Almeria vs Leganes Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
75.7%
|
1.62 | |
| BTTS | No |
50.8%
|
2.00 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
58.6%
|
1.84 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
78.3%
|
1.25 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.50 | |
| Correct Score | 3-0 |
-
|
13.00 |
Almeria
Leganes
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Almeria
13 matches
Leganes
17 matches
| Almeria | Statistic | Leganes |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 6 |
| 0 | Draws | 5 |
| 4 | Losses | 6 |
| 20 | Goals For | 15 |
| 8 | Goals Against | 19 |
| 1.54 | Avg Goals Scored | 0.88 |
| 0.62 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.12 |
| 2 | BTTS Yes | 5 |
| 8 | Over 1.5 | 10 |
| 4 | Over 2.5 | 6 |
| 2 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 7 | Clean Sheets | 8 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 8 |
| 4.25 | Shots On Goal | 3.75 |
| 13.38 | Total Shots | 11.13 |
| 4 | Corners | 3 |
| 54.9% | Ball Possession | 45.4% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Almeria's more proactive style and Leganes's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Leganes. Almeria come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. Almeria arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 3 with 18 points compared to Leganes in 13 on 11, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Almeria expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Leganes in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Leganes having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.
Almeria approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 3 on 18 points after 8 outings. With 6 wins, 0 draws, and 2 defeats plus a goal balance of 13:5, they continue to show very strong form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by Miguel de la Fuente (3 goals), B. Cipenga (2 goals), Javi Muñoz (2 goals), with creative support from B. Cipenga (3 assists), Javi Muñoz (2 assists), Miguel de la Fuente (1 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, they have managed 4 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, which underlines a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In stylistic terms they continue to show balanced attacking football.
With 11 points from 8 games and a place of 13, Leganes still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 defeats, and the 6:11 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Naim García (2 goals), Ismaël Gharbi (2 goals), P. Soko (1 goals), with creative support from Naim García (1 assists), Ismaël Gharbi (1 assists), while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, a return that supports a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Almeria won 3 times, Leganes won 2 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Almeria's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 18:7 | 11 | 21 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 15:3 | 12 | 20 |
D
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Almeria
Home
|
8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 13:5 | 8 | 18 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
| 4 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 10:7 | 3 | 16 |
W
D
D
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 14:8 | 6 | 14 |
D
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
D
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 7 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:9 | 3 | 14 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 8 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 13 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 11 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 11 |
L
W
L
W
D
|
|
| 11 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 14:15 | -1 | 11 |
W
L
D
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:13 | -1 | 11 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 13 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 11 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
L
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 |
Leganes
Away
|
8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 11 |
L
L
W
L
D
|
| 16 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8:11 | -3 | 9 |
D
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 6 | 14:20 | -6 | 9 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 18 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 12:17 | -5 | 8 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 19 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 11:10 | 1 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 21 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8:20 | -12 | 5 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 22 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:15 | -10 | 1 |
L
L
L
D
L
|