ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
06.09.2026 18:30
Estadio Tres de Febrero
Almagro
Match Timeline
Gimnasia Jujuy
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
7'
J. Varela · Assist: D. Gallardo
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟥
35'
J. Orlando
Almagro
44'
F. De La Vega · Assist: J. Marchioni
Almagro
🔄
46'
D. Minervino ↔ M. Cachi
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
46'
C. Menendez ↔ O. Bianchi
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
48'
M. Lazarte
Gimnasia Jujuy
56'
F. De La Vega · Assist: F. De La Vega
Almagro
🟨
60'
J. Varela
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
61'
C. Pombo ↔ F. Paradela
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
61'
J. Varela ↔ A. Alonso
Gimnasia Jujuy
🟨
62'
S. Chamorro
Almagro
🔄
68'
F. De La Vega ↔ T. Dornell
Almagro
🔄
72'
M. Lazarte ↔ E. Endrizzi
Gimnasia Jujuy
74'
F. Molina · Assist: A. Alonso
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
78'
E. Martinez ↔ T. Lopez
Almagro
🔄
78'
T. Macies ↔ C. Salto
Almagro
🟨
80'
F. Paradela
Gimnasia Jujuy
🔄
87'
J. Marchioni ↔ J. Fernandes
Almagro

Almagro vs Gimnasia Jujuy Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 54.3%
Odds 2.71
BTTS
Yes
Probability 62.8%
Odds 2.10
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 41.9%
Odds 2.49
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
54.3%
2.71
BTTS Yes
62.8%
2.10
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
41.9%
2.49
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.31
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.00
Correct Score 1-2
-
11.00
Probability Distribution
Almagro Win 40.8%
Draw 5%
Gimnasia Jujuy Win 54.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almagro1
Gimnasia Jujuy1.34
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almagro Almagro
WWDLW
22 GF / 29 GA
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy
WLDWL
44 GF / 37 GA
Key Stats
0.81
Average Goals Scored
1.52
1.07
Average Goals Conceded
1.28
9
BTTS Yes
18
6
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almagro Almagro 27 matches
Gimnasia Jujuy Gimnasia Jujuy 29 matches
Almagro Statistic Gimnasia Jujuy
9 Wins 13
7 Draws 9
11 Losses 7
22 Goals For 44
29 Goals Against 37
0.81 Avg Goals Scored 1.52
1.07 Avg Goals Conceded 1.28
9 BTTS Yes 18
16 Over 1.5 25
6 Over 2.5 16
2 Over 3.5 7
9 Clean Sheets 6
12 Failed To Score 6
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Gimnasia Jujuy's more proactive style and Almagro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia Jujuy. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Gimnasia Jujuy arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Gimnasia Jujuy having the stronger overall control. Gimnasia Jujuy carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 2 with 45 points while Almagro sit 13 on 31, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely.

Almagro Analysis

Almagro are currently 13 in the standings with 31 points from 26 matches. The record of 8 wins, 7 draws, and 11 defeats, together with a 21:29 goal balance, points toward poor form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked fairly stable. At home, the record of 6 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia Jujuy Analysis

Gimnasia Jujuy sit 2 with 45 points after 26 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 13 wins, 6 draws, and 7 defeats with a 39:32 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have managed 3 wins, 4 draws, and 6 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. In football terms they often show balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 11 head-to-head meetings, Almagro won 5 times, Gimnasia Jujuy won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:11 from Almagro's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95%)
H2H summary: Almagro wins 5, draws 4, Gimnasia Jujuy wins 2

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 29 14 11 4 31:15 16 53
D D W L W
2 30 14 11 5 36:24 12 53
W D W W W
3 30 15 8 7 45:36 9 53
D W W D D
4 29 15 3 11 34:28 6 48
W W L L W
5 30 13 8 9 34:25 9 47
W W L L W
6 30 12 9 9 33:27 6 45
W D L W W
7 30 12 9 9 31:27 4 45
L D W W L
8 30 11 9 10 25:26 -1 42
W L L W D
9 30 11 8 11 37:31 6 41
D D D L W
10 30 11 7 12 29:30 -1 40
L W L W W
11 30 9 12 9 32:30 2 39
L W L D W
12 30 9 9 12 26:34 -8 36
W L W D L
13 30 9 8 13 28:27 1 35
L W L L L
14 30 9 8 13 26:36 -10 35
L D L W D
15 29 8 8 13 21:28 -7 32
L W L L L
16 29 5 15 9 23:30 -7 30
D D L W D
17 30 8 6 16 22:31 -9 30
W L L L L
18 30 5 8 17 23:51 -28 23
L L L D D
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation