NETHERLANDS EERSTE DIVISIE
18.09.2026 18:00
Yanmar Stadion

Almere City FC vs Heracles Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 96.4%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 82.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
96.4%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
82.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Almere City FC Win 50.7%
Draw 3.6%
Heracles Win 45.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almere City FC2.12
Heracles2.66
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almere City FC Almere City FC
WWDLW
29 GF / 18 GA
Heracles Heracles
WLDWL
31 GF / 15 GA
Key Stats
2.42
Average Goals Scored
3.44
1.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.67
8
BTTS Yes
7
10
Over 2.5
8
7
Shots on Goal
9.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almere City FC Almere City FC 12 matches
Heracles Heracles 9 matches
Almere City FC Statistic Heracles
7 Wins 8
1 Draws 0
4 Losses 1
29 Goals For 31
18 Goals Against 15
2.42 Avg Goals Scored 3.44
1.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.67
8 BTTS Yes 7
11 Over 1.5 9
10 Over 2.5 8
5 Over 3.5 7
2 Clean Sheets 2
2 Failed To Score 0
7 Shots On Goal 9.5
16.83 Total Shots 21.5
5 Corners 7.67
41% Ball Possession 54.8%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Heracles carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 15 points while Almere City FC sit 5 on 10, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Both teams appear likely to operate from a similar base structure, so execution within the same shape could be more decisive than formation itself. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Heracles look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Heracles.

Almere City FC Analysis

Almere City FC come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 5 place with 10 points after 5 matches. The return of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 1 defeats, together with goals at 11:4, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their attacking edge comes through F. Druijf (5 goals), E. Poku (2 goals), E. Cornelisse (1 goals), with creative support from F. Druijf (2 assists), E. Cornelisse (2 assists), M. Dors (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. At home, their record of 1 wins, 0 draws, and 1 losses points to a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Heracles Analysis

Operating from 1 place with 15 points from 5 games, Heracles bring one of the stronger season profiles into this match. The return of 5 wins, 0 draws, and 0 defeats, together with goals at 21:7, reflects very strong form and are on a winning streak. Much of their attacking edge comes through T. van Gilst (6 goals), Jean-Paul N'Djoli (6 goals), J. N'djoli (3 goals), with creative support from C. Abbas (3 assists), S. Scheperman (2 assists), D. van der Kust (2 assists), while their defending has remained very solid. Away from home, the split of 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses supports the view of a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their football identity still points toward balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Almere City FC won 1 times, Heracles won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:12 from Almere City FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 3 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (96.4%)
Predicted formations: Almere City FC 4-2-3-1 / Heracles 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Almere City FC wins 1, draws 3, Heracles wins 2

Standings

Eerste Divisie: Period 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
2 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
3 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
4 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
5 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
6 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
7 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
8 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
9 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
10 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
11 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
12 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
13 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
14 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
15 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
16 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
17 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
18 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
19 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
20 0 0 0 0 0:0 0 0
?
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