Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | No Draw |
94.8%
|
- | |
| BTTS | Yes |
82.5%
|
- | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
72%
|
- | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
84.6%
|
- | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
- | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
- |
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alianza Atletico
20 matches
Cienciano
20 matches
| Alianza Atletico | Statistic | Cienciano |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Wins | 10 |
| 6 | Draws | 4 |
| 8 | Losses | 6 |
| 24 | Goals For | 36 |
| 26 | Goals Against | 28 |
| 1.2 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.8 |
| 1.3 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.4 |
| 11 | BTTS Yes | 14 |
| 14 | Over 1.5 | 17 |
| 10 | Over 2.5 | 13 |
| 6 | Over 3.5 | 8 |
| 5 | Clean Sheets | 2 |
| 6 | Failed To Score | 4 |
| 4.89 | Shots On Goal | 5.63 |
| 13.42 | Total Shots | 15.05 |
| 3.11 | Corners | 5.21 |
| 46.6% | Ball Possession | 51.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cienciano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 33 points while Alianza Atletico sit 8 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cienciano arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Atletico expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cienciano in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cienciano having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cienciano.
From their first 17 matches, Alianza Atletico have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cristian Penilla (4 goals), Valentín Robaldo (2 goals), Jorge del Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from Cristian Penilla (2 assists), Valentín Robaldo (1 assists), Hernan Lupú (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.
With 33 points from 17 games and a place of 3, Cienciano still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 34:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), Carlos Garcés (2 goals), Matías Succar (2 goals), with creative support from Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), Carlos Garcés (2 assists), Matías Succar (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 3 times, Cienciano won 9 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:30 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 7 matches, with an average of 2.93 goals per game.
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
Alianza Atletico
ADT
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
Cienciano
ADT
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Cusco
Cienciano
Sport Boys
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
Universitario
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Cienciano
Bolívar
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
Alianza Atletico
ADT
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
Cienciano
Cusco
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
Cienciano
Universitario
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
Standings
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 17 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 30:8 | 22 | 40 |
D
W
D
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 25:21 | 4 | 34 |
L
W
D
L
W
|
|
| 3 |
Cienciano
Away
|
17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 34:22 | 12 | 33 |
L
L
W
D
L
|
| 4 | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 24:15 | 9 | 29 |
W
W
W
D
L
|
|
| 5 | 17 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 29:20 | 9 | 28 |
W
W
W
D
W
|
|
| 6 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 27 |
L
W
W
W
L
|
|
| 7 | 17 | 7 | 5 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 26 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 8 |
Alianza Atletico
Home
|
17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 21 |
W
L
L
D
W
|
| 9 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 18:20 | -2 | 21 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 10 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 20 |
L
L
L
L
W
|
|
| 11 | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 20 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 12 | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 28:30 | -2 | 19 |
L
W
L
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 21:26 | -5 | 18 |
D
L
D
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 17:24 | -7 | 18 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 15 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 23:28 | -5 | 17 |
L
D
D
D
W
|
|
| 16 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 12:18 | -6 | 16 |
L
W
W
L
W
|
|
| 17 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 21:31 | -10 | 16 |
W
L
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 22:40 | -18 | 16 |
W
D
L
D
L
|