ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Almirante Brown
Match Timeline
Godoy Cruz
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
26'
M. Santiago
Godoy Cruz
🟨
41'
L. Jara
Almirante Brown
🔄
46'
T. A. Pozzo ↔ S. Martinez
Godoy Cruz
🔄
46'
M. Santiago ↔ A. Guerrero
Godoy Cruz
59'
L. Pascual · Assist: M. Abreliano
Almirante Brown
🔄
63'
T. Rossi ↔ N. Ulariaga
Godoy Cruz
🔄
64'
L. Pascual ↔ T. Almada
Almirante Brown
🔄
75'
L. Jara ↔ P. Velurtas
Almirante Brown
🔄
75'
G. Moreyra ↔ J. Velazquez
Almirante Brown
🔄
75'
N. Bazan ↔ E. Martinez
Almirante Brown
🔄
79'
F. Milo ↔ B. Orosco
Godoy Cruz
🟨
84'
T. Villoldo
Almirante Brown
🟨
84'
V. Poggi
Godoy Cruz
🔄
86'
M. Abreliano ↔ S. Vera
Almirante Brown
🟨
88'
N. Brunet
Godoy Cruz
🔄
90'
L. Arce ↔ A. Rodriguez
Godoy Cruz

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 52.8%
Odds -
3 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
52.8%
-
BTTS No
50.8%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 1-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Almirante Brown Win 52.8%
Draw 14.8%
Godoy Cruz Win 32.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almirante Brown0.64
Godoy Cruz0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WWDLW
9 GF / 11 GA
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz
WLDWL
18 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.56
Average Goals Scored
1.06
0.69
Average Goals Conceded
0.76
4
BTTS Yes
7
3
Over 2.5
5
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 16 matches
Godoy Cruz Godoy Cruz 17 matches
Almirante Brown Statistic Godoy Cruz
5 Wins 6
5 Draws 7
6 Losses 4
9 Goals For 18
11 Goals Against 13
0.56 Avg Goals Scored 1.06
0.69 Avg Goals Conceded 0.76
4 BTTS Yes 7
5 Over 1.5 10
3 Over 2.5 5
0 Over 3.5 2
8 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Godoy Cruz's more proactive style and Almirante Brown's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Godoy Cruz. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Godoy Cruz having the stronger overall control.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Almirante Brown sit 9 with 20 points after 15 league matches. Their overall return of 5 wins, 5 draws, and 5 losses with goals at 9:10 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by their main attacking players, while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Godoy Cruz Analysis

So far, Godoy Cruz have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 22 points from 15 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 7 draws, and 3 losses, while the 16:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Almirante Brown won 1 times, Godoy Cruz won 0 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 1:0 from Almirante Brown's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (85.3%)
H2H summary: Almirante Brown wins 1, draws 0, Godoy Cruz wins 0

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 27 16 5 6 34:25 9 53
D W W W L
2 27 14 7 6 43:25 18 49
W D D W W
3 27 12 9 6 34:21 13 45
L W W W D
4 27 12 8 7 23:16 7 44
W W L W W
5 27 11 10 6 38:25 13 43
L W W D W
6 27 12 7 8 32:24 8 43
W L W L W
7 27 9 11 7 23:23 0 38
W D L L L
8 27 9 9 9 25:24 1 36
D L W L D
9 27 9 8 10 25:29 -4 35
W D D W L
10 26 8 10 8 20:15 5 34
D L L L L
11 27 6 12 9 27:35 -8 30
D L D W W
12 27 7 8 12 25:29 -4 29
D W W L L
13 27 6 11 10 19:27 -8 29
D D W D D
14 27 6 11 10 21:30 -9 29
L L L W L
15 27 5 13 9 15:24 -9 28
D L W D L
16 27 6 9 12 22:33 -11 27
L W D L L
17 26 5 11 10 16:24 -8 26
L L D L D
18 27 5 8 14 19:32 -13 23
D L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation