PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Referee: M. Palomino
Alianza Lima
Match Timeline
Sport Huancayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
18'
N. Lujan · Assist: P. Magallanes
Sport Huancayo
🟨
28'
Diego Carabaño
Sport Huancayo
33'
E. Castillo
Alianza Lima
🔄
46'
F. Caballero ↔ R. Huaccha
Sport Huancayo
🟨
57'
Hugo Ángeles
Sport Huancayo
🟨
59'
Eryc Castillo
Alianza Lima
61'
E. Castillo · Assist: M. Huaman
Alianza Lima
🟨
65'
Luis Advíncula
Alianza Lima
🟨
69'
Paolo Guerrero
Alianza Lima
🔄
70'
Y. Murillo ↔ J. J. Gimenez Delgado
Sport Huancayo
🔄
70'
P. Magallanes ↔ D. Porozo
Sport Huancayo
🔄
70'
Paolo Guerrero ↔ J. Castillo
Alianza Lima
🟨
77'
Nahuel Luján
Sport Huancayo
🔄
80'
N. Lujan ↔ R. Campodonico
Sport Huancayo
🔄
80'
F. Gaibor ↔ A. Cantero
Alianza Lima
🔄
83'
M. Gaona ↔ J. Barreda
Sport Huancayo
🟨
88'
Marco Huamán
Alianza Lima
🔄
90+2'
J. Velez ↔ C. Neira
Alianza Lima
🔄
90+2'
E. Castillo ↔ J. Archimbaud
Alianza Lima

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 88%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 75.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
88%
-
BTTS Yes
75.1%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
67.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Lima Win 88%
Draw 4.8%
Sport Huancayo Win 7.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Lima1.7
Sport Huancayo0.97
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
WWDLW
34 GF / 12 GA
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WLDWL
21 GF / 31 GA
Key Stats
1.62
Average Goals Scored
1.24
0.57
Average Goals Conceded
1.82
8
BTTS Yes
13
7
Over 2.5
13
5
Shots on Goal
3.94

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 21 matches
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 17 matches
Alianza Lima Statistic Sport Huancayo
13 Wins 4
5 Draws 4
3 Losses 9
34 Goals For 21
12 Goals Against 31
1.62 Avg Goals Scored 1.24
0.57 Avg Goals Conceded 1.82
8 BTTS Yes 13
13 Over 1.5 15
7 Over 2.5 13
2 Over 3.5 5
10 Clean Sheets 2
4 Failed To Score 3
5 Shots On Goal 3.94
13.79 Total Shots 12.12
3.63 Corners 3.88
52.5% Ball Possession 46.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Alianza Lima's more proactive style and Sport Huancayo's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Lima expected to line up in 5-3-2 and Sport Huancayo in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Huancayo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Sport Huancayo. Alianza Lima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 40 points compared to Sport Huancayo in 17 on 16, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Alianza Lima Analysis

Alianza Lima come into this match from a strong league position, sitting 1 with 40 points from 17 matches. Their overall return of 12 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses with goals at 30:8 reflects poor form . Their attacking weight is carried by E. Castillo (9 goals), R. Garces (5 goals), Paolo Guerrero (4 goals), with creative support from E. Castillo (5 assists), J. Velez (4 assists), A. Cantero (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. At home, their split return of 7 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

