Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
94.1%
|
- | |
| BTTS | BTTS Yes |
57.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
63.6%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Almere City FC
Willem II
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Almere City FC
45 matches
Willem II
41 matches
| Almere City FC | Statistic | Willem II |
|---|---|---|
| 24 | Wins | 22 |
| 5 | Draws | 9 |
| 16 | Losses | 10 |
| 98 | Goals For | 62 |
| 71 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 2.18 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.51 |
| 1.58 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.05 |
| 31 | BTTS Yes | 22 |
| 41 | Over 1.5 | 31 |
| 35 | Over 2.5 | 21 |
| 26 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 10 | Clean Sheets | 14 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 5 |
| 6.2 | Shots On Goal | 5.38 |
| 16.73 | Total Shots | 14.28 |
| 6.83 | Corners | 5.59 |
| 48.1% | Ball Possession | 46.9% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Willem II have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Almere City FC needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Almere City FC had more of the ball in the first leg (56% possession compared to 44%). both sides produced the same number of shots on target. Almere City FC also attempted more passes (512 to 399) and completed 427. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Willem II. Willem II look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Willem II having the stronger overall control.
Ahead of this knockout test, Almere City FC arrive from a league campaign that has them 5 with 58 points after 38 matches. The return of 18 wins, 4 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 78:63 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by J. Rijkhoff (18 goals), F. Druijf (15 goals), E. Poku (11 goals), with creative support from J. Kadile (7 assists), M. de Haan (7 assists), E. Poku (6 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.
Ahead of this knockout test, Willem II arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 68 points after 38 matches. Their record of 20 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with goals at 59:42 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking weight falls on D. Haen (18 goals), Thomas Verheydt (10 goals), N. Doodeman (6 goals), with creative support from N. Doodeman (17 assists), D. Haen (4 assists), Thomas Verheydt (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.
Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Almere City FC won 2 times, Willem II won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Almere City FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.
Lineups
Almere City FC
Willem II
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
Almere City FC
Dordrecht
Almere City FC
Willem II
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
FC OSS
Almere City FC
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
Vitesse
Almere City FC
ADO Den Haag
Almere City FC
Cambuur
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
Almere City FC
FC Eindhoven
Willem II
FC Volendam
Willem II
FC Volendam
Willem II
Almere City FC
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Dordrecht
Willem II
Jong AZ
Willem II
Almere City FC
Willem II
Roda
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
Willem II
De Graafschap
Willem II
MVV
Willem II
FC OSS
Willem II
Den Bosch
Willem II
Emmen
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
Willem II
Vitesse
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
Willem II
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
Dordrecht
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
Almere City FC
FC OSS
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
Almere City FC
ADO Den Haag
Almere City FC
Helmond Sport
Almere City FC
Roda
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
Almere City FC
Emmen
Almere City FC
Jong Ajax
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
Almere City FC
MVV
Almere City FC
Jong AZ
Almere City FC
Cambuur
Almere City FC
Vitesse
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
Willem II
FC Volendam
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Dordrecht
Willem II
Roda
Willem II
MVV
Willem II
FC OSS
Willem II
Emmen
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
Willem II
Jong Ajax
Willem II
FC Eindhoven
Willem II
Helmond Sport
Willem II
Den Bosch
Willem II
VVV Venlo
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
Willem II
Jong AZ
Willem II
Waalwijk
Willem II
Vitesse
Willem II
De Graafschap
Willem II
Cambuur
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 38 | 29 | 2 | 7 | 90:37 | 53 | 89 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 38 | 23 | 9 | 6 | 75:48 | 27 | 78 |
W
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 3 |
Willem II
Away
|
38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 59:42 | 17 | 68 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
| 4 | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 74:58 | 16 | 63 |
D
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 5 |
Almere City FC
Home
|
38 | 18 | 4 | 16 | 78:63 | 15 | 58 |
L
L
D
W
W
|
| 6 | 38 | 16 | 10 | 12 | 71:59 | 12 | 58 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 7 | 38 | 17 | 5 | 16 | 66:64 | 2 | 56 |
L
L
W
W
L
|
|
| 8 | 38 | 14 | 13 | 11 | 59:54 | 5 | 55 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 38 | 14 | 9 | 15 | 65:69 | -4 | 51 |
L
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 38 | 12 | 11 | 15 | 48:56 | -8 | 47 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
|
| 11 | 38 | 14 | 5 | 19 | 51:69 | -18 | 47 |
W
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 12 | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 58:62 | -4 | 46 |
W
D
W
L
L
|
|
| 13 | 38 | 13 | 6 | 19 | 50:58 | -8 | 45 |
W
L
D
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 58:72 | -14 | 45 |
W
D
L
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 64:55 | 9 | 44 |
L
D
W
W
D
|
|
| 16 | 38 | 11 | 11 | 16 | 54:64 | -10 | 44 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 17 | 38 | 12 | 4 | 22 | 61:76 | -15 | 40 |
W
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 18 | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 42:62 | -20 | 39 |
L
W
D
D
L
|
|
| 19 | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 41:73 | -32 | 38 |
L
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 20 | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 50:73 | -23 | 35 |
L
W
L
L
L
|