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GERMANY › 3. LIGA
17.10.2026 12:00
Tivoli
Referee: Eric-Dominic Weisbach
Alemannia Aachen
Live Timeline
Hansa Rostock
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
8'
Louis Köster · Assist: Mika Schroers
Alemannia Aachen
⚽
26'
Lukas Scepanik
Alemannia Aachen
🟨
27'
David Kopacz
Hansa Rostock
🟨
28'
Dylan Leonard
Alemannia Aachen

Alemannia Aachen vs Hansa Rostock Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.50
BTTS
Yes
Probability 78.8%
Odds 1.50
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 72%
Odds 1.58
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
62.9%
1.50 ▥
BTTS Yes
78.8%
1.50 ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
72%
1.58 ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
1.19 ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
6.50 ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
9.50 ▥
Probability Distribution
Alemannia Aachen Win 37.1%
Draw 25.6%
Hansa Rostock Win 37.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alemannia Aachen1.86
Hansa Rostock1.81
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen
WWDLW
34 GF / 26 GA
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock
WLDWL
34 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
2
Average Goals Scored
2
1.53
Average Goals Conceded
1.65
9
BTTS Yes
10
12
Over 2.5
12
3.89
Shots on Goal
4

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alemannia Aachen Alemannia Aachen 17 matches
Hansa Rostock Hansa Rostock 17 matches
Alemannia Aachen Statistic Hansa Rostock
7 Wins 8
3 Draws 4
7 Losses 5
34 Goals For 34
26 Goals Against 28
2 Avg Goals Scored 2
1.53 Avg Goals Conceded 1.65
9 BTTS Yes 10
14 Over 1.5 16
12 Over 2.5 12
7 Over 3.5 10
4 Clean Sheets 3
4 Failed To Score 4
3.89 Shots On Goal 4
11.44 Total Shots 11.67
4.56 Corners 4.78
41.9% Ball Possession 39%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This contest looks finely balanced, with Alemannia Aachen's more proactive style and Hansa Rostock's more cautious structure suggesting a close tactical battle. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Hansa Rostock. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Alemannia Aachen expected to line up in 3-4-2-1 and Hansa Rostock in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Hansa Rostock having the stronger overall control. There is little separation in the broader season picture, with both sides operating from relatively comparable league positions and points returns. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Alemannia Aachen Analysis

Alemannia Aachen sit 8 with 11 points after 7 league matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 3 wins, 2 draws, and 2 losses, while the 11:8 goal ratio supports the view of mixed form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses, a split that suggests a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms, they tend to show balanced attacking football.

Hansa Rostock Analysis

Hansa Rostock sit 6 with 12 points after 7 league matches. The record of 3 wins, 3 draws, and 1 defeats, together with a 15:15 goal balance, points toward mixed form over their recent run. Much of their attacking threat comes through their main attacking players, while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 8 head-to-head meetings, Alemannia Aachen won 2 times, Hansa Rostock won 2 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 10:10 from Alemannia Aachen's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 5 matches, with an average of 2.5 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (74.4%)
Predicted formations: Alemannia Aachen 3-4-2-1 / Hansa Rostock 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Alemannia Aachen wins 2, draws 4, Hansa Rostock wins 2

Standings

3 Liga
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 8 0 1 26:11 15 24
W W W W L
2 9 6 1 2 26:13 13 19
D W W W W
3 9 5 3 1 18:12 6 18
W D D W W
4 9 4 3 2 17:17 0 15
L W D W L
5 9 4 2 3 21:16 5 14
L D W D L
6 9 4 2 3 10:10 0 14
W D L W W
7 10 4 2 4 17:18 -1 14
W W D D L
8 9 4 1 4 18:14 4 13
L L W W D
9 9 4 1 4 16:14 2 13
L W W L W
10 9 3 3 3 16:18 -2 12
L D L D W
11 9 3 3 3 14:17 -3 12
D D W D W
12 9 3 2 4 13:16 -3 11
L L W L D
13 9 3 2 4 12:15 -3 11
W L L L W
14 9 3 2 4 12:15 -3 11
W W L W L
15 10 2 4 4 8:11 -3 10
L L D W L
16 9 3 1 5 11:16 -5 10
W D L L L
17 9 2 3 4 20:19 1 9
D W D L D
18 9 2 3 4 9:16 -7 9
D L L D D
19 9 2 2 5 13:19 -6 8
D L L W L
20 9 1 2 6 12:22 -10 5
D L L L D
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Promotion)
Relegation