Alianza Lima vs Universitario Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
86.3%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Alianza Lima
Universitario
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Lima
29 matches
Universitario
35 matches
| Alianza Lima | Statistic | Universitario |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 17 |
| 9 | Draws | 10 |
| 4 | Losses | 8 |
| 45 | Goals For | 54 |
| 20 | Goals Against | 35 |
| 1.55 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.54 |
| 0.69 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1 |
| 14 | BTTS Yes | 18 |
| 19 | Over 1.5 | 25 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 18 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 9 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 13 |
| 5 | Failed To Score | 10 |
| 5.3 | Shots On Goal | 4.26 |
| 15.41 | Total Shots | 13.61 |
| 4.41 | Corners | 5.71 |
| 56.1% | Ball Possession | 51.7% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
Looking at the broader profile of both teams, this encounter highlights two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The season profile of both teams suggests a matchup where long-term consistency matters, but does not fully remove the possibility of swings in momentum on the day. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Lima expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Universitario in 3-5-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Universitario having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Universitario. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected.
Placed 1 with 52 points from 24 outings, Alianza Lima continue to operate from a strong competitive position. The record of 15 wins, 7 draws, and 2 defeats, together with a 40:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through Eryc Castillo (12 goals), Jairo Vélez (3 goals), Fernando Gaibor (2 goals), with creative support from Eryc Castillo (3 assists), Jairo Vélez (3 assists), Marco Huamán (3 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. At home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Universitario come into this fixture from a strong position, holding 2 place with 45 points after 24 matches. With 13 wins, 6 draws, and 5 defeats plus a goal balance of 39:24, they continue to show good form and are on a winning streak. Their attacking quality is driven by A. Valera (7 goals), G. Lapadula (4 goals), Edison Flores (3 goals), with creative support from J. Concha (4 assists), A. Valera (2 assists), Edison Flores (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima won 3 times, Universitario won 7 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 11:16 from Alianza Lima's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Home
|
28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 46:19 | 27 | 59 |
W
W
L
D
L
|
| 2 |
Universitario
Away
|
28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | 45:33 | 12 | 50 |
D
L
W
D
W
|
| 3 | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 48 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 8 | 7 | 47:31 | 16 | 47 |
D
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 5 | 28 | 14 | 3 | 11 | 41:40 | 1 | 45 |
L
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | 48:40 | 8 | 44 |
W
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 43:36 | 7 | 43 |
W
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 36:45 | -9 | 43 |
D
D
L
L
L
|
|
| 9 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 49:40 | 9 | 41 |
W
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 30:29 | 1 | 38 |
L
D
W
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 38:44 | -6 | 38 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 12 | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 43:53 | -10 | 35 |
D
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 13 | 28 | 9 | 6 | 13 | 26:31 | -5 | 33 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 14 | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 31 |
D
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 41:52 | -11 | 28 |
D
L
W
L
W
|
|
| 16 | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 29:42 | -13 | 26 |
D
W
L
L
L
|
|
| 17 | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 24:43 | -19 | 25 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 18 | 28 | 4 | 8 | 16 | 32:51 | -19 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|