Alianza Lima vs Deportivo Garcilaso Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
64.7%
|
1.32 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
71.2%
|
2.50 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.92 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
83.5%
|
1.83 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
9.50 |
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Lima
27 matches
Deportivo Garcilaso
23 matches
| Alianza Lima | Statistic | Deportivo Garcilaso |
|---|---|---|
| 16 | Wins | 11 |
| 8 | Draws | 6 |
| 3 | Losses | 6 |
| 44 | Goals For | 30 |
| 18 | Goals Against | 21 |
| 1.63 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.3 |
| 0.67 | Avg Goals Conceded | 0.91 |
| 13 | BTTS Yes | 11 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 13 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 8 |
| 4 | Over 3.5 | 5 |
| 11 | Clean Sheets | 9 |
| 4 | Failed To Score | 6 |
| 5.28 | Shots On Goal | 4.09 |
| 14.92 | Total Shots | 11.61 |
| 4.16 | Corners | 3.39 |
| 54% | Ball Possession | 46% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Deportivo Garcilaso. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Alianza Lima arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 1 with 51 points compared to Deportivo Garcilaso in 6 on 36, which underlines the gap in season consistency. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Lima expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Deportivo Garcilaso in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Deportivo Garcilaso having the stronger overall control. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest.
Alianza Lima approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 51 points after 22 outings. With 15 wins, 6 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 39:13, they continue to show good form over their recent run. Their attacking quality is driven by Eryc Castillo (12 goals), Jairo Vélez (3 goals), Fernando Gaibor (2 goals), with creative support from Eryc Castillo (3 assists), Jairo Vélez (3 assists), Marco Huamán (3 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.
Deportivo Garcilaso are currently 6 in the standings with 36 points from 22 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 10 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 26:20 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Christopher Olivares (6 goals), Beto Da Silva (5 goals), Francisco Arancibia (3 goals), with creative support from Francisco Arancibia (4 assists), Christopher Olivares (2 assists), Kevin Sandoval (2 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. Away from home, their split return of - wins, - draws, and - losses fits an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima won 5 times, Deportivo Garcilaso won 1 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:10 from Alianza Lima's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 3.43 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |
Alianza Lima
Home
|
26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 |
Deportivo Garcilaso
Away
|
26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 37 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 | 26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|