ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
13.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento
Almirante Brown
Match Timeline
Ferro Carril Oeste
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟥
18'
F. Tevez
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
24'
N. Gomez ↔ J. Orellana
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
45'
G. Alegre Rojas
Almirante Brown
🔄
46'
M. Abreliano ↔ G. Moreyra
Almirante Brown
🔄
57'
E. Hoyos ↔ L. Marra
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
57'
F. Garcia ↔ N. Reniero
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
68'
G. Flores ↔ S. Gauna
Almirante Brown
🔄
68'
L. Pascual ↔ J. Lopez
Almirante Brown
🔄
77'
L. Jara ↔ E. Martinez
Almirante Brown
🔄
81'
A. Gonzalez ↔ G. Castellani
Ferro Carril Oeste
🔄
81'
M. Kabalin ↔ K. Nazareno
Ferro Carril Oeste
🟨
88'
E. Cardozo
Almirante Brown

Almirante Brown vs Ferro Carril Oeste Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 93.3%
Odds 1.44
BTTS
Yes
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.62
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds 3.41
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
93.3%
1.44
BTTS Yes
54.1%
2.62
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
3.41
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
1.14
HT / FT Home / Home
-
4.75
Correct Score 2-1
-
13.00
Probability Distribution
Almirante Brown Win 49.9%
Draw 6.7%
Ferro Carril Oeste Win 43.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almirante Brown0.85
Ferro Carril Oeste0.95
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WWDLW
23 GF / 16 GA
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste
WLDWL
34 GF / 25 GA
Key Stats
0.82
Average Goals Scored
1.21
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.89
7
BTTS Yes
12
5
Over 2.5
11
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 28 matches
Ferro Carril Oeste Ferro Carril Oeste 28 matches
Almirante Brown Statistic Ferro Carril Oeste
12 Wins 16
9 Draws 6
7 Losses 6
23 Goals For 34
16 Goals Against 25
0.82 Avg Goals Scored 1.21
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.89
7 BTTS Yes 12
11 Over 1.5 16
5 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 5
17 Clean Sheets 12
11 Failed To Score 7
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From a tactical perspective, this fixture features two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Ferro Carril Oeste. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ferro Carril Oeste having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. Almirante Brown come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Almirante Brown come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 4 place with 44 points after 27 matches. With 12 wins, 8 draws, and 7 defeats plus a goal balance of 23:16, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by their main attacking players, and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 9 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses points to a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Ferro Carril Oeste Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 1 place with 53 points after 27 matches. They have recorded 16 wins, 5 draws, and 6 losses, with a 34:25 goal return and good form over their recent run. In attack they lean heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked very solid. Away from home, the split of 8 wins, 4 draws, and 2 losses supports the view of a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 10 head-to-head meetings, Almirante Brown won 4 times, Ferro Carril Oeste won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:4 from Almirante Brown's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 1 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
H2H summary: Almirante Brown wins 4, draws 4, Ferro Carril Oeste wins 2

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 30 17 7 6 35:25 10 58
W D D D W
2 29 16 7 6 47:27 20 55
W W W D D
3 29 14 7 8 36:25 11 49
W W W L W
4 29 12 10 7 42:28 14 46
L W L W W
5 29 12 10 7 23:16 7 46
D D W W L
6 29 12 9 8 35:25 10 45
L L L W W
7 30 11 9 10 27:25 2 42
W W L D L
8 30 9 12 9 24:27 -3 39
L D L W D
9 29 8 13 8 22:17 5 37
D D D D L
10 29 9 8 12 26:34 -8 35
L L W D D
11 29 8 9 12 26:29 -3 33
D W D W W
12 29 7 12 10 22:26 -4 33
W D W L L
13 30 6 14 10 17:26 -9 32
D L W D L
14 30 6 14 10 27:37 -10 32
L D D D L
15 29 6 13 10 19:27 -8 31
D D D D W
16 30 6 13 11 24:34 -10 31
D D L L L
17 30 7 10 13 23:34 -11 31
L W D L W
18 30 6 8 16 21:34 -13 26
W L L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation