BRAZIL SERIE C
29.08.2026 20:00
Referee: A. de Morais
Amazonas
Match Timeline
Ypiranga-RS
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
17'
Marcondes
Amazonas
19'
Lucas Ramos
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
24'
Marcelinho
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
36'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
45+5'
Amazonas
Amazonas
🔄
46'
Bernardo Daciolo ↔ A. Graffin
Amazonas
🔄
46'
Alyson ↔ Ronan
Amazonas
🔄
46'
I. Panzariello ↔ Guty
Amazonas
49'
Cleiton
Ypiranga-RS
51'
Ronan
Amazonas
🟨
56'
A. Graffin
Amazonas
🔄
57'
Vinicius Leite ↔ Geuvanio
Amazonas
🔄
57'
Mago ↔ Allison
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
57'
Marcelinho ↔ Nathan Zamith
Ypiranga-RS
60'
Ronaldo
Amazonas
🟨
64'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
65'
Lucas Ramos ↔ Walce
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
66'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS
🔄
71'
Alex Goncalves ↔ Vini Charopem
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
82'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS
🟨
83'
Amazonas
Amazonas
🔄
86'
Jhonny Lucas ↔ Cicinho
Amazonas
🟨
89'
Ypiranga-RS
Ypiranga-RS

Amazonas vs Ypiranga-RS Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.14
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 1.91
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds 2.18
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
48.4%
2.14
BTTS Yes
62.8%
1.91
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
2.18
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
3.00
HT / FT Home / Home
-
3.40
Correct Score 2-1
-
10.00
Probability Distribution
Amazonas Win 48.4%
Draw 15%
Ypiranga-RS Win 36.6%
Expected Goals (xG)
Amazonas1.1
Ypiranga-RS1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Amazonas Amazonas
WWDLW
19 GF / 21 GA
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS
WLDWL
27 GF / 22 GA
Key Stats
1.06
Average Goals Scored
1.42
1.17
Average Goals Conceded
1.16
6
BTTS Yes
11
7
Over 2.5
10
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Amazonas Amazonas 18 matches
Ypiranga-RS Ypiranga-RS 19 matches
Amazonas Statistic Ypiranga-RS
7 Wins 9
4 Draws 4
7 Losses 6
19 Goals For 27
21 Goals Against 22
1.06 Avg Goals Scored 1.42
1.17 Avg Goals Conceded 1.16
6 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 3
7 Clean Sheets 7
6 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Ypiranga-RS's more proactive style and Amazonas's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ypiranga-RS. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ypiranga-RS having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Amazonas Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Amazonas have collected 24 points and now occupy 9 place in the table. The record of 7 wins, 3 draws, and 7 defeats, together with a 18:20 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, the record of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Ypiranga-RS Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Ypiranga-RS have collected 25 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Their overall return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 24:22 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Amazonas won 0 times, Ypiranga-RS won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Amazonas's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85%)
H2H summary: Amazonas wins 0, draws 1, Ypiranga-RS wins 0

Standings

First stage
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 19 10 3 6 28:19 9 33
L L W W D
2 19 9 5 5 28:22 6 32
D W D D W
3 19 8 6 5 22:15 7 30
W D W L W
4 19 8 6 5 32:30 2 30
L W W W D
5 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
W L W W W
6 19 8 6 5 22:20 2 30
D D D D L
7 19 9 2 8 26:27 -1 29
L L L W L
8 19 8 5 6 20:15 5 29
W W D W L
9 19 8 5 6 27:24 3 29
D W D W W
10 19 7 7 5 34:24 10 28
D L D L W
11 19 7 7 5 19:22 -3 28
W D W D W
12 19 7 6 6 19:18 1 27
L W W W D
13 19 7 5 7 21:23 -2 26
D D D W W
14 19 6 7 6 17:16 1 25
D L L W L
15 19 6 4 9 18:21 -3 22
L L L W L
16 19 6 3 10 13:25 -12 21
L L W L L
17 19 5 6 8 21:21 0 21
W L W L L
18 19 5 4 10 17:22 -5 19
D W L W W
19 19 4 5 10 14:27 -13 17
L L L L D
20 19 3 4 12 11:20 -9 13
L L D L D
Play-offs
Relegation