PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Alejandro Villanueva
Referee: M. Espinoza
Alianza Lima
Match Timeline
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
13'
J. Velez · Assist: E. Pavez
Alianza Lima
28'
E. Castillo · Assist: M. Huaman
Alianza Lima
🔄
46'
A. Quintana ↔ B. Guevara
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
62'
F. Gaibor ↔ A. Cantero
Alianza Lima
🟨
63'
M. Torres
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
70'
D. Gonzales ↔ K. Barrios
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
71'
O. Takeuchi ↔ J. Quintero
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
76'
Paolo Guerrero ↔ F. Girotti
Alianza Lima
🔄
82'
A. Quiroz ↔ A. Ayarza
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
82'
R. Garces · Assist: J. Velez
Alianza Lima
🟨
86'
C. Velarde
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
🔄
87'
E. Castillo ↔ G. Gentile
Alianza Lima
🔄
87'
J. Velez ↔ P. Cari
Alianza Lima
🔄
87'
J. Castillo ↔ J. Archimbaud
Alianza Lima

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 61.2%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 50.9%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 47.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
61.2%
-
BTTS BTTS No
50.9%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
47.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
71.9%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Lima Win 61.2%
Draw 4.6%
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Win 34.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Lima1.43
Club Deportivo Los Chankas1.12
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
WWDLW
30 GF / 9 GA
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
WLDWL
23 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.53
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.07
7
BTTS Yes
8
6
Over 2.5
6
4.88
Shots on Goal
4.8

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 18 matches
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas 15 matches
Alianza Lima Statistic Club Deportivo Los Chankas
12 Wins 10
4 Draws 3
2 Losses 2
30 Goals For 23
9 Goals Against 16
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.53
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.07
7 BTTS Yes 8
10 Over 1.5 10
6 Over 2.5 6
2 Over 3.5 5
9 Clean Sheets 5
3 Failed To Score 2
4.88 Shots On Goal 4.8
13.88 Total Shots 12.47
3.82 Corners 4.2
52.4% Ball Possession 49.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

There is very little separating these two teams on paper, and two sides with a fairly similar football identity points toward a competitive game. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Alianza Lima come in with stronger recent momentum, which could help them control the rhythm for longer periods. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Club Deportivo Los Chankas. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Lima expected to line up in 4-1-3-2 and Club Deportivo Los Chankas in 5-3-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Club Deportivo Los Chankas having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns.

Alianza Lima Analysis

Alianza Lima approach this game with the confidence of a side sitting 1 on 36 points after 15 outings. With 11 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats plus a goal balance of 26:7, they continue to show very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Their attacking quality is driven by E. Castillo (8 goals), Paolo Guerrero (4 goals), R. Garces (4 goals), with creative support from E. Castillo (4 assists), J. Velez (3 assists), A. Cantero (2 assists), and at the back they have appeared very solid. At home, their record of 6 wins, 1 draws, and 0 losses points to a very strong split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their overall playing style can be described as balanced attacking football.

