ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Tres de Febrero
Almagro
Match Timeline
Atlanta
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
35'
J. Bustos
Almagro
49'
M. Benegas · Assist: E. Silcan
Almagro
🔄
53'
T. Rojas ↔ L. Galeano
Atlanta
🔄
58'
F. Alvarez ↔ I. Rodriguez
Atlanta
🔄
58'
C. Bernardi ↔ M. Ibarra
Atlanta
🟨
59'
M. Ibarra
Atlanta
🔄
65'
J. Bustos ↔ S. Chamorro
Almagro
🔄
72'
A. Quintana ↔ G. Miranda
Atlanta
🔄
75'
M. Cortave ↔ J. Fernandes
Almagro
🔄
76'
T. Macies ↔ E. Martinez
Almagro
🔄
88'
M. Benegas ↔ A. Chavez
Almagro
🔄
90+4'
J. Orlando ↔ P. Blanco
Almagro
90+8'
E. Martinez
Almagro

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 61%
Odds 2.34
BTTS
No
Probability 50.8%
Odds 1.57
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.38
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
61%
2.34
BTTS No
50.8%
1.57
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
1.38
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
1.53
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
5.00
Correct Score 0-1
-
5.50
Probability Distribution
Almagro Win 31.7%
Draw 7.3%
Atlanta Win 61%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almagro0.74
Atlanta1.22
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almagro Almagro
WWDLW
13 GF / 19 GA
Atlanta Atlanta
WLDWL
23 GF / 13 GA
Key Stats
0.76
Average Goals Scored
1.28
1.12
Average Goals Conceded
0.72
6
BTTS Yes
7
4
Over 2.5
7
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almagro Almagro 17 matches
Atlanta Atlanta 18 matches
Almagro Statistic Atlanta
5 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
8 Losses 5
13 Goals For 23
19 Goals Against 13
0.76 Avg Goals Scored 1.28
1.12 Avg Goals Conceded 0.72
6 BTTS Yes 7
9 Over 1.5 11
4 Over 2.5 7
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 8
8 Failed To Score 5
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by Atlanta's more proactive style and Almagro's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Given the broader gap between the sides, Away Win looks like the most logical direction, while the clean-sheet expectation leans toward Atlanta. Atlanta carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 1 with 30 points while Almagro sit 18 on 16, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Atlanta having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.

Almagro Analysis

Almagro sit 18 with 16 points after 16 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 defeats with a 11:18 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on M. Benegas (4 goals), F. Bustamante (2 goals), E. Martinez (1 goals), with creative support from G. Asis (2 assists), J. Marchioni (2 assists), P. Palacio (2 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, they have returned 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Atlanta Analysis

