1
Luan Ribeiro
G
22
Artur
↑ 55'
D
96
Thalis
↑ 55' 🟨 62'
M
33
Kevyn
D
55
Caio Rafael
F
44
Caio Rodrigues
D
4
Wallace
↑ 85'
D
9
Gilberto
↑ 55'
F
2
Nino Paraiba
↑ 70'
D
6
Rafael Monteiro
D
17
Andre Cardoso
Last matches: America Mineiro
24.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
3
L
20.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
16.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
3
L
08.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
26.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
21.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Avai
1
2
L
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
02.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
0
1
L
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
16.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
3
0
W
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
30.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Juventude
0
3
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
1
1
D
10.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
0
4
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
24.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
0
1
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
Last matches: Londrina
22.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
18.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
0
0
D
14.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
10.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
0
1
L
26.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
1
4
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
18.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Botafogo SP
0
0
D
04.07.26
Ser
Londrina
CRB
5
0
W
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
20.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Athletic Club
2
0
W
16.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Avai
3
2
W
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
31.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Vila Nova
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
12.05.26
Ser
Londrina
São Bernardo
1
3
L
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
19.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
H2H: America Mineiro vs Londrina
13.07.26
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
08.11.19
H2H
Londrina
America Mineiro
0
1
W
07.08.19
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
4
3
W
18.11.17
H2H
Londrina
America Mineiro
0
0
D
01.08.17
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
3
2
W
Last matches: America Mineiro
16.08.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
1
3
L
26.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Goias
1
0
W
17.07.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Ceara
1
1
D
23.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Criciuma
0
1
L
08.06.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
24.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
1
2
L
03.05.26
Ser
America Mineiro
CRB
1
2
L
18.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
0
0
D
12.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
0
3
L
01.04.26
Ser
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
1
2
L
H2H at home: America Mineiro
13.07.26
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
07.08.19
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
4
3
W
01.08.17
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
3
2
W
Last matches: Londrina
22.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Ceara
1
2
L
14.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Sport Recife
1
2
L
10.08.26
Ser
Londrina
Goias
0
1
L
23.07.26
Ser
Londrina
Nautico Recife
1
2
L
25.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Cuiaba
2
2
D
06.06.26
Ser
Londrina
Criciuma
0
1
L
23.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Fortaleza EC
0
3
L
18.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Ponte Preta
4
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Londrina
Operario-PR
0
3
L
26.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Juventude
0
1
L
12.04.26
Ser
Londrina
Atletico Goianiense
1
2
L
22.03.26
Ser
Londrina
Novorizontino
3
1
W
H2H away: Londrina
13.07.26
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
1
1
D
07.08.19
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
4
3
L
01.08.17
H2H
America Mineiro
Londrina
3
2
L

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 24 12 8 4 25:17 8 44
L D W L D
3 24 12 5 7 35:25 10 41
D W W L L
4 24 11 7 6 39:21 18 40
W W D L W
5 24 11 7 6 27:21 6 40
W D D D W
6 24 9 11 4 32:22 10 38
W L W W D
7 24 10 6 8 35:34 1 36
L W D W W
8 24 10 6 8 30:31 -1 36
D L L L L
9 24 9 9 6 27:23 4 36
W D L D W
10 24 8 10 6 25:25 0 34
L L W W D
11 24 9 6 9 23:29 -6 33
D L L W L
12 24 7 12 5 21:18 3 33
D W W D D
13 24 8 8 8 33:27 6 32
D D L W L
14 24 8 7 9 28:26 2 31
L D W W L
15 24 8 7 9 28:27 1 31
D W D D D
16 24 8 5 11 27:30 -3 29
W W W L L
17 24 7 7 10 25:30 -5 28
W L L W W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 24 2 5 17 16:42 -26 11
L L L L W
20 24 2 4 18 16:50 -34 10
L L D L D
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