PERU PRIMERA DIVISIóN
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Campeones del 36
Referee: J. Alarcon
Alianza Atletico
Match Timeline
Cienciano
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
VAR
16'
C. Penilla
Alianza Atletico
🟨
23'
F. Urciuoli
Alianza Atletico
🟨
40'
H. Lupu
Alianza Atletico
🟨
45'
C. Garces
Cienciano
🟨
45'
J. del Castillo
Alianza Atletico
🟨
45+3'
H. Caparo
Cienciano
🔄
46'
A. Yovera ↔ A. Hohberg
Cienciano
🔄
46'
H. Caparo ↔ C. Souza Espana
Cienciano
🟨
53'
S. D. Arias Fierro
Cienciano
61'
J. Molina · Assist: H. Lupu
Alianza Atletico
🔄
64'
S. D. Arias Fierro ↔ G. Barreto
Cienciano
🔄
77'
R. Aguilar ↔ M. Martinich
Cienciano
🔄
77'
J. del Castillo ↔ G. A. Larios Saavedra
Alianza Atletico
🔄
77'
H. Lupu ↔ S. Fernandez
Alianza Atletico
🔄
78'
A. Robles ↔ D. La Torre
Cienciano
🔄
86'
J. Molina ↔ F. Flores
Alianza Atletico
🟨
87'
S. Fernandez
Alianza Atletico
🔄
90+3'
C. Penilla ↔ J. Mendieta
Alianza Atletico

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
No Draw
Probability 94.8%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.5%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 No Draw
94.8%
-
BTTS Yes
82.5%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
84.6%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Alianza Atletico Win 50.6%
Draw 5.3%
Cienciano Win 44.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alianza Atletico1.25
Cienciano1.64
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
WWDLW
25 GF / 29 GA
Cienciano Cienciano
WLDWL
38 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.19
Average Goals Scored
1.81
1.38
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
12
BTTS Yes
14
11
Over 2.5
13
4.8
Shots on Goal
5.75

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 21 matches
Cienciano Cienciano 21 matches
Alianza Atletico Statistic Cienciano
6 Wins 11
6 Draws 4
9 Losses 6
25 Goals For 38
29 Goals Against 28
1.19 Avg Goals Scored 1.81
1.38 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
12 BTTS Yes 14
15 Over 1.5 18
11 Over 2.5 13
7 Over 3.5 8
5 Clean Sheets 3
6 Failed To Score 4
4.8 Shots On Goal 5.75
13.1 Total Shots 15.5
3.1 Corners 5.3
45.6% Ball Possession 51.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Cienciano carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 3 with 33 points while Alianza Atletico sit 8 on 21, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Cienciano arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alianza Atletico expected to line up in 4-3-3 and Cienciano in 4-4-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Cienciano having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Cienciano.

Alianza Atletico Analysis

From their first 17 matches, Alianza Atletico have collected 21 points and now occupy 8 place in the table. Across the campaign, they have posted 5 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, while the 20:18 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on Cristian Penilla (4 goals), Valentín Robaldo (2 goals), Jorge del Castillo (2 goals), with creative support from Cristian Penilla (2 assists), Valentín Robaldo (1 assists), Hernan Lupú (1 assists), and defensively they have been very solid. At home, their split return of 3 wins, 4 draws, and 1 losses fits a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display balanced attacking football.

Cienciano Analysis

With 33 points from 17 games and a place of 3, Cienciano still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 10 wins, 3 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 34:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Alejandro Hohberg (5 goals), Carlos Garcés (2 goals), Matías Succar (2 goals), with creative support from Alejandro Hohberg (2 assists), Carlos Garcés (2 assists), Matías Succar (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have returned 3 wins, 2 draws, and 3 losses, which indicates a fairly balanced split record. They are competing near the top and remain under pressure to hold that position. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alianza Atletico won 4 times, Cienciano won 9 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 14:29 from Alianza Atletico's perspective. 8 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.87 goals per game.

