Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
58.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS No |
26%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
32.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
90.3%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-0 |
-
|
- |
Alverca
Estoril
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alverca
32 matches
Estoril
32 matches
| Alverca | Statistic | Estoril |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Wins | 10 |
| 8 | Draws | 8 |
| 14 | Losses | 14 |
| 34 | Goals For | 52 |
| 50 | Goals Against | 53 |
| 1.06 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.63 |
| 1.56 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.66 |
| 18 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 25 | Over 1.5 | 24 |
| 17 | Over 2.5 | 20 |
| 8 | Over 3.5 | 17 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 9 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 3.69 | Shots On Goal | 4.03 |
| 9.78 | Total Shots | 11.53 |
| 4.38 | Corners | 4.47 |
| 44.8% | Ball Possession | 52.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Estoril arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Estoril. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself.
Alverca sit 10 with 38 points after 32 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, while the 34:50 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Marezi (9 goals), Figueiredo (5 goals), Sandro Lima (5 goals), with creative support from Lincoln (5 assists), Chiquinho (4 assists), Nabil Touaizi (4 assists), and defensively they have been quite vulnerable. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.
Estoril approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 9 with 38 points from 32 matches. Their record of 10 wins, 8 draws, and 14 losses, together with goals at 52:53, reflects poor form with results showing a clear downward trend. Much of their threat comes through Y. Begraoui (20 goals), João Carvalho (6 goals), Alejandro Marqués (4 goals), with creative support from João Carvalho (11 assists), Jordan Holsgrove (7 assists), R. Guitane (5 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been quite vulnerable. Away from home, they have managed 4 wins, 3 draws, and 9 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 3 head-to-head meetings, Alverca won 1 times, Estoril won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 4:6 from Alverca's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3.33 goals per game.
Alverca
1
3
4
7
3
1
Lineups
Alverca
Famalicao
Alverca
FC Porto
Alverca
Arouca
Alverca
Nacional
Alverca
Casa Pia
Alverca
Rio Ave
Alverca
Sporting CP
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Alverca
AVS
Alverca
Guimaraes
Alverca
Santa Clara
Alverca
Tondela
Alverca
Benfica
Alverca
Estrela
Alverca
SC Braga
Alverca
Moreirense
Alverca
Famalicao
Alverca
Estoril
Alverca
FC Porto
Alverca
Arouca
Estoril
Benfica
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Famalicao
Estoril
Moreirense
Estoril
FC Porto
Estoril
Arouca
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estoril
Nacional
Estoril
Casa Pia
Estoril
Sporting CP
Estoril
GIL Vicente
Estoril
AVS
Estoril
Tondela
Estoril
Santa Clara
Estoril
Guimaraes
Estoril
Estrela
Estoril
Benfica
Estoril
Alverca
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Famalicao
Alverca
Arouca
Alverca
Casa Pia
Alverca
Sporting CP
Alverca
AVS
Alverca
Santa Clara
Alverca
Estrela
Alverca
Moreirense
Alverca
Famalicao
Alverca
FC Porto
Alverca
Nacional
Alverca
Rio Ave
Alverca
GIL Vicente
Alverca
Guimaraes
Alverca
Tondela
Alverca
Benfica
Alverca
SC Braga
Estoril
SC Braga
Estoril
Moreirense
Estoril
Arouca
Estoril
Nacional
Estoril
Sporting CP
Estoril
AVS
Estoril
Santa Clara
Estoril
Estrela
Estoril
Benfica
Estoril
Famalicao
Estoril
FC Porto
Estoril
Rio Ave
Estoril
Casa Pia
Estoril
GIL Vicente
Estoril
Tondela
Estoril
Guimaraes
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 34 | 28 | 4 | 2 | 66:18 | 48 | 88 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 2 | 89:24 | 65 | 82 |
W
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 3 | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 74:25 | 49 | 80 |
W
D
D
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 64:36 | 28 | 59 |
D
D
D
L
W
|
|
| 5 | 34 | 15 | 11 | 8 | 42:29 | 13 | 56 |
W
D
D
W
D
|
|
| 6 | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 47:38 | 9 | 50 |
L
L
D
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 34 | 12 | 7 | 15 | 37:49 | -12 | 43 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 8 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 47:64 | -17 | 42 |
W
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 34 | 12 | 6 | 16 | 39:51 | -12 | 42 |
L
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 10 |
Estoril
Away
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 54:57 | -3 | 39 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
| 11 |
Alverca
Home
|
34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 35:52 | -17 | 39 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
| 12 | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 35:57 | -22 | 36 |
D
L
D
L
D
|
|
| 13 | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 32:41 | -9 | 36 |
L
W
D
W
D
|
|
| 14 | 34 | 9 | 7 | 18 | 37:45 | -8 | 34 |
W
L
L
W
W
|
|
| 15 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 38:56 | -18 | 30 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 34 | 6 | 12 | 16 | 31:57 | -26 | 30 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 34 | 6 | 10 | 18 | 27:55 | -28 | 28 |
L
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 34 | 3 | 12 | 19 | 27:67 | -40 | 21 |
D
W
W
D
D
|