NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
--.--.---- --:--
Yanmar Stadion
Referee: A. Lindhout
Almere City FC
Match Timeline
Willem II
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
32'
S. Bamba · Assist: F. Stam
Willem II
🔄
61'
F. Druijf ↔ J. Rijkhoff
Almere City FC
🔄
61'
J. Jacobs ↔ O. de Nijs
Almere City FC
🔄
66'
S. Bamba ↔ S. Baartmans
Willem II
🔄
76'
M. de Haan ↔ E. Cornelisse
Almere City FC
🔄
76'
B. Reith ↔ A. Sam
Almere City FC
🔄
81'
M. El Allouchi ↔ P. van Loon
Willem II
🔄
84'
M. Dors ↔ R. Providence
Almere City FC
🟨
85'
U. van Aalst
Willem II

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.1%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS Yes
Probability 57.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 63.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.1%
-
BTTS BTTS Yes
57.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
63.6%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Almere City FC Win 45.2%
Draw 6%
Willem II Win 48.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almere City FC1.73
Willem II1.54
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almere City FC Almere City FC
WWDLW
98 GF / 71 GA
Willem II Willem II
WLDWL
62 GF / 43 GA
Key Stats
2.18
Average Goals Scored
1.51
1.58
Average Goals Conceded
1.05
31
BTTS Yes
22
35
Over 2.5
21
6.2
Shots on Goal
5.38

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almere City FC Almere City FC 45 matches
Willem II Willem II 41 matches
Almere City FC Statistic Willem II
24 Wins 22
5 Draws 9
16 Losses 10
98 Goals For 62
71 Goals Against 43
2.18 Avg Goals Scored 1.51
1.58 Avg Goals Conceded 1.05
31 BTTS Yes 22
41 Over 1.5 31
35 Over 2.5 21
26 Over 3.5 8
10 Clean Sheets 14
4 Failed To Score 5
6.2 Shots On Goal 5.38
16.73 Total Shots 14.28
6.83 Corners 5.59
48.1% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This tie brings together two sides with a fairly similar football identity, with the knockout context adding extra pressure to every phase of the game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Willem II have the edge after taking the first leg 2-1, leaving Almere City FC needing to respond to a 1-goal deficit. In the previous meeting, Almere City FC had more of the ball in the first leg (56% possession compared to 44%). both sides produced the same number of shots on target. Almere City FC also attempted more passes (512 to 399) and completed 427. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Willem II. Willem II look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The attacking numbers of both teams point toward a more open scoring environment.This game has the potential to be open, with both sides capable of creating several scoring chances. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Willem II having the stronger overall control.

Almere City FC Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Almere City FC arrive from a league campaign that has them 5 with 58 points after 38 matches. The return of 18 wins, 4 draws, and 16 defeats, together with a 78:63 goal balance, points toward good form over their recent run. Their attacking influence is driven by J. Rijkhoff (18 goals), F. Druijf (15 goals), E. Poku (11 goals), with creative support from J. Kadile (7 assists), M. de Haan (7 assists), E. Poku (6 assists), and at the back they have looked quite vulnerable. At home, they have managed 10 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, which supports a very strong split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. In tactical terms they still look like a side built around balanced attacking football.

Willem II Analysis

Ahead of this knockout test, Willem II arrive from a league campaign that has them 3 with 68 points after 38 matches. Their record of 20 wins, 8 draws, and 10 defeats with goals at 59:42 reflects very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking weight falls on D. Haen (18 goals), Thomas Verheydt (10 goals), N. Doodeman (6 goals), with creative support from N. Doodeman (17 assists), D. Haen (4 assists), Thomas Verheydt (3 assists), while defensively they have appeared quite vulnerable. Away from home, the return of 10 wins, 4 draws, and 5 losses suggests a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 9 head-to-head meetings, Almere City FC won 2 times, Willem II won 6 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:10 from Almere City FC's perspective. 2 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 1.78 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: BTTS Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Almere City FC 4-3-3 / Willem II -
H2H summary: Almere City FC wins 2, draws 1, Willem II wins 6

