Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.4%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
88.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Alverca Win 64.4%
Draw 5.5%
Santa Clara Win 30.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alverca0.91
Santa Clara1.63
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alverca
WWDLW
8 GF / 6 GA
Santa Clara
WLDWL
15 GF / 4 GA
Key Stats
1.14
Average Goals Scored
2.14
0.86
Average Goals Conceded
0.57
2
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
4
4.5
Shots on Goal
4.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alverca
7 matches
Santa Clara
7 matches
| Alverca | Statistic | Santa Clara |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 5 |
| 1 | Draws | 2 |
| 2 | Losses | 0 |
| 8 | Goals For | 15 |
| 6 | Goals Against | 4 |
| 1.14 | Avg Goals Scored | 2.14 |
| 0.86 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.57 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 4 | Over 1.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 1 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 4 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 4.5 | Shots On Goal | 4.5 |
| 14.5 | Total Shots | 13.5 |
| 5.5 | Corners | 3 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 45.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 2 head-to-head meetings, Alverca won 0 times, Santa Clara won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 2:3 from Alverca's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.5%)
Predicted formations: Alverca 3-4-2-1 / Santa Clara 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alverca wins 0, draws 1, Santa Clara wins 1
Last matches: Alverca
15.08.26
Pri
Alverca
Estrela
2
2
D
09.08.26
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Alverca
Sporting CP B
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Mafra
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Estoril
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Alverca
CF Os Belenenses
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Alverca
União de Leiria
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Famalicao
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Estoril
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
1
L
24.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Nacional
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Casa Pia
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Rio Ave
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Alverca
Sporting CP
1
4
L
14.03.26
Pri
Alverca
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pri
Alverca
AVS
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Vitória SC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Tondela
1
1
D
Last matches: Santa Clara
15.08.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Academico Viseu
1
0
W
10.08.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
2
D
25.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Arouca
3
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Felgueiras 1932
1
1
D
22.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Moreirense
2
1
W
18.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Paredes
2
0
W
15.07.26
Fri
Santa Clara
Leça
4
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
1
L
11.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Nacional
2
0
W
02.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Arouca
2
2
D
26.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
SC Braga
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0
0
D
11.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
0
2
L
03.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
2
4
L
21.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
AVS
1
0
W
08.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Vitória SC
2
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Tondela
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Alverca
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Benfica
1
2
L
H2H: Alverca vs Santa Clara
21.02.26
H2H
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
20.09.25
H2H
Santa Clara
Alverca
2
1
L
Last matches: Alverca
15.08.26
Pri
Alverca
Estrela
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Alverca
Sporting CP B
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Estoril
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Alverca
CF Os Belenenses
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Estoril
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Casa Pia
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Alverca
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Alverca
AVS
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Estrela
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Moreirense
2
1
W
04.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Famalicao
1
0
W
22.12.25
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
3
L
07.12.25
Pri
Alverca
Nacional
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Alverca
Rio Ave
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Alverca
GIL Vicente
0
4
L
28.09.25
Pri
Alverca
Vitória SC
2
0
W
12.09.25
Pri
Alverca
Tondela
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Alverca
Benfica
1
2
L
H2H at home: Alverca
21.02.26
H2H
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
Last matches: Santa Clara
15.08.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Academico Viseu
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
FC Porto
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Arouca
2
2
D
18.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Casa Pia
0
0
D
03.04.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Sporting CP
2
4
L
15.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
AVS
1
0
W
01.03.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Tondela
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Alverca
1
1
D
07.02.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Estrela
0
1
L
24.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Moreirense
0
1
L
11.01.26
Pri
Santa Clara
Nacional
3
3
D
15.12.25
Pri
Santa Clara
SC Braga
0
1
L
30.11.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Rio Ave
1
1
D
03.11.25
Pri
Santa Clara
GIL Vicente
0
1
L
04.10.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Vitória SC
1
2
L
12.09.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Benfica
1
1
D
06.09.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Estoril
1
0
W
28.08.25
UEF
Santa Clara
Shamrock Rovers
0
0
D
10.08.25
Pri
Santa Clara
Famalicao
0
3
L
07.08.25
UEF
Santa Clara
Larne
3
0
W
H2H away: Santa Clara
21.02.26
H2H
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 9:2 | 7 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 6 |
Santa Clara
Away
|
2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
| 7 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 9 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4:4 | 0 | 2 |
D
D
|
|
| 10 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 14 |
Alverca
Home
|
2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 1 |
D
L
|
| 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:6 | -4 | 1 |
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:4 | -2 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2