Sport Huancayo approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 17 with 16 points from 17 matches. The overall return of 4 wins, 4 draws, and 9 defeats with a 21:31 goal balance points toward poor form . Going forward they depend heavily on Yorleys Mena (5 goals), Franco Caballero (4 goals), N. Lujan (3 goals), with creative support from D. Carabano (3 assists), J. J. Canela Torres (3 assists), N. Lujan (2 assists), while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned 0 wins, 2 draws, and 7 losses, which indicates a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 14 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima won 7 times, Sport Huancayo won 3 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 15:12 from Alianza Lima's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 1.93 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.2%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Lima 5-3-2 / Sport Huancayo 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alianza Lima wins 7, draws 4, Sport Huancayo wins 3
Stats
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
Shots on Goal
8
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
9
Shots off Goal
3
Blocked Shots
7
Blocked Shots
0
11 Corner Kicks 2
12 Fouls 9
1 Offsides 1
66% Ball Possession 34%
24 Total Shots 8
8 Shots on Goal 5
9 Shots off Goal 3
7 Blocked Shots 0
15 Shots insidebox 3
9 Shots outsidebox 5
4 Goalkeeper Saves 5
542 Total passes 281
464 Passes accurate 199
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 4 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Alianza Lima
Formation
Sport Huancayo
A. Duarte
A. Duarte
L. Advincula
L. Advincula
R. Garces
R. Garces
M. Antoni
M. Antoni
M. Huaman
🎯
M. Huaman
E. Pavez
E. Pavez
F. Gaibor
F. Gaibor
J. Velez
J. Velez
F. Girotti
F. Girotti
E. Castillo
⚽ 2
E. Castillo
Paolo Guerrero
Paolo Guerrero
A. Zamudio
A. Zamudio
J. Falconi
J. Falconi
M. Gaona
M. Gaona
J. Valoyes
J. Valoyes
Y. Murillo
Y. Murillo
H. Angeles
H. Angeles
P. Magallanes
🎯
P. Magallanes
R. Salcedo
R. Salcedo
D. Carabano
D. Carabano
N. Lujan
N. Lujan
F. Caballero
F. Caballero
Alianza Lima 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
1
A. Duarte
G
17
L. Advincula
🟨 65'
D
6
R. Garces
D
3
M. Antoni
D
13
M. Huaman
🎯 61' 🟨 88'
D
5
E. Pavez
M
7
F. Gaibor
↓ 80'
M
20
J. Velez
↓ 90+2'
M
99
F. Girotti
M
8
E. Castillo
⚽ 33' ⚽ 61' ↓ 90+2' 🟨 59'
F
34
Paolo Guerrero
↓ 70' 🟨 69'
F
Substitutes
12
A. De la Cruz
G
25
G. Gentile
F
29
J. Archimbaud
↑ 90+2'
M
4
G. Chavez
D
15
J. Castillo
↑ 70'
M
11
A. Cantero
↑ 80'
F
22
C. Neira
↑ 90+2'
M
32
J. Garcia
D
30
G. Motta
F
Sport Huancayo 5-4-1
Starting XI
12
A. Zamudio
G
16
J. Falconi
D
26
M. Gaona
↓ 83'
D
70
J. Valoyes
D
92
Y. Murillo
↓ 70'
2
H. Angeles
🟨 57'
D
23
P. Magallanes
🎯 18' ↓ 70'
M
22
R. Salcedo
M
8
D. Carabano
🟨 28'
M
10
N. Lujan
⚽ 18' ↓ 80' 🟨 77'
M
99
F. Caballero
↓ 46'
F
Substitutes
21
D. Campos
97
D. Porozo
↑ 70'
F
7
R. Campodonico
↑ 80'
M
4
J. Barreda
↑ 83'
D
28
J. Rostaing
D
19
R. Huaccha
↑ 46'
11
J. Sanguinetti
M
17
J. J. Gimenez Delgado
↑ 70'
38
E. Villar
M
Last matches: Alianza Lima
26.07.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
2
2
D
12.07.26
Fri
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
31.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
24.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
W
16.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cusco
8
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
ADT
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Universitario
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
12.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
W
05.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
Last matches: Sport Huancayo
25.07.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
31.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
1
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
1
4
L
10.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Juan Pablo II College
2
1
W
03.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cusco
1
2
L
18.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Deportivo Garcilaso
2
1
W
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
05.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
0
3
L
14.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
ADT
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
28.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sporting Cristal
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
15.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FC Cajamarca
2
0
W
07.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
30.01.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
1
2
L
H2H: Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo
20.07.26
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
30.01.26
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
1
2
W
20.10.25
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
1
2
W
15.06.25
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
23.10.24
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
11.05.24
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
0
2
W
17.08.23
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
19.03.23
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
2
1
L
21.08.22
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
05.06.22
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
2
0
L
23.08.21
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
14.04.21
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
28.11.20
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
2
0
L
27.09.20
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
19.09.20
H2H
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Lima
1
1
D
Last matches: Alianza Lima
12.07.26
Fri
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Cali
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cusco
8
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
10.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
1
0
W
12.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Alianza Lima
Inter Miami
3
0
W
H2H at home: Alianza Lima
20.07.26
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
15.06.25
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
23.10.24
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
17.08.23
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
21.08.22
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
0
W
23.08.21
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
27.09.20
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
Last matches: Sport Huancayo
31.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Universitario
1
2
L
16.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
FBC Melgar
1
4
L
03.05.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
1
4
L
26.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Cusco
1
2
L
15.04.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Sport Boys
0
3
L
07.03.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
UCV Moquegua
1
2
L
22.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
2
3
L
07.02.26
Pri
Sport Huancayo
Atletico Grau
0
0
D
H2H away: Sport Huancayo
20.07.26
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
L
15.06.25
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D
23.10.24
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
L
17.08.23
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
0
L
21.08.22
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
0
L
23.08.21
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
1
1
D
27.09.20
H2H
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
0
0
D

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W D W W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
L W D L W
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
L L W D L
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W W W D L
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W W W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
L W W W L
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W L W D W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
W L L D W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
D D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L L L W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W L W D W
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L W L
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D L D D L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
D D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
L D D D W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
L W W L W
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
W L L D L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
W D L D L
Play-offs