BRAZIL › SERIE B
08.06.2026 23:00
Arena Independência
Referee: L. Bellote
America Mineiro
Match Timeline
Atletico Goianiense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
Felipe Amaral · Assist: M. Segovia
America Mineiro
⚽
33'
Marrony · Assist: Guilherme
Atletico Goianiense
🟨
56'
Guilherme Marques
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
64'
Matheus Indio ↔ Leandro Vilela
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
64'
Geovany Soares ↔ Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
68'
Felipe Amaral ↔ Val Soares
America Mineiro
🔄
68'
Dalbert ↔ L. Montes
America Mineiro
⚽
73'
Gustavo Coutinho · Assist: Bruno Jose
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
74'
Gabriel Barros ↔ Paulo Victor
America Mineiro
🔄
76'
Guilherme ↔ Leo Tocantins
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
81'
M. Segovia ↔ Willian Bigode
America Mineiro
🔄
81'
Ale ↔ Yago Souza
America Mineiro
🔄
87'
Cristiano ↔ Nata
Atletico Goianiense
🔄
87'
Marrony ↔ Adriano Martins
Atletico Goianiense

America Mineiro vs Atletico Goianiense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 45.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
63.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
54.3%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
45.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
America Mineiro Win 18.2%
Draw 18.7%
Atletico Goianiense Win 63.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
America Mineiro0.73
Atletico Goianiense1.35
Recent Form (Last 5)
America Mineiro America Mineiro
WWDLW
6 GF / 22 GA
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense
WLDWL
10 GF / 11 GA
Key Stats
0.55
Average Goals Scored
0.91
2
Average Goals Conceded
1
6
BTTS Yes
7
7
Over 2.5
4
4.55
Shots on Goal
3.73

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

America Mineiro America Mineiro 11 matches
Atletico Goianiense Atletico Goianiense 11 matches
America Mineiro Statistic Atletico Goianiense
0 Wins 3
3 Draws 4
8 Losses 4
6 Goals For 10
22 Goals Against 11
0.55 Avg Goals Scored 0.91
2 Avg Goals Conceded 1
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 7
7 Over 2.5 4
2 Over 3.5 0
1 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 3
4.55 Shots On Goal 3.73
13.36 Total Shots 13.27
6.36 Corners 6.18
56.4% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Atletico Goianiense. America Mineiro have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Atletico Goianiense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 14 with 13 points while America Mineiro sit 20 on 3, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output.

America Mineiro Analysis

America Mineiro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 20 with 3 points from 11 matches. Across the season they have posted 0 wins, 3 draws, and 8 defeats, and the 6:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Their attacking burden often falls on Gonzalo Mastriani (3 goals), Emerson Santos (1 goals), F. Elizari (1 goals), with creative support from Willian Bigode (2 assists), Felipe Amaral (1 assists), Matías Segovia (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atletico Goianiense Analysis

With 13 points from 11 games and a place of 14, Atletico Goianiense still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 4 defeats with a 10:11 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Gustavo Coutinho (3 goals), Guilherme (2 goals), Leo Jaco (2 goals), with creative support from Guilherme (2 assists), Geovany Soares (2 assists), Ewerthon (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, America Mineiro won 4 times, Atletico Goianiense won 4 times, while 7 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:15 from America Mineiro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 8 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (81.8%)
Predicted formations: America Mineiro 4-2-3-1 / Atletico Goianiense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: America Mineiro wins 4, draws 7, Atletico Goianiense wins 4

Standings

Serie B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 15 6 8 41:31 10 51
W D W L W
2 29 14 9 6 33:24 9 51
W D W W D
3 29 14 8 7 49:27 22 50
L D W W W
4 29 14 8 7 31:19 12 50
L L W D D
5 29 13 8 8 41:36 5 47
W D W W D
6 29 13 8 8 28:27 1 47
L L L W L
7 29 12 10 7 36:27 9 46
L W W D W
8 29 13 6 10 42:41 1 45
L W L W W
9 29 11 11 7 39:29 10 44
W L W L L
10 29 10 13 6 30:22 8 43
W D W L W
11 29 12 6 11 30:35 -5 42
W W L L W
12 29 11 8 10 40:31 9 41
W W L W L
13 29 10 11 8 34:31 3 41
D W L W L
14 29 10 8 11 35:36 -1 38
L D L W W
15 29 9 8 12 31:37 -6 35
W D L W L
16 29 8 8 13 32:36 -4 32
D L L L L
17 29 8 6 15 30:38 -8 30
L D L L L
18 29 7 7 15 39:41 -2 28
L W W L D
19 29 4 5 20 21:49 -28 17
L L W L W
20 29 3 4 22 17:62 -45 13
W L L L L
Promotion
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