Club Deportivo Los Chankas Analysis

Placed 2 with 33 points from 15 outings, Club Deportivo Los Chankas continue to operate from a strong competitive position. Their overall return of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses with goals at 23:16 reflects mixed form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by F. Torres (6 goals), Abdiel Ayarza (5 goals), M. Torres (3 goals), with creative support from Adrián Quiroz (3 assists), A. Quintana (3 assists), M. Torres (2 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, the record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses points toward a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Lima won 5 times, Club Deportivo Los Chankas won 0 times, while 1 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:3 from Alianza Lima's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Lima 4-1-3-2 / Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2
H2H summary: Alianza Lima wins 5, draws 1, Club Deportivo Los Chankas wins 0
Stats
Alianza Lima Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Shots on Goal
7
Shots on Goal
3
Shots off Goal
6
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
1
Blocked Shots
3
3 Corner Kicks 1
17 Fouls 10
1 Offsides 1
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
7 Shots on Goal 3
6 Shots off Goal 7
1 Blocked Shots 3
10 Shots insidebox 4
4 Shots outsidebox 9
3 Goalkeeper Saves 4
311 Total passes 327
246 Passes accurate 271
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 2 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Alianza Lima
Formation
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
A. Duarte
A. Duarte
L. Advincula
L. Advincula
R. Garces
R. Garces
M. Antoni
M. Antoni
M. Huaman
🎯
M. Huaman
E. Pavez
🎯
E. Pavez
F. Gaibor
F. Gaibor
J. Velez
🎯
J. Velez
J. Castillo
J. Castillo
Paolo Guerrero
Paolo Guerrero
E. Castillo
E. Castillo
H. Camacho
H. Camacho
O. Takeuchi
O. Takeuchi
G. Rizzo
G. Rizzo
H. Gonzalez
H. Gonzalez
D. Gonzales
D. Gonzales
A. Quintana
A. Quintana
A. Quiroz
A. Quiroz
C. Velarde
C. Velarde
K. Sanchez
K. Sanchez
F. Torres
F. Torres
M. Torres
M. Torres
Alianza Lima 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
1
A. Duarte
G
17
L. Advincula
D
6
R. Garces
⚽ 82'
D
3
M. Antoni
D
13
M. Huaman
🎯 28'
D
5
E. Pavez
🎯 13'
M
7
F. Gaibor
↓ 62'
M
20
J. Velez
⚽ 13' 🎯 82' ↓ 87'
M
15
J. Castillo
↓ 87'
M
34
Paolo Guerrero
↓ 76'
F
8
E. Castillo
⚽ 28' ↓ 87'
F
Substitutes
23
G. Viscarra
G
27
K. Quevedo
F
25
G. Gentile
↑ 87'
F
31
C. Carbajal
D
21
P. Cari
↑ 87'
29
J. Archimbaud
↑ 87'
M
4
G. Chavez
D
99
F. Girotti
↑ 76'
F
11
A. Cantero
↑ 62'
F
Club Deportivo Los Chankas 5-3-2
Starting XI
1
H. Camacho
G
18
O. Takeuchi
↓ 71'
D
24
G. Rizzo
D
2
H. Gonzalez
D
26
D. Gonzales
↓ 70'
31
A. Quintana
↓ 46'
D
8
A. Quiroz
↓ 82'
M
17
C. Velarde
🟨 86'
M
15
K. Sanchez
M
10
F. Torres
F
20
M. Torres
🟨 63'
Substitutes
12
L. Pretel
G
11
J. Quintero
↑ 71'
F
89
J. Posito
F
14
B. Guevara
↑ 46'
D
77
F. E. Espinoza Vega
F
7
J. Ospina
F
6
A. Ayarza
↑ 82'
M
27
K. Barrios
↑ 70'
D
30
M. Kaufman
D
Last matches: Alianza Lima
31.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Atletico Grau
1
0
W
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cusco
8
0
W
14.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
ADT
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Universitario
0
1
L
21.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
1
D
10.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UTC Cajamarca
1
0
W
21.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
1
0
W
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
0
0
D
12.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
W
05.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
0
1
L
30.01.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sport Huancayo
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Alianza Lima
Inter Miami
3
0
W
Last matches: Club Deportivo Los Chankas
31.05.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
17.05.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
UCV Moquegua
1
0
W
10.05.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cusco
1
1
D
04.05.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
1
L
27.04.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
ADT
0
4
L
23.04.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cienciano
1
0
W
17.04.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Atletico Grau
2
0
W
06.04.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
14.03.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Juan Pablo II College
3
2
W
08.03.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Universitario
3
1
W
27.02.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
2
1
W
22.02.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport Huancayo
3
2
W
15.02.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
1
0
W
31.01.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport Boys
1
1
D
H2H: Alianza Lima vs Club Deportivo Los Chankas
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
W
05.11.25
H2H
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
1
2
W
16.09.25
H2H
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
19.04.25
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
0
W
24.08.24
H2H
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
0
1
W
29.03.24
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
W
11.06.21
H2H
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Lima
2
2
D
Last matches: Alianza Lima
10.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sporting Cristal
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Cusco
8
0
W
21.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
10.03.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
FBC Melgar
3
1
W
21.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Sport Boys
1
0
W
12.02.26
CON
Alianza Lima
2 de Mayo
1
1
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Lima
Comerciantes Unidos
2
1
W
24.01.26
Fri
Alianza Lima
Inter Miami
3
0
W
H2H at home: Alianza Lima
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
W
19.04.25
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
0
W
29.03.24
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
W
Last matches: Club Deportivo Los Chankas
10.05.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cusco
1
1
D
27.04.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
ADT
0
4
L
06.04.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FC Cajamarca
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Juan Pablo II College
3
2
W
27.02.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
FBC Melgar
2
1
W
15.02.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Comerciantes Unidos
1
1
D
31.01.26
Pri
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Sport Boys
1
1
D
H2H away: Club Deportivo Los Chankas
24.05.26
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
L
19.04.25
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
1
0
L
29.03.24
H2H
Alianza Lima
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
0
L

Standings

# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 17 12 4 1 30:8 22 40
D W W D W
2 17 10 4 3 25:21 4 34
D L W D L
3 17 10 3 4 34:22 12 33
W D L W W
4 17 8 5 4 24:15 9 29
W D L D W
5 17 8 4 5 29:20 9 28
W D W D W
6 17 8 3 6 21:24 -3 27
W W L D D
7 17 7 5 5 21:18 3 26
W D W W W
8 17 5 6 6 20:18 2 21
L D W L W
9 17 5 6 6 18:20 -2 21
L D L D L
10 17 5 5 7 22:21 1 20
L L W D W
11 17 5 5 7 15:19 -4 20
W D W D L
12 17 5 4 8 28:30 -2 19
L W L D D
13 17 4 6 7 21:26 -5 18
D D L L L
14 17 5 3 9 17:24 -7 18
L D L D L
15 17 4 5 8 23:28 -5 17
D D W W W
16 17 4 4 9 12:18 -6 16
W L W L L
17 17 4 4 9 21:31 -10 16
L D L W L
18 17 4 4 9 22:40 -18 16
L D L L L