1X2: No Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.8%)
Predicted formations: Alianza Atletico 4-3-3 / Cienciano 4-4-2
H2H summary: Alianza Atletico wins 4, draws 2, Cienciano wins 9
Stats
Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico
Cienciano Cienciano
Shots on Goal
5
Shots on Goal
5
Shots off Goal
10
Shots off Goal
4
Blocked Shots
2
Blocked Shots
3
5 Corner Kicks 2
15 Fouls 11
4 Offsides 2
43% Ball Possession 57%
17 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Goal 5
10 Shots off Goal 4
2 Blocked Shots 3
14 Shots insidebox 6
3 Shots outsidebox 6
5 Goalkeeper Saves 4
293 Total passes 402
198 Passes accurate 291
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 3 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Alianza Atletico
Formation
Cienciano
Steven Rivadeneyra
Steven Rivadeneyra
Erick Perleche
Erick Perleche
Román Suárez
Román Suárez
José Luján
José Luján
Anthony Gordillo
Anthony Gordillo
Hernan Lupú
🎯
Hernan Lupú
German Diaz
German Diaz
Jorge del Castillo
Jorge del Castillo
José Ingratti
José Ingratti
Jairo Molina
Jairo Molina
Cristian Penilla
Cristian Penilla
Ítalo Espinoza
Ítalo Espinoza
Carlos Cabello
Carlos Cabello
Kevin Becerra
Kevin Becerra
Rotceh Aguilar
Rotceh Aguilar
Alonso Yovera
Alonso Yovera
Santiago Arias
Santiago Arias
Ademar Robles
Ademar Robles
Matías Succar
Matías Succar
Henry Caparó
Henry Caparó
Sebastian Cavero
Sebastian Cavero
Carlos Garcés
Carlos Garcés
Alianza Atletico 4-3-3
Starting XI
31
Steven Rivadeneyra
G
21
Erick Perleche
D
2
Román Suárez
D
6
José Luján
D
24
Anthony Gordillo
D
15
Hernan Lupú
🎯 61' ↓ 77' 🟨 40'
M
10
German Diaz
M
22
Jorge del Castillo
↓ 77' 🟨 45'
M
27
José Ingratti
F
29
Jairo Molina
⚽ 61' ↓ 86'
F
17
Cristian Penilla
↓ 90+3'
F
Substitutes
16
Stefano Fernández
↑ 77' 🟨 87'
M
11
Guillermo Larios
↑ 77'
F
8
Franchesco Flores
↑ 86'
M
19
Jesus Mendieta
↑ 90+3'
D
95
Daniel Prieto
G
40
Juan Quiñones
D
23
Ariel Muñoz
M
20
Jimmy Pérez
M
77
Christian Valladolid
F
Cienciano 4-2-3-1
Starting XI
31
Ítalo Espinoza
G
22
Carlos Cabello
D
3
Kevin Becerra
D
26
Rotceh Aguilar
↓ 77'
D
27
Alonso Yovera
↓ 46'
D
5
Santiago Arias
↓ 64' 🟨 53'
M
29
Ademar Robles
↓ 78'
M
19
Matías Succar
M
39
Henry Caparó
↓ 46' 🟨 45+3'
M
14
Sebastian Cavero
M
21
Carlos Garcés
🟨 45'
F
Substitutes
7
Cristian Souza
↑ 46'
M
10
Alejandro Hohberg
↑ 46'
M
88
Gerson Barreto
↑ 64'
M
16
Marcos Martinich
↑ 77'
D
18
Didier La Torre
↑ 78'
F
1
Gonzalo Falcón
G
25
Renzo Salazar
D
8
Gonzalo Aguirre
M
17
Ray Sandoval
F
Last matches: Alianza Atletico
15.08.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
ADT
1
1
D
02.08.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
1
3
L
24.07.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
1
W
18.07.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
1
4
L
31.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
24.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
16.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Juan Pablo II College
2
0
W
11.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Deportivo Garcilaso
1
2
L
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Universitario
2
1
W
22.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Comerciantes Unidos
0
1
L
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
2
2
D
22.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UTC Cajamarca
1
1
D
15.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
3
0
W
07.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sporting Cristal
1
3
L
27.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
ADT
0
0
D
22.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
1
D
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
08.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
Last matches: Cienciano
16.08.26
Pri
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
0
0
D
02.08.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
2
0
W
25.07.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
0
2
L
18.07.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
1
3
L
31.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sporting Cristal
3
2
W
24.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
16.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Lima
0
1
L
09.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
02.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Comerciantes Unidos
1
0
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
