BRAZIL SERIE B
--.--.---- --:--
Arena Independência
Referee: E. Batista
America Mineiro
Match Timeline
Criciuma
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
21'
Dalbert
America Mineiro
31'
Cesar Martins · Assist: Gui Lobo
Criciuma
🟨
41'
Waguininho
Criciuma
🟨
51'
César Martins
Criciuma
🔄
54'
Cesar Martins ↔ Bruno Alves
Criciuma
🔄
57'
Jorge Jimenez ↔ Felipe Amaral
America Mineiro
🔄
58'
Gabriel Barros ↔ Yago Souza
America Mineiro
🔄
63'
M. Segovia ↔ Paulo Victor
America Mineiro
🔄
63'
R. Otero ↔ Jhonata Robert
Criciuma
🔄
63'
Waguininho ↔ Caue Santos
Criciuma
🔄
64'
Gonzalo Mastriani ↔ Willian Bigode
America Mineiro
🔄
79'
Manoel ↔ G. Italo
America Mineiro
🔄
84'
Willean Lepo ↔ Marcinho
Criciuma
🔄
85'
Eduardo ↔ Diego Goncalves
Criciuma
🟨
89'
Guilherme Lobo
Criciuma
🟨
90+5'
Paulo Victor
America Mineiro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 84%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
84%
-
BTTS Yes
67.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
America Mineiro Win 9.1%
Draw 6.9%
Criciuma Win 84%
Expected Goals (xG)
America Mineiro0.8
Criciuma1.43
Recent Form (Last 5)
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WWDLW
10 GF / 24 GA
Criciuma Criciuma
WLDWL
15 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.77
Average Goals Scored
1.15
1.85
Average Goals Conceded
0.85
7
BTTS Yes
8
9
Over 2.5
3
4.85
Shots on Goal
3.77

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America Mineiro America Mineiro 13 matches
Criciuma Criciuma 13 matches
America Mineiro Statistic Criciuma
1 Wins 5
3 Draws 6
9 Losses 2
10 Goals For 15
24 Goals Against 11
0.77 Avg Goals Scored 1.15
1.85 Avg Goals Conceded 0.85
7 BTTS Yes 8
11 Over 1.5 8
9 Over 2.5 3
2 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 4
5 Failed To Score 2
4.85 Shots On Goal 3.77
13.08 Total Shots 13.08
6 Corners 6.23
55.2% Ball Possession 52.4%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Criciuma's more proactive style and America Mineiro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Criciuma carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 7 with 20 points while America Mineiro sit 20 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America Mineiro expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Criciuma in 3-4-2-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Criciuma having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Criciuma.

America Mineiro Analysis

With 3 points from 12 games and a place of 20, America Mineiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 9 defeats, and the 7:24 goal record continues to suggest poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Emerson Santos (1 goals), F. Elizari (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Criciuma Analysis

Criciuma are currently 7 in the standings with 20 points from 12 matches. The record of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 14:10 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Bruno Alves (3 goals), Fellipe Mateus (3 goals), Nicolas (2 goals), with creative support from Rómulo Otero (2 assists), Romarinho (2 assists), Nicolas (1 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, the record of 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 13 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 5 times, Criciuma won 2 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:11 from America Mineiro's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.1%)
Predicted formations: America Mineiro 4-2-3-1 / Criciuma 3-4-2-1
H2H summary: America Mineiro wins 5, draws 6, Criciuma wins 2

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 24 13 6 5 26:13 13 45
W W D W W
2 25 13 5 7 37:25 12 44
W D W W L
3 25 12 8 5 26:19 7 44
L L D W L
4 25 12 7 6 41:22 19 43
W W W D L
5 25 11 8 6 28:22 6 41
D W D D D
6 25 11 6 8 37:35 2 39
W L W D W
7 25 10 9 6 28:23 5 39
W W D L D
8 25 9 11 5 33:24 9 38
L W L W W
9 25 10 7 8 31:32 -1 37
D D L L L
10 25 10 6 9 25:30 -5 36
W D L L W
11 25 8 12 5 23:19 4 36
W D W W D
12 25 9 7 9 30:28 2 34
W D W D D
13 25 8 10 7 26:27 -1 34
L L L W W
14 25 8 8 9 34:29 5 32
L D D L W
15 25 8 7 10 29:28 1 31
L L D W W
16 25 8 5 12 27:31 -4 29
L W W W L
17 25 7 7 11 25:32 -7 28
L W L L W
18 24 5 6 13 29:36 -7 21
L D L L L
19 25 3 5 17 18:42 -24 14
W L L L L
20 25 2 4 19 16:52 -36 10
L L L D L
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