BRAZIL SERIE C
--.--.---- --:--
Amazonas
Match Timeline
Paysandu
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
3'
Lucas Cardoso
Paysandu
🟨
15'
Kauan Firmo
Amazonas
21'
N. Schiappacasse
Amazonas
🟨
24'
I. Panzariello
Amazonas
🟨
31'
Juninho
Paysandu
🟨
58'
Marcinho
Paysandu
🔄
63'
Pablo ↔ Thalyson
Paysandu
🔄
63'
F. Bonifazi ↔ Luciano Taboca
Paysandu
🟨
70'
Pedro Henrique
Paysandu
🔄
71'
I. Panzariello ↔ Jhonny Lucas
Amazonas
🔄
71'
Rafael Furlan ↔ Italo Silva
Amazonas
🔄
71'
Ronaldo ↔ Bernardo Daciolo
Amazonas
77'
N. Schiappacasse
Amazonas
🔄
78'
Caio Mello ↔ Henrico
Paysandu
🔄
78'
Juninho ↔ Italo Carvalho
Paysandu
🔄
82'
Alyson ↔ Jonas
Amazonas
🔄
89'
N. Schiappacasse ↔ Y. Mena
Amazonas
🟨
90+6'
Edilson
Paysandu

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 57.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
57.8%
-
BTTS Yes
62.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Amazonas Win 23.3%
Draw 18.9%
Paysandu Win 57.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Amazonas1.1
Paysandu1.49
Recent Form (Last 5)
Amazonas Amazonas
WWDLW
13 GF / 19 GA
Paysandu Paysandu
WLDWL
22 GF / 19 GA
Key Stats
0.93
Average Goals Scored
1.57
1.36
Average Goals Conceded
1.36
4
BTTS Yes
10
5
Over 2.5
8
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Amazonas Amazonas 14 matches
Paysandu Paysandu 14 matches
Amazonas Statistic Paysandu
5 Wins 7
2 Draws 2
7 Losses 5
13 Goals For 22
19 Goals Against 19
0.93 Avg Goals Scored 1.57
1.36 Avg Goals Conceded 1.36
4 BTTS Yes 10
9 Over 1.5 11
5 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 4
5 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 2
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Paysandu's more proactive style and Amazonas's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Paysandu. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Paysandu having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Paysandu carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 4 with 23 points while Amazonas sit 14 on 17, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Amazonas Analysis

Amazonas sit 14 with 17 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Their record of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, together with goals at 13:19, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Paysandu Analysis

Paysandu sit 4 with 23 points after 14 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 7 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 22:19 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Amazonas won 3 times, Paysandu won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:9 from Amazonas's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.38 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (81.1%)
H2H summary: Amazonas wins 3, draws 3, Paysandu wins 2