Placed 1 with 30 points from 16 outings, Atlanta continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Across the campaign, they have posted 9 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, while the 21:10 goal ratio supports the view of poor form . Going forward they rely heavily on A. Quintana (4 goals), J. Puch (3 goals), F. Alvarez (2 goals), with creative support from A. Quintana (3 assists), L. Fedele (3 assists), M. Garcia (3 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 1 draws, and 2 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Almagro won 2 times, Atlanta won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 9:16 from Almagro's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.79 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (92.8%)
H2H summary: Almagro wins 2, draws 5, Atlanta wins 7
Last matches: Almagro
13.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Agropecuario
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
6
L
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
Last matches: Atlanta
13.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Midland
2
1
W
06.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Jujuy
3
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Atletico DE Rafaela
2
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Agropecuario
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Tristan Suarez
3
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
21.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Chacarita Juniors
1
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
08.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Nueva Chicago
1
2
L
02.04.26
Cop
Atlanta
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
28.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Ferro Carril Oeste
0
1
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
2
L
17.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Deportivo Maipu
3
1
W
03.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Patronato
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
0
1
L
16.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Quilmes
1
0
W
H2H: Almagro vs Atlanta
17.08.25
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
15.04.25
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
0
L
07.09.24
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
20.04.24
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
3
0
L
07.05.22
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
1
D
19.11.15
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
2
W
13.11.15
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
28.06.15
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
2
0
L
15.02.14
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
1
0
L
19.08.13
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
2
L
09.06.13
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
0
2
W
01.06.13
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
1
D
16.03.13
H2H
Atlanta
Almagro
2
1
L
03.10.12
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
2
L
Last matches: Almagro
13.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Agropecuario
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
H2H at home: Almagro
17.08.25
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
07.09.24
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
13.11.15
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
19.08.13
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
2
L
01.06.13
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
1
D
03.10.12
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
2
L
Last matches: Atlanta
13.06.26
Pri
Atlanta
Midland
2
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin Tucuman
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Atlanta
Agropecuario
0
0
D
26.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Atlanta
San Martin S.J.
2
1
W
02.04.26
Cop
Atlanta
Instituto Cordoba
0
2
L
22.03.26
Pri
Atlanta
Temperley
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Atlanta
Colegiales
0
1
L
H2H away: Atlanta
17.08.25
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
07.09.24
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
13.11.15
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
0
0
D
19.08.13
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
2
W
01.06.13
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
1
D
03.10.12
H2H
Almagro
Atlanta
1
2
W
Showing odds from: 1xBet
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.34
Draw 2.90
Home 3.58
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.23
Draw 1.88
Home 4.60
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.13
Over 1.25 1.42
Over 1.5 1.63
Over 1.75 1.85
Over 2.0 2.19
Over 2.25 2.56
Over 2.5 2.90
Over 3.5 5.95
Under 0.5 5.41
Under 1.25 2.79
Under 1.5 2.24
Under 1.75 1.99
Under 2.0 1.66
Under 2.25 1.49
Under 2.5 1.38
Under 3.5 1.11
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.25
Draw 2.80
Home 3.80
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.10
Draw 1.91
Home 4.50
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.75
Draw 2.10
Home 3.75
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.14
Over 1.5 1.57
Over 2.5 2.88
Over 3.5 6.00
Over 4.5 15.00
Over 5.5 29.00
Under 0.5 5.50
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.40
Under 3.5 1.12
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01
Main markets
MATCH WINNER
Away 2.23
Draw 2.78
Home 3.43
FIRST HALF WINNER
Away 3.06
Draw 1.78
Home 4.65
SECOND HALF WINNER
Away 2.69
Draw 2.06
Home 4.04
GOALS OVER/UNDER
Over 0.5 1.09
Over 0.75 1.12
Over 1.0 1.16
Over 1.25 1.40
Over 1.5 1.60
Over 1.75 1.78
Over 2.0 2.07
Over 2.25 2.42
Over 2.5 2.74
Over 2.75 3.34
Over 3.0 4.70
Over 3.25 5.10
Over 3.5 5.50
Over 3.75 7.38
Over 4.0 9.50
Over 4.5 12.50
Over 5.5 21.00
Under 0.5 5.30
Under 0.75 4.70
Under 1.0 4.10
Under 1.25 2.72
Under 1.5 2.19
Under 1.75 1.92
Under 2.0 1.61
Under 2.25 1.44
Under 2.5 1.35
Under 2.75 1.24
Under 3.0 1.12
Under 3.25 1.10
Under 3.5 1.08
Under 3.75 1.04
Under 4.0 1.01
Under 4.5 1.03
Under 5.5 1.01

Standings

Group 2
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 10 3 4 23:11 12 33
W W D W W
2 17 10 3 4 27:19 8 33
W W L D W
3 17 7 8 2 16:10 6 29
W D D D W
4 17 7 5 5 14:12 2 26
D W L W L
5 17 6 8 3 17:16 1 26
W W W D L
6 17 7 4 6 18:13 5 25
L L W L W
7 17 5 7 5 14:14 0 22
L D L L L
8 17 5 6 6 15:11 4 21
W D W D L
9 17 6 3 8 22:20 2 21
L L W L W
10 16 5 6 5 15:16 -1 21
L W D L
11 16 5 5 6 16:18 -2 20
L L W W
12 17 5 5 7 14:16 -2 20
W L D D W
13 17 5 5 7 16:19 -3 20
L W D D W
14 17 4 8 5 11:14 -3 20
D D D L W
15 17 5 4 8 13:19 -6 19
W D W L L
16 17 5 4 8 17:27 -10 19
L W L W L
17 17 4 6 7 14:20 -6 18
L D D D L
18 17 5 3 9 14:20 -6 18
L L L W L
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Super final)
Promotion - Primera Nacional (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation