Alianza Atletico vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
88%
|
1.64 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
75.1%
|
1.91 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
66.7%
|
1.89 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
87.5%
|
1.29 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
2.60 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
8.50 |
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Atletico
25 matches
UTC Cajamarca
26 matches
| Alianza Atletico | Statistic | UTC Cajamarca |
|---|---|---|
| 9 | Wins | 5 |
| 7 | Draws | 9 |
| 9 | Losses | 12 |
| 34 | Goals For | 29 |
| 32 | Goals Against | 43 |
| 1.36 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.12 |
| 1.28 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.65 |
| 15 | BTTS Yes | 16 |
| 18 | Over 1.5 | 20 |
| 13 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 9 | Over 3.5 | 10 |
| 6 | Clean Sheets | 5 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 7 |
| 4.83 | Shots On Goal | 4.25 |
| 13.58 | Total Shots | 12.38 |
| 3.38 | Corners | 4.58 |
| 45.1% | Ball Possession | 51.3% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Alianza Atletico's more proactive style and UTC Cajamarca's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. A relatively balanced game with moderate goal potential looks most likely. UTC Cajamarca arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Atletico expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and UTC Cajamarca in 3-4-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward UTC Cajamarca having the stronger overall control. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors UTC Cajamarca. Alianza Atletico arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 8 with 31 points compared to UTC Cajamarca in 18 on 15, which underlines the gap in season consistency.
So far, Alianza Atletico have built a campaign that leaves them 8 in the table on 31 points from 23 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 8 wins, 7 draws, and 8 losses, while the 30:28 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cristian Penilla (4 goals), Valentín Robaldo (2 goals), Guillermo Larios (2 goals), with creative support from Cristian Penilla (2 assists), Hernan Lupú (2 assists), Valentín Robaldo (1 assists), and defensively they have been fairly stable. At home, the record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points toward an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.
With 15 points from 23 games and a place of 18, UTC Cajamarca still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Across the season they have posted 4 wins, 8 draws, and 11 defeats, and the 25:38 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on Marcos Lliuya (3 goals), Michel Rasmussen (3 goals), David Camacho (2 goals), with creative support from Marcos Lliuya (2 assists), Michel Rasmussen (2 assists), Adolfo Muñoz (2 assists), while at the back they have been fairly stable. Away from home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 6 times, UTC Cajamarca won 3 times, while 6 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:13 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.13 goals per game.
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 42:18 | 24 | 53 |
L
D
L
D
W
|
|
| 2 | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 43:27 | 16 | 49 |
W
D
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 44:28 | 16 | 45 |
W
W
L
D
W
|
|
| 4 | 26 | 13 | 6 | 7 | 35:24 | 11 | 45 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 5 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 10 | 38:37 | 1 | 42 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 6 | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 35:44 | -9 | 41 |
L
L
L
L
L
|
|
| 7 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 9 | 44:37 | 7 | 40 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Home
|
25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 37 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
| 9 | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 28:25 | 3 | 37 |
W
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 10 | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 45:39 | 6 | 35 |
W
W
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 34:42 | -8 | 32 |
W
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 12 | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 38:52 | -14 | 31 |
W
D
W
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 26 | 7 | 9 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 30 |
L
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 14 | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 29 |
L
W
W
W
D
|
|
| 15 | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 40:50 | -10 | 27 |
W
L
W
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 24:37 | -13 | 25 |
L
L
L
W
D
|
|
| 17 | 25 | 5 | 7 | 13 | 27:39 | -12 | 22 |
L
L
L
D
D
|
|
| 18 |
UTC Cajamarca
Away
|
26 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 30:47 | -17 | 15 |
L
L
L
L
L
|