20.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UCV Moquegua
2
1
W
03.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
ADT
3
2
W
21.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
FC Cajamarca
3
0
W
15.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Cusco
2
1
W
09.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Boys
3
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
3
2
W
22.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
14.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
1
2
L
08.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
6
1
W
H2H: Alianza Atletico vs Cienciano
06.08.26
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
0
W
22.02.26
H2H
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
1
D
25.10.25
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
0
1
L
22.06.25
H2H
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
3
2
L
24.10.24
H2H
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
3
0
L
13.05.24
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
0
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
2
1
W
10.05.23
H2H
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
5
2
L
28.08.22
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
0
W
10.04.22
H2H
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
5
0
L
17.09.21
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
2
2
D
27.03.21
H2H
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
1
0
L
22.09.19
H2H
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
2
0
L
09.06.19
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
3
1
W
04.11.18
H2H
Cienciano
Alianza Atletico
3
0
L
Last matches: Alianza Atletico
24.07.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
3
1
W
24.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
FC Cajamarca
1
1
D
03.05.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Huancayo
4
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Sport Boys
0
1
L
03.04.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Atletico Grau
2
2
D
15.03.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
UCV Moquegua
3
0
W
27.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
ADT
0
0
D
15.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Alianza Lima
0
0
D
01.02.26
Pri
Alianza Atletico
Cusco
1
0
W
H2H at home: Alianza Atletico
06.08.26
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
0
W
25.10.25
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
0
1
L
13.05.24
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
0
1
L
06.08.23
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
2
1
W
28.08.22
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
0
W
17.09.21
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
2
2
D
09.06.19
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
3
1
W
Last matches: Cienciano
25.07.26
Pri
Cienciano
Juan Pablo II College
0
2
L
24.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Sport Huancayo
2
2
D
09.05.26
Pri
Cienciano
Atletico Grau
2
1
W
26.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
UTC Cajamarca
2
2
D
23.04.26
Pri
Cienciano
Club Deportivo Los Chankas
0
1
L
15.03.26
Pri
Cienciano
Cusco
2
1
W
28.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Deportivo Garcilaso
3
2
W
14.02.26
Pri
Cienciano
Universitario
1
2
L
31.01.26
Pri
Cienciano
FBC Melgar
0
2
L
H2H away: Cienciano
06.08.26
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
0
L
25.10.25
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
0
1
W
13.05.24
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
0
1
W
06.08.23
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
2
1
L
28.08.22
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
1
0
L
17.09.21
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
2
2
D
09.06.19
H2H
Alianza Atletico
Cienciano
3
1
L

Standings

Primera Division: Clausura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 5 3 2 0 9:5 4 11
W D W D W
2 5 3 1 1 9:4 5 10
W D W L W
3 5 3 1 1 10:6 4 10
W L D W W
4 5 3 1 1 5:2 3 10
D W W W L
5 5 3 1 1 8:7 1 10
W D L W W
6 5 3 0 2 12:7 5 9
W L W L W
7 5 2 2 1 5:3 2 8
D D W W L
8 5 2 1 2 7:7 0 7
L D W W L
9 5 2 1 2 4:4 0 7
W D L L W
10 5 2 1 2 7:9 -2 7
D W L W L
11 5 2 1 2 6:9 -3 7
L D W L W
12 5 1 2 2 9:9 0 5
L W L D D
13 5 1 2 2 4:6 -2 5
L D L W D
14 5 1 1 3 9:11 -2 4
L W L L D
15 5 0 4 1 3:5 -2 4
D L D D D
16 5 1 1 3 3:6 -3 4
D L W L L
17 5 0 2 3 3:7 -4 2
D D L L L
18 5 0 2 3 3:9 -6 2
L D L D L
Promotion - Liga 1 (Play Offs)