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15.08.2026 14:30
FC Alverca Sports Complex
Referee: J. Bessa
Alverca
Match Timeline
Estrela
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
14'
Davy Gui
Alverca
🟨
17'
Luan Patrick
Estrela
🟨
35'
Stefan Leković
Estrela
🟨
43'
Eddy Doué
Estrela
🟨
44'
Vivaldo
Alverca
⚽
51'
L. Antonetti · Assist: Rafa Soares
Estrela
⚽
58'
Ian Luccas · Assist: I. James
Alverca
🔄
59'
D. Gui ↔ Rayan Lucas
Alverca
⚽
62'
V. Semedo · Assist: Rayan Lucas
Alverca
🔄
64'
J. Encada ↔ M. Scholze
Estrela
🔄
64'
I. Stoica ↔ B. Souza
Estrela
🔄
64'
Robinho ↔ E. Pedro Vanga
Estrela
⚽
69'
A. Marcus · Assist: Rafa Soares
Estrela
VAR
72'
Chiquinho
Alverca
🟥
74'
Chiquinho
Alverca
🔄
75'
I. James ↔ Chissumba
Alverca
🔄
83'
Ian Luccas ↔ V. Moreira
Alverca
🔄
83'
B. Meupiyou ↔ M. Essimi
Alverca
🔄
83'
V. Semedo ↔ S. J. Merheg
Alverca
🟨
85'
Emerson Pedro Vanga
Estrela
🔄
88'
L. Antonetti ↔ S. van Hooijdonk
Estrela
🔄
90'
Rafa Soares ↔ L. Mincarelli
Estrela

Alverca vs Estrela Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 69.2%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 48.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
69.2%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
62.8%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
48.9%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Alverca Win 69.2%
Draw 5.1%
Estrela Win 25.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alverca1
Estrela1.32
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alverca Alverca
L W L W W
5 GF / 4 GA
Estrela Estrela
D W W D W
10 GF / 5 GA
Key Stats
1
Average Goals Scored
1.75
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
1
1
BTTS Yes
5
1
Over 2.5
3
5
Shots on Goal
3

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alverca Alverca 6 matches
Estrela Estrela 8 matches
Alverca Statistic Estrela
4 Wins 4
0 Draws 3
2 Losses 1
6 Goals For 14
4 Goals Against 8
1 Avg Goals Scored 1.75
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 1
1 BTTS Yes 5
3 Over 1.5 7
1 Over 2.5 3
0 Over 3.5 2
3 Clean Sheets 3
2 Failed To Score 0
5 Shots On Goal 3
14 Total Shots 8
9 Corners 5
46% Ball Possession 44%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Alverca won 0 times, Estrela won 0 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:5 from Alverca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.9%)
Predicted formations: Alverca 3-4-2-1 / Estrela 4-3-3
H2H summary: Alverca wins 0, draws 3, Estrela wins 0

Standings

Primeira Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 11 11 0 0 27:5 22 33
W W W W W
2 11 9 1 1 30:10 20 28
W W W W L
3 11 7 3 1 24:11 13 24
W W L W D
4 11 6 3 2 16:8 8 21
L W L W D
5 11 6 2 3 13:8 5 20
L W W W D
6 11 6 2 3 15:13 2 20
L W W W W
7 11 5 3 3 10:8 2 18
W D L W W
8 11 5 2 4 13:11 2 17
W W L L L
9 11 4 2 5 13:18 -5 14
L W W L D
10 11 3 4 4 15:14 1 13
W L W L W
11 11 3 3 5 14:15 -1 12
D L L W W
12 11 2 4 5 17:22 -5 10
L L L L L
13 11 3 1 7 11:19 -8 10
W L W L L
14 11 2 3 6 11:12 -1 9
L D W L D
15 10 2 2 6 9:21 -12 8
L L L D L
16 11 2 2 7 6:20 -14 8
D L W L W
17 11 2 1 8 9:24 -15 7
L L L W L
18 10 0 2 8 5:19 -14 2
L L L L L
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation - Liga Portugal 2