03.05.2026 20:30
Estadio Campeones del 36
Referee: Víctor Cori, Peru
Alianza Atletico
Match Timeline
Sport Huancayo
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
10'
J. Valoyes · Assist: D. Carabano
Sport Huancayo
16'
G. A. Larios Saavedra · Assist: C. Penilla
Alianza Atletico
🟥
18'
Juan Barreda
Sport Huancayo
21'
C. Penilla
Alianza Atletico
🟨
27'
Hernan Lupú
Alianza Atletico
🔄
35'
G. A. Larios Saavedra ↔ C. Valladolid
Alianza Atletico
37'
C. Valladolid · Assist: C. Penilla
Alianza Atletico
🟨
39'
Jeremy Rostaing
Sport Huancayo
🔄
39'
H. Angeles ↔ J. Falconi
Sport Huancayo
🟨
44'
Diego Carabaño
Sport Huancayo
🔄
46'
N. Lujan ↔ Y. Mena
Sport Huancayo
🔄
46'
F. Caballero ↔ R. Huaccha
Sport Huancayo
🔄
46'
D. Carabano ↔ E. Villar
Sport Huancayo
🟨
65'
Jimmy Valoyes
Sport Huancayo
🔄
67'
J. del Castillo ↔ J. Perez
Alianza Atletico
🔄
67'
V. Robaldo ↔ M. Barreda
Alianza Atletico
🔄
67'
G. Diaz ↔ S. Fernandez
Alianza Atletico
🟨
72'
Stefano Fernández
Alianza Atletico
🔄
73'
J. Sanguinetti ↔ R. Campodonico
Sport Huancayo
76'
C. Penilla · Assist: M. Barreda
Alianza Atletico
🔄
79'
E. Perleche ↔ W. Guzman
Alianza Atletico

Alianza Atletico vs Sport Huancayo Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.6%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 13.3%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 25.9%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.6%
-
BTTS BTTS No
13.3%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
25.9%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
68.3%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-0
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Atletico Win 81.6%
Draw 9.2%
Sport Huancayo Win 9.2%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Atletico1.11
Sport Huancayo1.13
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
WWDLW
11 GF / 14 GA
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo
WLDWL
14 GF / 18 GA
Key Stats
0.85
Average Goals Scored
1.17
1.08
Average Goals Conceded
1.5
5
BTTS Yes
8
5
Over 2.5
8
4.33
Shots on Goal
3.67

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 13 matches
Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 12 matches
Alianza Atletico Statistic Sport Huancayo
3 Wins 3
5 Draws 3
5 Losses 6
11 Goals For 14
14 Goals Against 18
0.85 Avg Goals Scored 1.17
1.08 Avg Goals Conceded 1.5
5 BTTS Yes 8
7 Over 1.5 10
5 Over 2.5 8
2 Over 3.5 2
4 Clean Sheets 2
6 Failed To Score 3
4.33 Shots On Goal 3.67
12.33 Total Shots 11.25
3.08 Corners 3.58
46% Ball Possession 46.7%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with two sides with a fairly similar football identity suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Atletico expected to line up in 4-2-3-1 and Sport Huancayo in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Sport Huancayo having the stronger overall control. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Even if this develops into a close game, the analytical lean still edges toward Away Win, with a cautious clean-sheet angle toward Sport Huancayo.

Alianza Atletico Analysis

So far, Alianza Atletico have built a campaign that leaves them 12 in the table on 14 points from 12 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 5 draws, and 4 losses, while the 11:11 goal ratio supports the view of poor form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Franco Coronel (3 goals), V. Robaldo (3 goals), F. Flores (1 goals), with creative support from Franco Coronel (2 assists), F. Flores (2 assists), Ariel Muñoz (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Sport Huancayo Analysis

With 12 points from 12 games and a place of 15, Sport Huancayo still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 14:18, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Yorleys Mena (5 goals), Franco Caballero (4 goals), N. Lujan (2 goals), with creative support from J. J. Canela Torres (3 assists), N. Lujan (2 assists), Hugo Ángeles (2 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 5 times, Sport Huancayo won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 19:24 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 9 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 1X (90.8%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Atletico 4-2-3-1 / Sport Huancayo 4-4-2
H2H summary: Alianza Atletico wins 5, draws 4, Sport Huancayo wins 6

Standings

Primera Division: Tabla Anual
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 26 15 8 3 42:18 24 53
L D L D W
2 26 14 7 5 43:27 16 49
W D W W W
3 26 13 6 7 44:28 16 45
W W L D W
4 26 13 6 7 35:24 11 45
L W W W D
5 26 13 3 10 38:37 1 42
L W W L W
6 26 12 5 9 35:44 -9 41
L L L L L
7 25 12 4 9 44:37 7 40
W L L D L
8 26 10 7 9 38:34 4 37
L W W W D
9 26 10 7 9 28:25 3 37
W L W W D
10 26 10 5 11 45:39 6 35
W W L L W
11 26 9 5 12 25:28 -3 32
W L W W W
12 26 9 5 12 34:42 -8 32
W W W L L
13 26 8 7 11 38:52 -14 31
W D W W L
14 26 7 9 10 34:36 -2 30
L D L W L
15 26 7 6 13 40:50 -10 27
W L W L L
16 26 6 7 13 24:37 -13 25
L L L W D
17 25 5 7 13 27:39 -12 22
L L L D D
18 26 4 8 14 30:47 -17 15
L L L L L
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana (Qualification)
Relegation - Liga 2