Lineups

Amazonas
Formation
Paysandu
Joao Lopes
Joao Lopes
Marcondes
Marcondes
I. Panzariello
I. Panzariello
Rafael Furlan
Rafael Furlan
Ronaldo
Ronaldo
Rafael Tavares
Rafael Tavares
Alyson
Alyson
Diego Ivo
Diego Ivo
Kauan Firmo
Kauan Firmo
N. Schiappacasse
⚽ 2
N. Schiappacasse
P. Nunez
P. Nunez
Marcao
Marcao
Edilson
Edilson
Pedro Carrerette
Pedro Carrerette
Bruno Bispo
Bruno Bispo
F. Bonifazi
F. Bonifazi
Pedro Henrique
Pedro Henrique
Caio Mello
Caio Mello
Marcinho
Marcinho
Pablo
Pablo
Lucas Cardoso
Lucas Cardoso
Juninho
Juninho
Amazonas 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
Joao Lopes
3
Marcondes
5
I. Panzariello
↓ 71' 🟨 24'
6
Rafael Furlan
↓ 71'
9
Ronaldo
↓ 71'
10
Rafael Tavares
13
Alyson
↓ 82'
14
Diego Ivo
15
Kauan Firmo
🟨 15'
20
N. Schiappacasse
⚽ 21' ⚽ 77' ↓ 89'
23
P. Nunez
Substitutes
12
Axel Lopes
4
Jonas
↑ 82'
8
Jhonny Lucas
↑ 71'
11
Vinicius Leite
16
Wendell
17
Y. Mena
↑ 89'
18
Carlinhos
19
P. Castro
21
A. Graffin
22
Guga
25
Italo Silva
↑ 71'
30
Bernardo Daciolo
↑ 71'
Paysandu 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
41
Marcao
2
Edilson
🟨 90+6'
44
Pedro Carrerette
14
Bruno Bispo
31
F. Bonifazi
↓ 63'
39
Pedro Henrique
🟨 70'
8
Caio Mello
↓ 78'
10
Marcinho
🟨 58'
80
Pablo
↓ 63'
99
Lucas Cardoso
⚽ 3'
98
Juninho
↓ 78' 🟨 31'
Substitutes
1
Jean Drosny
4
larley Brito
5
Henrico
↑ 78'
9
Italo Carvalho
↑ 78'
20
R. Vieira
23
Brian Macapa
25
Tiago Indio
30
Thalyson
↑ 63'
77
Luciano Taboca
↑ 63'
Last matches: Amazonas
23.08.26
Ser
Amazonas
Brusque
1
1
D
15.08.26
Ser
Amazonas
Botafogo PB
0
0
D
09.08.26
Ser
Amazonas
Maringá
3
0
W
12.07.26
Ser
Amazonas
Inter De Limeira
0
1
L
07.07.26
Ser
Amazonas
AO Itabaiana
0
2
L
30.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Volta Redonda
0
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Barra
1
1
D
13.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Anápolis
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Guarani Campinas
0
5
L
24.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Ferroviária
1
2
L
16.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Floresta
2
3
L
10.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Figueirense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Caxias
1
1
D
26.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Santa Cruz
1
0
W
18.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Maranhão
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Ituano
3
0
W
05.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Confiança
1
0
W
Last matches: Paysandu
22.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ituano
1
0
W
17.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ferroviária
0
4
L
10.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Confiança
2
1
W
12.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Guarani Campinas
3
2
W
05.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
27.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Santa Cruz
1
3
L
21.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maranhão
1
0
W
14.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Inter De Limeira
1
2
L
31.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Figueirense
1
2
L
25.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Floresta
2
1
W
17.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Caxias
0
2
L
09.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Anápolis
2
1
W
03.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Botafogo PB
4
2
W
25.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
AO Itabaiana
4
1
W
18.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Barra
1
1
D
12.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Brusque
1
1
D
05.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Volta Redonda
1
0
W
H2H: Amazonas vs Paysandu
26.07.26
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
2
1
W
14.11.25
H2H
Paysandu
Amazonas
2
2
D
24.07.25
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
1
D
06.09.24
H2H
Paysandu
Amazonas
0
1
W
18.05.24
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
1
D
01.10.23
H2H
Paysandu
Amazonas
1
2
W
09.09.23
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
0
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
2
L
Last matches: Amazonas
15.08.26
Ser
Amazonas
Botafogo PB
0
0
D
07.07.26
Ser
Amazonas
AO Itabaiana
0
2
L
13.06.26
Ser
Amazonas
Anápolis
1
0
W
24.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Ferroviária
1
2
L
10.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Figueirense
0
1
L
03.05.26
Ser
Amazonas
Caxias
1
1
D
18.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Maranhão
2
0
W
12.04.26
Ser
Amazonas
Ituano
3
0
W
H2H at home: Amazonas
26.07.26
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
2
1
W
24.07.25
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
1
D
18.05.24
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
1
D
09.09.23
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
0
1
L
08.07.23
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
2
L
Last matches: Paysandu
22.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ituano
1
0
W
17.08.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ferroviária
0
4
L
05.07.26
Ser
Paysandu
Ypiranga-RS
0
1
L
21.06.26
Ser
Paysandu
Maranhão
1
0
W
31.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Figueirense
1
2
L
17.05.26
Ser
Paysandu
Caxias
0
2
L
25.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
AO Itabaiana
4
1
W
05.04.26
Ser
Paysandu
Volta Redonda
1
0
W
H2H away: Paysandu
26.07.26
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
2
1
L
24.07.25
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
1
D
18.05.24
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
1
D
09.09.23
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
0
1
W
08.07.23
H2H
Amazonas
Paysandu
1
2
W

Standings

Serie C
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 18 9 4 5 26:20 6 31
D W L W L
2 18 9 3 6 26:19 7 30
W D D W W
3 18 9 2 7 26:26 0 29
W L W L W
4 18 8 5 5 22:20 2 29
D L W L W
5 18 8 4 6 19:14 5 28
W L D L W
6 18 8 4 6 25:22 3 28
W D W W L
7 18 7 6 5 32:22 10 27
L D L W L
8 18 7 6 5 21:15 6 27
L W D D W
9 18 7 6 5 18:16 2 27
W W W D W
10 18 7 6 5 31:30 1 27
W D L D W
11 18 7 6 5 20:20 0 27
W W L D D
12 18 7 4 7 19:21 -2 25
D D W W L
13 18 6 7 5 17:21 -4 25
D W D W D
14 18 6 6 6 17:16 1 24
L L W L D
15 18 6 4 8 18:19 -1 22
L L W L L
16 18 6 3 9 13:23 -10 21
L W L L D
17 18 5 3 10 16:21 -5 18
W L W W L
18 18 4 6 8 19:21 -2 18
L W L L L
19 18 4 5 9 14:25 -11 17
L L L D W
20 18 3 4 11 11:19 -8 13
L D L D L
Play-offs
Relegation