ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
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Estadio Fragata Presidente Sarmiento

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home or Draw
Probability 61%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 62.1%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home or Draw
61%
-
BTTS Yes
71.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
62.1%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Almirante Brown Win 41.4%
Draw 19.6%
Ciudad de Bolívar Win 39%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almirante Brown0.78
Ciudad de Bolívar0.76
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almirante Brown Almirante Brown
WWDLW
17 GF / 13 GA
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar
WLDWL
21 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.74
Average Goals Scored
0.88
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
0.83
6
BTTS Yes
10
4
Over 2.5
6
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almirante Brown Almirante Brown 23 matches
Ciudad de Bolívar Ciudad de Bolívar 24 matches
Almirante Brown Statistic Ciudad de Bolívar
9 Wins 8
8 Draws 10
6 Losses 6
17 Goals For 21
13 Goals Against 20
0.74 Avg Goals Scored 0.88
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 0.83
6 BTTS Yes 10
8 Over 1.5 12
4 Over 2.5 6
1 Over 3.5 3
13 Clean Sheets 12
10 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Ciudad de Bolívar. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Ciudad de Bolívar having the stronger overall control.

Almirante Brown Analysis

Almirante Brown sit 6 with 32 points after 22 league matches. The record of 8 wins, 8 draws, and 6 defeats, together with a 15:13 goal balance, points toward mixed form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Ciudad de Bolívar Analysis

Placed 4 with 34 points from 22 outings, Ciudad de Bolívar continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 8 wins, 10 draws, and 4 defeats, together with a 21:17 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, they have returned 5 wins, 5 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 1 head-to-head meetings, Almirante Brown won 0 times, Ciudad de Bolívar won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 0:0 from Almirante Brown's perspective. 0 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 0 matches, with an average of 0 goals per game.

1X2: Home or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (80.4%)
H2H summary: Almirante Brown wins 0, draws 1, Ciudad de Bolívar wins 0
Last matches: Almirante Brown
02.08.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
26.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Atletico Mitre
0
0
D
17.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
All Boys
1
1
D
04.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Los Andes
1
0
W
21.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
07.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
0
1
L
30.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Miguel
0
1
L
16.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Telmo
0
0
D
10.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Acassuso
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
28.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Ferro Carril Oeste
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Central Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Madryn
1
2
L
05.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
14.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Racing Cordoba
1
2
L
Last matches: Ciudad de Bolívar
02.08.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Atletico Mitre
0
2
L
25.07.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
CA Estudiantes
2
1
W
17.07.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
All Boys
0
0
D
11.07.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Los Andes
1
3
L
04.07.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Godoy Cruz
3
1
W
20.06.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
CA Estudiantes
1
2
L
13.06.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Deportivo Moron
1
2
L
07.06.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Colon Santa Fe
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
San Miguel
1
1
D
23.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
San Telmo
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Acassuso
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Ferro Carril Oeste
2
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Central Norte
1
0
W
18.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Deportivo Madryn
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
27.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Agropecuario
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
15.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
H2H: Almirante Brown vs Ciudad de Bolívar
21.03.26
H2H
Ciudad de Bolívar
Almirante Brown
0
0
D
Last matches: Almirante Brown
02.08.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
17.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
CA Estudiantes
0
0
D
04.07.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Los Andes
1
0
W
21.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Atletico Mitre
3
1
W
14.06.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Godoy Cruz
1
0
W
30.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Colon Santa Fe
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
San Telmo
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Central Norte
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Defensores De Belgrano
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
Tristan Suarez
0
1
L
22.02.26
Pri
Almirante Brown
All Boys
2
1
W
27.12.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Acassuso
2
1
W
19.12.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Comunicaciones
2
0
W
05.12.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
08.03.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Flandria
1
1
D
25.02.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Deportivo Armenio
2
0
W
08.02.20
Pri
Almirante Brown
Sacachispas
1
1
D
01.12.19
Pri
Almirante Brown
Talleres Remedios
0
0
D
17.11.19
Pri
Almirante Brown
Argentino Quilmes
1
0
W
Last matches: Ciudad de Bolívar
25.07.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
CA Estudiantes
2
1
W
11.07.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Los Andes
1
3
L
07.06.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Colon Santa Fe
0
0
D
23.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
San Telmo
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Chaco For Ever
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Central Norte
1
0
W
12.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Defensores De Belgrano
0
0
D
05.04.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Racing Cordoba
2
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Atletico Mitre
1
1
D
01.03.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
All Boys
0
0
D
18.02.26
Cop
Ciudad de Bolívar
River Plate
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Ciudad de Bolívar
Godoy Cruz
1
1
D

Standings

Group 1
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 23 13 4 6 26:21 5 43
L L W W W
2 22 11 5 6 33:21 12 38
L W D L L
3 23 9 9 5 28:19 9 36
D L L W W
4 23 9 8 6 17:13 4 35
W D D D W
5 22 9 7 6 25:19 6 34
W W W L L
6 23 8 10 5 21:19 2 34
L W D L W
7 22 8 9 5 19:9 10 33
L D W L L
8 22 8 9 5 29:22 7 33
W D D L W
9 23 8 8 7 20:19 1 32
D L D W D
10 23 7 6 10 22:28 -6 27
L W L W D
11 22 5 11 6 17:22 -5 26
L D L D W
12 22 5 10 7 15:19 -4 25
D D L W L
13 23 5 10 8 22:27 -5 25
W D W L D
14 22 5 8 9 18:23 -5 23
W L L L W
15 23 4 11 8 13:22 -9 23
L D D D D
16 22 5 7 10 20:26 -6 22
W W W D W
17 22 5 7 10 14:23 -9 22
W L L D W
18 22 5 6 11 16:24 -8 21
D D L D L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation