Alverca
Match Timeline
Estrela
Alverca vs Estrela Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
69.2%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
62.8%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
48.9%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.7%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Probability Distribution
Alverca Win 69.2%
Draw 5.1%
Estrela Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alverca1
Estrela1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alverca
WWDLW
6 GF / 4 GA
Estrela
WLDWL
14 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
3
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alverca
6 matches
Estrela
8 matches
| Alverca | Statistic | Estrela |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | Wins | 4 |
| 0 | Draws | 3 |
| 2 | Losses | 1 |
| 6 | Goals For | 14 |
| 4 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.75 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 1 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 3 | Over 1.5 | 7 |
| 1 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 3 |
| 2 | Failed To Score | 0 |
| 5 | Shots On Goal | 3 |
| 15 | Total Shots | 8 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 46% | Ball Possession | 44% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Alverca won 0 times, Estrela won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Alverca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Alverca 3-4-2-1 / Estrela 4-3-3
H2H summary: Alverca wins 0, draws 3, Estrela wins 0
Standings
Primeira Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 15:2 | 13 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 16 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 14 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 11:4 | 7 | 14 |
W
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 5 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 10 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 |
Estrela
Away
|
5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 11:9 | 2 | 9 |
W
D
W
D
D
|
| 7 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 8 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:5 | 1 | 7 |
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
|
| 11 |
Alverca
Home
|
6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 5 |
W
L
D
L
D
|
| 12 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 4:7 | -3 | 4 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 7:11 | -4 | 4 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 15 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:11 | -9 | 3 |
L
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 2:7 | -5 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 1:15 | -14 | 1 |
L
D
L
L
L
|
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2