Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Away or Draw |
78.6%
|
- | |
| BTTS | No |
65.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
80.5%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Draw / Away |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 0-1 |
-
|
- |
America Mineiro
Ceara
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
America Mineiro
17 matches
Ceara
17 matches
| America Mineiro | Statistic | Ceara |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wins | 4 |
| 4 | Draws | 6 |
| 12 | Losses | 7 |
| 11 | Goals For | 15 |
| 28 | Goals Against | 20 |
| 0.65 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 1.65 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.18 |
| 8 | BTTS Yes | 8 |
| 12 | Over 1.5 | 12 |
| 9 | Over 2.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 1 |
| 2 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 8 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.47 | Shots On Goal | 3.76 |
| 12.94 | Total Shots | 13.12 |
| 5.53 | Corners | 5.94 |
| 54.8% | Ball Possession | 50.6% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ceara. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with America Mineiro expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Ceara in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Ceara having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Ceara carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 17 with 18 points while America Mineiro sit 20 on 7, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.
With 7 points from 17 games and a place of 20, America Mineiro still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 4 draws, and 12 defeats, and the 11:28 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Matías Segovia (1 goals), Felipe Amaral (1 goals), with creative support from Matías Segovia (2 assists), Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
With 18 points from 17 games and a place of 17, Ceara still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 4 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 15:20 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Melk (4 goals), Júlio César (2 goals), Matheus Araújo (2 goals), with creative support from Melk (3 assists), Júlio César (1 assists), Fernandinho (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 5 times, Ceara won 3 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:16 from America Mineiro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.
America Mineiro
4
3
4
2
4
6
Lineups
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
America Mineiro
Goias
America Mineiro
Avai
America Mineiro
Londrina
America Mineiro
Cuiaba
America Mineiro
Operario-PR
America Mineiro
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Fortaleza EC
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Juventude
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
São Bernardo
America Mineiro
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
CRB
America Mineiro
Ponte Preta
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Ceara
São Bernardo
Ceara
CRB
Ceara
Athletic Club
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Avai
Ceara
Operario-PR
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Atletico Goianiense
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Vila Nova
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Nautico Recife
America Mineiro
Athletic Club
America Mineiro
Goias
America Mineiro
Londrina
America Mineiro
Criciuma
America Mineiro
Atletico Goianiense
America Mineiro
Vila Nova
America Mineiro
CRB
America Mineiro
Sport Recife
America Mineiro
Novorizontino
America Mineiro
Botafogo SP
Ceara
Nautico Recife
Ceara
São Bernardo
Ceara
Goias
Ceara
Juventude
Ceara
Criciuma
Ceara
Novorizontino
Ceara
Sport Recife
Ceara
Londrina
Ceara
Cuiaba
Ceara
Ponte Preta
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 26:13 | 13 | 45 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 24 | 12 | 8 | 4 | 25:17 | 8 | 44 |
L
D
W
L
D
|
|
| 3 | 24 | 12 | 5 | 7 | 35:25 | 10 | 41 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 4 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 39:21 | 18 | 40 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27:21 | 6 | 40 |
W
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 24 | 9 | 11 | 4 | 32:22 | 10 | 38 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 35:34 | 1 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 30:31 | -1 | 36 |
D
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 6 | 27:23 | 4 | 36 |
W
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 10 | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 23:29 | -6 | 33 |
D
L
L
W
L
|
|
| 12 | 24 | 7 | 12 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 33 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 13 | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 33:27 | 6 | 32 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:26 | 2 | 31 |
L
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
D
W
D
D
D
|
|
| 16 | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 27:30 | -3 | 29 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 |
Ceara
Away
|
24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25:30 | -5 | 28 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
| 18 | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 29:36 | -7 | 21 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 19 |
America Mineiro
Home
|
24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 16:42 | -26 | 11 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
| 20 | 24 | 2 | 4 | 18 | 16:50 | -34 | 10 |
L
L
D
L
D
|