Alverca
Match Timeline
Estrela
Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Alverca Win 69.2%
Draw 5.1%
Estrela Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alverca1
Estrela1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alverca
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Estrela
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
4
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alverca
6 matches
Estrela
8 matches
| Alverca | Statistic | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 6 | Goals For | 14 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 4 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 9 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Alverca won 0 times, Estrela won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Alverca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Alverca 3-4-2-1 / Estrela 4-3-3
H2H summary: Alverca wins 0, draws 3, Estrela wins 0
Stats
Alverca
Estrela
Shots on Goal
4
4
Shots on Goal
7
7
Shots off Goal
9
9
Shots off Goal
3
3
Blocked Shots
1
1
Blocked Shots
0
0
Lineups
Alverca
Formation
Estrela
Matheus Mendes
S. Baseya
Y. Bojang
B. Meupiyou
N. Touaizi
D. Gui
Ian Luccas
I. James
Chiquinho
Figueiredo
V. Semedo
Leo Linck
J. Encada
Luan Patrick
S. Lekovic
Rafa Soares
L. Zvonarek
G. Doue
Robinho
A. Marcus
L. Antonetti
I. Stoica
Alverca
3-4-2-1
Starting XI
31
Matheus Mendes
G
14
S. Baseya
D
4
Y. Bojang
D
33
B. Meupiyou
D
↓ 83'
2
N. Touaizi
M
6
D. Gui
M
↓ 59'
🟨 14'
25
Ian Luccas
M
⚽ 58'
↓ 83'
12
I. James
M
🎯 58'
↓ 75'
10
Chiquinho
F
🟥 74'
22
Figueiredo
F
9
V. Semedo
F
⚽ 62'
↓ 83'
🟨 44'
Substitutes
91
Jhonatan Luiz
G
55
Chissumba
D
↑ 75'
20
D. Spencer
D
15
I. Julian
D
27
T. Tamarit
F
18
Z. Kassary
M
8
V. Moreira
M
↑ 83'
30
A. Soumare
M
35
Rayan Lucas
M
🎯 62'
↑ 59'
19
M. Essimi
F
↑ 83'
17
S. J. Merheg
F
↑ 83'
11
C. Nuozzi
F
Estrela
4-3-3
Starting XI
24
Leo Linck
G
17
J. Encada
D
↓ 64'
30
Luan Patrick
D
🟨 17'
5
S. Lekovic
D
🟨 35'
55
Rafa Soares
D
🎯 51'
🎯 69'
↓ 90'
14
L. Zvonarek
M
39
G. Doue
M
🟨 43'
8
Robinho
M
↓ 64'
99
A. Marcus
F
⚽ 69'
37
L. Antonetti
F
⚽ 51'
↓ 88'
10
I. Stoica
F
↓ 64'
Substitutes
22
D. Grilo
G
51
D. Pinto
G
79
A. Chernev
D
4
Bernardo Schappo
D
21
M. Scholze
D
↑ 64'
3
L. Mincarelli
D
↑ 90'
28
T. Moustier
M
93
B. Souza
M
↑ 64'
78
S. Serra
M
71
E. Pedro Vanga
M
↑ 64'
🟨 85'
9
S. van Hooijdonk
F
↑ 88'
80
Alisson Souza
F
Last matches: Alverca
22.08.26
Pri
Alverca
Sporting CP
1
3
L
09.08.26
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
2
L
01.08.26
Fri
Alverca
Sporting CP B
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Mafra
0
1
L
22.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Estoril
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Alverca
CF Os Belenenses
2
1
W
11.07.26
Fri
Alverca
União de Leiria
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Famalicao
0
1
L
10.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Estoril
1
1
D
02.05.26
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
1
L
24.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
W
18.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Nacional
0
1
L
12.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Casa Pia
3
1
W
04.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Rio Ave
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Alverca
Sporting CP
1
4
L
14.03.26
Pri
Alverca
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
07.03.26
Pri
Alverca
AVS
0
0
D
28.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Vitória SC
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
13.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Tondela
1
1
D
Last matches: Estrela
08.08.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
2
2
D
01.08.26
Fri
Estrela
Al-Nassr
4
2
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Lusitano Évora 1911
1
0
W
29.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Portimonense
1
1
D
23.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Nacional
2
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Casa Pia
1
2
L
15.07.26
Fri
Estrela
Naval 1893
2
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
11.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
0
0
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
26.04.26
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
2
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
11.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
20.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
4
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
08.03.26
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
20.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
2
L
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
H2H: Alverca vs Estrela
15.08.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
2
2
D
11.07.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
0
0
D
31.01.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
1
1
D
25.08.25
H2H
Estrela
Alverca
2
2
D
Last matches: Alverca
01.08.26
Fri
Alverca
Sporting CP B
1
0
W
22.07.26
Fri
Alverca
Estoril
2
0
W
17.07.26
Fri
Alverca
CF Os Belenenses
2
1
W
10.05.26
Pri
Alverca
Estoril
1
1
D
24.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Arouca
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Alverca
Casa Pia
3
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Alverca
Sporting CP
1
4
L
07.03.26
Pri
Alverca
AVS
0
0
D
21.02.26
Pri
Alverca
Santa Clara
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Estrela
1
1
D
17.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Moreirense
2
1
W
04.01.26
Pri
Alverca
Famalicao
1
0
W
22.12.25
Pri
Alverca
FC Porto
0
3
L
07.12.25
Pri
Alverca
Nacional
1
0
W
08.11.25
Pri
Alverca
Rio Ave
1
1
D
24.10.25
Pri
Alverca
GIL Vicente
0
4
L
28.09.25
Pri
Alverca
Vitória SC
2
0
W
12.09.25
Pri
Alverca
Tondela
1
0
W
31.08.25
Pri
Alverca
Benfica
1
2
L
17.08.25
Pri
Alverca
SC Braga
0
3
L
H2H at home: Alverca
15.08.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
2
2
D
11.07.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
0
0
D
31.01.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
1
1
D
Last matches: Estrela
16.05.26
Pri
Estrela
SC Braga
2
2
D
02.05.26
Pri
Estrela
Moreirense
2
3
L
19.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Arouca
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Estrela
Nacional
0
2
L
15.03.26
Pri
Estrela
Rio Ave
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Estrela
AVS
0
0
D
14.02.26
Pri
Estrela
Vitória SC
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Alverca
1
1
D
25.01.26
Pri
Estrela
Benfica
0
4
L
27.12.25
Pri
Estrela
Famalicao
3
2
W
15.12.25
Pri
Estrela
FC Porto
1
3
L
30.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Sporting CP
0
4
L
01.11.25
Pri
Estrela
Casa Pia
5
3
W
04.10.25
Pri
Estrela
GIL Vicente
0
2
L
21.09.25
Pri
Estrela
Tondela
0
0
D
31.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Santa Clara
0
0
D
11.08.25
Pri
Estrela
Estoril
1
1
D
H2H away: Estrela
15.08.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
2
2
D
11.07.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
0
0
D
31.01.26
H2H
Alverca
Estrela
1
1
D