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BRAZIL › SERIE B
26.10.2026 22:30

America Mineiro vs Cuiaba Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 71.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
71.5%
- ▥
BTTS No
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
72.8%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 0-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
America Mineiro Win 28.5%
Draw 20.1%
Cuiaba Win 51.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
America Mineiro0.71
Cuiaba1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WWDLW
22 GF / 54 GA
Cuiaba Cuiaba
WLDWL
32 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
0.97
1.59
Average Goals Conceded
0.79
14
BTTS Yes
11
16
Over 2.5
8
4.41
Shots on Goal
4.15

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America Mineiro America Mineiro 34 matches
Cuiaba Cuiaba 33 matches
America Mineiro Statistic Cuiaba
5 Wins 11
5 Draws 14
24 Losses 8
22 Goals For 32
54 Goals Against 26
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 0.97
1.59 Avg Goals Conceded 0.79
14 BTTS Yes 11
23 Over 1.5 20
16 Over 2.5 8
4 Over 3.5 3
5 Clean Sheets 14
16 Failed To Score 14
4.41 Shots On Goal 4.15
13.53 Total Shots 13.55
5.44 Corners 5.42
52.4% Ball Possession 48.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Cuiaba's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America Mineiro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Cuiaba in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cuiaba having the stronger overall control. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Cuiaba carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 11 with 47 points while America Mineiro sit 19 on 20, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Cuiaba. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 19 with 20 points from 34 matches. Across the season they have posted 5 wins, 5 draws, and 24 defeats, and the 22:54 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (4 goals), Willian (3 goals), M. Segovia (2 goals), with creative support from Willian (2 assists), M. Segovia (2 assists), Paulo Victor (2 assists), while at the back they have been quite vulnerable. At home, they have returned 4 wins, 3 draws, and 10 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Cuiaba Analysis

So far, Cuiaba have built a campaign that leaves them 11 in the table on 47 points from 33 matches. Their overall return of 11 wins, 14 draws, and 8 losses with goals at 32:26 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kauan (5 goals), João Basso (2 goals), Fábio Gomes (2 goals), with creative support from Pepê (3 assists), Eliel (3 assists), Kauan (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared fairly stable. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 7 draws, and 5 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 4 times, Cuiaba won 5 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:14 from America Mineiro's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.15 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (79.9%)
Predicted formations: America Mineiro 4-2-3-1 / Cuiaba 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: America Mineiro wins 4, draws 4, Cuiaba wins 5

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 34 18 8 8 48:33 15 62
D W D W W
2 34 17 10 7 61:30 31 61
D W W W D
3 34 17 10 7 41:23 18 61
D D W W W
4 34 16 12 6 41:29 12 60
W D W D D
5 34 17 8 9 35:28 7 59
W W L W W
6 34 14 12 8 42:32 10 54
D D L W W
7 34 15 7 12 51:48 3 52
L D W L W
8 34 13 12 9 45:37 8 51
L D W W L
9 33 14 6 13 34:40 -6 48
W W L L W
10 34 13 9 12 44:46 -2 48
L L L L D
11 33 11 14 8 32:26 6 47
L D W L W
12 34 12 10 12 46:37 9 46
L D L W D
13 34 12 8 14 38:38 0 44
W W W L W
14 34 10 14 10 40:39 1 44
D D L L D
15 34 11 10 13 37:42 -5 43
D L W W D
16 33 11 9 13 39:42 -3 42
L L D W L
17 34 10 7 17 33:43 -10 37
D W W L L
18 33 7 8 18 42:49 -7 29
D L L L L
19 34 5 5 24 22:54 -32 20
W L L L L
20 34 3 5 26 19:74 -55 14
D L L L L
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