BRAZIL SERIE D
16.05.2026 19:00
Altos
Match Timeline
Piauí
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
61'
Otavio
Piauí

Altos vs Piauí Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 62.3%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 21.6%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 24.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
62.3%
-
BTTS BTTS No
21.6%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
24.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Altos Win 62.3%
Draw 8.2%
Piauí Win 29.5%
Expected Goals (xG)
Altos1
Piauí1.53
Recent Form (Last 5)
Altos Altos
WWDLW
4 GF / 8 GA
Piauí Piauí
WLDWL
10 GF / 9 GA
Key Stats
0.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
1.33
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
2
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Altos Altos 6 matches
Piauí Piauí 6 matches
Altos Statistic Piauí
2 Wins 2
1 Draws 2
3 Losses 2
4 Goals For 10
8 Goals Against 9
0.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
1.33 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
2 BTTS Yes 6
3 Over 1.5 6
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
2 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 0
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This fixture has the profile of a tight matchup, with Piauí's more proactive style and Altos's more cautious structure likely to keep the contest close. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Piauí. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Piauí having the stronger overall control. Altos have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Altos Analysis

With 7 points from 6 games and a place of 5, Altos still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 2 wins, 1 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 4:8 goal record continues to suggest mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Betinho (1 goals), while at the back they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Piauí Analysis

Piauí come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 8 points from 6 matches. Their overall return of 2 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 9:8 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Kauan Maranhao (8 goals), Adsson (1 goals), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Altos won 3 times, Piauí won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:5 from Altos's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (91.8%)
H2H summary: Altos wins 3, draws 0, Piauí wins 2

Standings

Group 7
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 10 6 3 1 15:7 8 21
W D W W D
2 10 5 2 3 14:11 3 17
W W L W D
3 10 3 5 2 12:9 3 14
L D W D L
4
Altos Home
10 3 2 5 9:15 -6 11
W D L L L
5 10 2 4 4 10:10 0 10
L D W D W
6 10 1 4 5 6:14 -8 7
L L L L W
Promotion - Serie D (Play Offs: 1/32-finals)