Lineups

Almere City FC
Formation
Willem II
T. Kuijsten
T. Kuijsten
B. Reith
B. Reith
E. van de Blaak
E. van de Blaak
J. Lawrence
J. Lawrence
N. Takahashi
N. Takahashi
H. el Dahri
H. el Dahri
M. de Haan
M. de Haan
E. Poku
E. Poku
J. Jacobs
J. Jacobs
M. Dors
M. Dors
F. Druijf
F. Druijf
T. Didillon Hodl
T. Didillon Hodl
F. Stam
🎯
F. Stam
R. Behounek
R. Behounek
J. Hoogma
J. Hoogma
N. Tjoe a On
N. Tjoe a On
N. Doodeman
N. Doodeman
C. Twigt
C. Twigt
G. Besselink
G. Besselink
M. El Allouchi
M. El Allouchi
S. Bamba
S. Bamba
U. van Aalst
U. van Aalst
Almere City FC 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
12
T. Kuijsten
2
B. Reith
↓ 76'
22
E. van de Blaak
4
J. Lawrence
16
N. Takahashi
21
H. el Dahri
8
M. de Haan
↓ 76'
17
E. Poku
23
J. Jacobs
↓ 61'
40
M. Dors
↓ 84'
9
F. Druijf
↓ 61'
Substitutes
1
J. Wendlinger
30
J. van der Wilt
5
T. Bijleveld
3
J. Jacobs
15
M. Engel
10
J. Rijkhoff
↑ 61'
28
R. Providence
↑ 84'
6
E. Cornelisse
↑ 76'
19
O. de Nijs
↑ 61'
20
J. Kalisvaart
25
A. Sam
↑ 76'
29
B. Huisman
Willem II 4-4-2 (estimated)
Starting XI
1
T. Didillon Hodl
3
F. Stam
🎯 32'
30
R. Behounek
4
J. Hoogma
24
N. Tjoe a On
7
N. Doodeman
8
C. Twigt
6
G. Besselink
20
M. El Allouchi
↓ 81'
17
S. Bamba
⚽ 32' ↓ 66'
19
U. van Aalst
🟨 85'
Substitutes
21
W. van der Steen
31
K. de Leeuw
15
A. Et Taibi
45
J. van Esdonk
47
S. Baartmans
↑ 66'
49
M. de Jonge
22
P. van Loon
↑ 81'
28
T. Verheydt
9
D. Haen
23
L. Abildgaard
11
A. Culum
14
J. Mathijsen
Last matches: Almere City FC
16.05.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
2
L
09.05.26
Eer
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
2
2
D
06.05.26
Eer
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
3
1
W
06.05.26
Ere
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
3
1
W
02.05.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ere
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
3
0
W
29.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
3
2
W
29.04.26
Ere
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
3
2
W
24.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
1
3
L
17.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Dordrecht
4
1
W
12.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Willem II
1
2
L
06.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
1
2
L
03.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
FC OSS
3
2
W
20.03.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Jong Ajax
2
0
W
17.03.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
2
2
D
13.03.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Vitesse
3
1
W
07.03.26
Eer
Almere City FC
ADO Den Haag
1
0
W
03.03.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Cambuur
2
3
L
27.02.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
3
2
W
21.02.26
Eer
Almere City FC
FC Eindhoven
2
3
L
Last matches: Willem II
23.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
2
1
W
20.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
1
2
L
16.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
0
W
09.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
1
D
05.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ere
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
24.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Dordrecht
2
1
W
17.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong AZ
3
0
W
12.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Roda
1
0
W
03.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
1
0
W
28.03.26
Eer
Willem II
De Graafschap
0
2
L
22.03.26
Eer
Willem II
MVV
5
0
W
13.03.26
Eer
Willem II
FC OSS
3
1
W
08.03.26
Eer
Willem II
Den Bosch
1
1
D
27.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Emmen
3
0
W
24.02.26
Eer
Willem II
ADO Den Haag
0
1
L
20.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Vitesse
3
0
W
16.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
1
1
D
08.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
2
1
W
H2H: Almere City FC vs Willem II
