ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
04.07.2026 18:30
Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Almirante Brown
Match Timeline
Los Andes
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
51'
G. Alegre Rojas
Almirante Brown
🔄
57'
M. Gomez ↔ G. D. Carrasco
Los Andes
🟨
63'
N. Fernandez
Los Andes
🔄
64'
N. Bazan ↔ S. Vera
Almirante Brown
🔄
64'
G. Moreyra ↔ E. Martinez
Almirante Brown
🔄
70'
S. Ortiz ↔ F. Rodriguez
Los Andes
75'
M. Abreliano
Almirante Brown
🔄
78'
M. Abreliano ↔ J. Velazquez
Almirante Brown
🔄
78'
L. Pascual ↔ T. Almada
Almirante Brown
🔄
79'
E. Cardozo ↔ P. Velurtas
Almirante Brown
🔄
82'
J. Navas ↔ J. Vazquez
Los Andes
🔄
82'
G. Canete ↔ F. Echevarria
Los Andes
🔄
82'
C. Viganoni ↔ T. Blanco
Los Andes
🟨
87'
G. Cabral
Almirante Brown
🟨
87'
T. Blanco
Los Andes

Almirante Brown vs Los Andes Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 92.5%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
92.5%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Almirante Brown Win 47.7%
Draw 7.5%
Los Andes Win 44.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almirante Brown0.56
Los Andes0.8
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WWDLW
13 GF / 12 GA
Los Andes Los Andes
WLDWL
16 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
0.72
Average Goals Scored
0.89
0.67
Average Goals Conceded
0.33
5
BTTS Yes
3
4
Over 2.5
2
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 18 matches
Los Andes Los Andes 18 matches
Almirante Brown Statistic Los Andes
7 Wins 7
5 Draws 8
6 Losses 3
13 Goals For 16
12 Goals Against 6
0.72 Avg Goals Scored 0.89
0.67 Avg Goals Conceded 0.33
5 BTTS Yes 3
6 Over 1.5 8
4 Over 2.5 2
1 Over 3.5 0
9 Clean Sheets 13
8 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Los Andes. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Los Andes having the stronger overall control. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day.

Almirante Brown Analysis

From their first 18 matches, Almirante Brown have collected 26 points and now occupy 7 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, while the 13:12 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 5 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Los Andes Analysis

Los Andes come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 3 with 29 points from 18 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 7 wins, 8 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:6 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 4 head-to-head meetings, Almirante Brown won 3 times, Los Andes won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 5:1 from Almirante Brown's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 1 matches, with an average of 1.5 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.5%)
H2H summary: Almirante Brown wins 3, draws 1, Los Andes wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 28 16 6 6 34:25 9 54
D D W W W
2 28 15 7 6 45:26 19 52
W W D D W
3 28 12 9 7 35:23 12 45
L L W W W
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 27 12 7 8 32:24 8 43
W L W L W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 8 11 8 20:15 5 35
D D L L L
10 28 9 8 11 25:32 -7 35
L W D D W
11 28 6 13 9 27:35 -8 31
D D L D W
12 28 6 13 9 16:24 -8 31
W D L W D
13 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
14 27 6 11 10 19:24 -5 29
W L L D L
15 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
16 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
17 28 6 10 12 22:33 -11 28
D L W D L
18 28 5 8 15 19:33 -14 23
L D L L D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation