ARGENTINA PRIMERA NACIONAL
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Tres de Febrero

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 54.7%
Odds -
BTTS
No
Probability 60.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 65.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
54.7%
-
BTTS No
60.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
65.5%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Almagro Win 54.7%
Draw 15.3%
Agropecuario Win 30%
Expected Goals (xG)
Almagro0.89
Agropecuario0.91
Recent Form (Last 5)
Almagro Almagro
WWDLW
11 GF / 18 GA
Agropecuario Agropecuario
WLDWL
13 GF / 20 GA
Key Stats
0.69
Average Goals Scored
0.76
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
1.18
5
BTTS Yes
6
3
Over 2.5
4
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Almagro Almagro 16 matches
Agropecuario Agropecuario 17 matches
Almagro Statistic Agropecuario
4 Wins 4
4 Draws 6
8 Losses 7
11 Goals For 13
18 Goals Against 20
0.69 Avg Goals Scored 0.76
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 1.18
5 BTTS Yes 6
8 Over 1.5 12
3 Over 2.5 4
1 Over 3.5 2
5 Clean Sheets 6
8 Failed To Score 9
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Agropecuario. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Agropecuario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.

Almagro Analysis

Almagro approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 16 points from 16 matches. Their record of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 11:18, reflects poor form . Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 3 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Agropecuario Analysis

With 17 points from 15 games and a place of 16, Agropecuario still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 5 draws, and 6 defeats, and the 12:17 goal record continues to suggest poor form . Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 1 wins, 3 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Almagro won 1 times, Agropecuario won 2 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:7 from Almagro's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2.17 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.7%)
H2H summary: Almagro wins 1, draws 3, Agropecuario wins 2
Last matches: Almagro
06.06.26
Pri
Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0
0
D
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
24.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
11.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Nueva Chicago
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
26.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Maipu
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
6
L
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
04.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Colegiales
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Midland
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Gimnasia Y Tiro
0
2
L
21.02.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Almagro
Atletico DE Rafaela
0
0
D
Last matches: Agropecuario
07.06.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Patronato
1
1
D
30.05.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Colegiales
0
0
D
24.05.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Quilmes
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Midland
0
2
L
10.05.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Atlanta
0
0
D
05.05.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3
2
W
26.04.26
Pri
Agropecuario
San Martin Tucuman
2
0
W
20.04.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
4
L
12.04.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Gimnasia Jujuy
1
2
L
04.04.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Tristan Suarez
0
2
L
31.03.26
Cop
Agropecuario
Union Santa Fe
0
2
L
27.03.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Chacarita Juniors
2
0
W
28.02.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Nueva Chicago
0
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Temperley
0
1
L
14.02.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Deportivo Maipu
2
1
W
H2H: Almagro vs Agropecuario
20.08.23
H2H
Agropecuario
Almagro
1
1
D
08.04.23
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
0
1
L
05.03.22
H2H
Agropecuario
Almagro
2
2
D
01.03.19
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
1
1
D
08.05.18
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
0
2
L
16.04.18
H2H
Agropecuario
Almagro
0
2
W
Last matches: Almagro
31.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Club Atlético Güemes
2
0
W
17.05.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin S.J.
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Almagro
Temperley
1
1
D
11.04.26
Pri
Almagro
Patronato
0
1
L
28.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Deportivo Moron
2
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Almagro
Quilmes
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Almagro
San Martin Tucuman
0
1
L
H2H at home: Almagro
08.04.23
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
0
1
L
01.03.19
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
1
1
D
08.05.18
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
0
2
L
Last matches: Agropecuario
30.05.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Colegiales
0
0
D
17.05.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Midland
0
2
L
05.05.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Gimnasia Y Tiro
3
2
W
20.04.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Atletico DE Rafaela
1
4
L
31.03.26
Cop
Agropecuario
Union Santa Fe
0
2
L
27.03.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Ciudad de Bolívar
0
0
D
22.03.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Club Atlético Güemes
1
1
D
22.02.26
Pri
Agropecuario
Temperley
0
1
L
H2H away: Agropecuario
08.04.23
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
0
1
W
01.03.19
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
1
1
D
08.05.18
H2H
Almagro
Agropecuario
0
2
W

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 9 4 3 24:13 11 31
?
1 16 9 3 4 21:10 11 30
?
2 16 8 4 4 17:12 5 28
?
2 15 8 3 4 21:18 3 27
?
3 16 6 9 1 13:8 5 27
?
3 16 6 8 2 15:10 5 26
?
4 16 6 8 2 12:4 8 26
?
4 16 7 4 5 17:11 6 25
?
5 16 6 8 2 18:13 5 26
?
5 16 7 4 5 14:12 2 25
?
6 16 6 7 3 18:12 6 25
?
6 16 5 8 3 13:15 -2 23
?
7 16 6 6 4 20:15 5 24
?
7 16 5 7 4 14:12 2 22
?
8 16 4 8 4 12:12 0 20
?
8 16 6 3 7 22:19 3 21
?
9 16 5 5 6 9:11 -2 20
?
9 15 5 5 5 15:16 -1 20
?
10 16 5 5 6 10:13 -3 20
?
10 16 5 5 6 16:18 -2 20
?
11 16 4 8 4 12:17 -5 20
?
11 16 4 7 5 11:14 -3 19
?
12 16 5 3 8 11:15 -4 18
?
12 16 5 4 7 16:23 -7 19
?
13 16 3 8 5 17:17 0 17
?
13 16 4 6 6 14:11 3 18
?
14 16 4 5 7 14:19 -5 17
?
14 14 4 6 4 13:12 1 18
?
15 16 3 7 6 12:16 -4 16
?
15 16 5 3 8 14:18 -4 18
?
16 16 3 7 6 9:16 -7 16
?
16 16 4 6 6 13:18 -5 18
?
17 16 3 5 8 10:16 -6 14
?
17 16 4 5 7 12:16 -4 17
?
18 16 1 6 9 12:22 -10 9
?
18 16 4 4 8 11:18 -7 16
?