16.05.26
H2H
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
0
L
13.05.26
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
L
12.04.26
H2H
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
1
L
22.08.25
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
L
29.03.25
H2H
Willem II
Almere City FC
0
2
W
04.10.24
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
L
01.08.23
H2H
Willem II
Almere City FC
2
1
L
15.01.23
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
1
0
W
21.10.22
H2H
Willem II
Almere City FC
1
1
D
Last matches: Almere City FC
06.05.26
Eer
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
3
1
W
06.05.26
Ere
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
3
1
W
02.05.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
3
0
W
02.05.26
Ere
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
3
0
W
17.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Dordrecht
4
1
W
06.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Den Bosch
1
2
L
03.04.26
Eer
Almere City FC
FC OSS
3
2
W
17.03.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Waalwijk
2
2
D
07.03.26
Eer
Almere City FC
ADO Den Haag
1
0
W
13.02.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Helmond Sport
0
1
L
30.01.26
Eer
Almere City FC
Roda
1
2
L
18.01.26
Eer
Almere City FC
De Graafschap
2
0
W
20.12.25
Eer
Almere City FC
Emmen
4
2
W
05.12.25
Eer
Almere City FC
Jong Ajax
3
2
W
24.11.25
Eer
Almere City FC
VVV Venlo
3
0
W
07.11.25
Eer
Almere City FC
MVV
4
0
W
24.10.25
Eer
Almere City FC
Jong AZ
1
3
L
17.10.25
Eer
Almere City FC
Cambuur
1
1
D
10.10.25
Eer
Almere City FC
Vitesse
2
2
D
26.09.25
Eer
Almere City FC
Jong Utrecht
4
0
W
H2H at home: Almere City FC
13.05.26
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
L
22.08.25
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
L
04.10.24
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
L
15.01.23
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
1
0
W
Last matches: Willem II
23.05.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Volendam
2
1
W
05.05.26
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
05.05.26
Ere
Willem II
Waalwijk
1
0
W
24.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Dordrecht
2
1
W
06.04.26
Eer
Willem II
Roda
1
0
W
22.03.26
Eer
Willem II
MVV
5
0
W
13.03.26
Eer
Willem II
FC OSS
3
1
W
27.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Emmen
3
0
W
16.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong Utrecht
1
1
D
02.02.26
Eer
Willem II
Jong Ajax
1
2
L
18.01.26
Eer
Willem II
FC Eindhoven
2
0
W
21.12.25
Eer
Willem II
Helmond Sport
2
2
D
28.11.25
Eer
Willem II
Den Bosch
1
2
L
21.11.25
Eer
Willem II
VVV Venlo
2
0
W
03.11.25
Eer
Willem II
Jong PSV U21
1
2
L
20.10.25
Eer
Willem II
Jong AZ
0
4
L
17.10.25
Eer
Willem II
Waalwijk
3
2
W
27.09.25
Eer
Willem II
Vitesse
2
1
W
12.09.25
Eer
Willem II
De Graafschap
1
1
D
06.09.25
Eer
Willem II
Cambuur
2
2
D
H2H away: Willem II
13.05.26
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
W
22.08.25
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
W
04.10.24
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
0
1
W
15.01.23
H2H
Almere City FC
Willem II
1
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 38 29 2 7 90:37 53 89
W W L W W
2 38 23 9 6 75:48 27 78
W L D D L
3 38 20 8 10 59:42 17 68
W L W W D
4 38 18 9 11 74:58 16 63
D L L W D
5 38 18 4 16 78:63 15 58
L L D W W
6 38 16 10 12 71:59 12 58
D L W D W
7 38 17 5 16 66:64 2 56
L L W W L
8 38 14 13 11 59:54 5 55
L D L D W
9 38 14 9 15 65:69 -4 51
L L L D L
10 38 12 11 15 48:56 -8 47
L L W D L
11 38 14 5 19 51:69 -18 47
W L L L D
12 38 12 10 16 58:62 -4 46
W D W L L
13 38 13 6 19 50:58 -8 45
W L D L W
14 38 12 9 17 58:72 -14 45
W D L W D
15 38 15 11 12 64:55 9 44
L D W W D
16 38 11 11 16 54:64 -10 44
W W W W L
17 38 12 4 22 61:76 -15 40
W L L L W
18 38 10 9 19 42:62 -20 39
L W D D L
19 38 9 11 18 41:73 -32 38
L D D L L
20 38 9 8 21 50:73 -23 35
L W L L L