ARGENTINA LIGA PROFESIONAL ARGENTINA
--.--.---- --:--
Estadio Jose Maria Minella
Referee: P. Echavarria
Aldosivi
Match Timeline
Independ. Rivadavia
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
4'
S. Moya
Aldosivi
8'
L. Bucca · Assist: J. M. Elordi
Independ. Rivadavia
🟨
45+1'
Alessandro Riep
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
46'
V. Ramis ↔ B. Dadin
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
46'
L. Costa ↔ I. Villalba
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
73'
L. Bucca ↔ L. Sabato
Independ. Rivadavia
🟨
76'
Luciano Sábato
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
81'
T. Fernandez ↔ F. Roman
Aldosivi
🔄
81'
L. Rodriguez ↔ A. Fernandez
Aldosivi
🟨
82'
Juan Manuel Elordi
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
84'
D. Crego ↔ M. Salvo
Independ. Rivadavia
🔄
88'
R. Gonzalez ↔ E. Iniguez
Aldosivi
🔄
89'
G. Rios ↔ S. Moreyra
Independ. Rivadavia

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 75.4%
Odds -
BTTS
BTTS No
Probability 40%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Under 2.5
Probability 39.8%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
75.4%
-
BTTS BTTS No
40%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Under 2.5
39.8%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
69.6%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 0-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aldosivi Win 24.7%
Draw 0%
Independ. Rivadavia Win 75.4%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aldosivi0.64
Independ. Rivadavia1.62
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aldosivi Aldosivi
WWDLW
8 GF / 18 GA
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
WLDWL
37 GF / 16 GA
Key Stats
0.5
Average Goals Scored
1.95
1.13
Average Goals Conceded
0.84
5
BTTS Yes
12
3
Over 2.5
10
2.6
Shots on Goal
5.06

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aldosivi Aldosivi 16 matches
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia 19 matches
Aldosivi Statistic Independ. Rivadavia
1 Wins 14
7 Draws 3
8 Losses 2
8 Goals For 37
18 Goals Against 16
0.5 Avg Goals Scored 1.95
1.13 Avg Goals Conceded 0.84
5 BTTS Yes 12
9 Over 1.5 15
3 Over 2.5 10
2 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 6
10 Failed To Score 2
2.6 Shots On Goal 5.06
10.4 Total Shots 13.44
3.8 Corners 4.17
43.3% Ball Possession 45.9%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Independ. Rivadavia carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 12 with 122 points while Aldosivi sit 29 on 40, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aldosivi expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Independ. Rivadavia in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Independ. Rivadavia having the stronger overall control. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Independ. Rivadavia. Independ. Rivadavia look sharper on recent form, and that momentum could be important in key phases of the match. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Aldosivi Analysis

With 40 points from 47 games and a place of 29, Aldosivi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. The overall return of - wins, - draws, and - defeats with a 0:0 goal balance points toward poor form over their recent run. Going forward they depend heavily on Federico Gino (2 goals), F. Anso (1 goals), with creative support from Fernando Román (1 assists), L. Rodriguez (1 assists), N. Zalazar (1 assists), while defensively they have looked very solid. At home, the split record of 0 wins, 6 draws, and 1 losses points to a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

Independ. Rivadavia Analysis

From their first 88 matches, Independ. Rivadavia have collected 122 points and now occupy 12 place in the table. The record of - wins, - draws, and - defeats, together with a 0:0 goal balance, points toward very strong form with results showing strong momentum. Much of their attacking threat comes through F. Sartori (6 goals), A. Osella (4 goals), José Florentín (3 goals), with creative support from Sebastián Villa (5 assists), R. Atencio (4 assists), M. Fernandez (2 assists), while at the back they have looked very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 2 draws, and 0 losses fits a very strong split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi won 2 times, Independ. Rivadavia won 6 times, while 4 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:16 from Aldosivi's perspective. 5 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.33 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: BTTS No
Over/Under 2.5: Under 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (100%)
Predicted formations: Aldosivi 5-4-1 / Independ. Rivadavia 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Aldosivi wins 2, draws 4, Independ. Rivadavia wins 6
Stats
Aldosivi Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia Independ. Rivadavia
Shots on Goal
4
Shots on Goal
4
Shots off Goal
8
Shots off Goal
7
Blocked Shots
4
Blocked Shots
4
5 Corner Kicks 7
7 Fouls 8
2 Offsides 1
40% Ball Possession 60%
16 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Goal 4
8 Shots off Goal 7
4 Blocked Shots 4
10 Shots insidebox 9
6 Shots outsidebox 6
4 Goalkeeper Saves 3
279 Total passes 436
184 Passes accurate 348
0 expected_goals 0
🟨 0 Yellow Cards 3 🟨
🟥 0 Red Cards 0 🟥

Lineups

Aldosivi
Formation
Independ. Rivadavia
I. Chicco
I. Chicco
R. Gonzalez
R. Gonzalez
N. Breitenbruch
N. Breitenbruch
S. Moya
S. Moya
N. Zalazar
N. Zalazar
L. Rodriguez
L. Rodriguez
T. Fernandez
T. Fernandez
E. Rolon
E. Rolon
A. Palavecino
A. Palavecino
F. Anso
F. Anso
N. Cordero
N. Cordero
E. F. Gomez Riga
E. F. Gomez Riga
A. Riep
A. Riep
L. Costa
L. Costa
A. Osella
A. Osella
J. M. Elordi
🎯
J. M. Elordi
K. A. Vazquez
K. A. Vazquez
G. Rios
G. Rios
R. Atencio
R. Atencio
L. Bucca
L. Bucca
V. Ramis
V. Ramis
D. Crego
D. Crego
Aldosivi 5-4-1
Starting XI
23
I. Chicco
G
4
R. Gonzalez
↓ 88'
D
25
N. Breitenbruch
D
28
S. Moya
⚽ 4'
D
33
N. Zalazar
D
18
L. Rodriguez
↓ 81'
D
27
T. Fernandez
↓ 81'
M
8
E. Rolon
M
11
A. Palavecino
M
24
F. Anso
M
19
N. Cordero
F
Substitutes
1
A. Werner
G
21
E. Iniguez
↑ 88'
D
3
F. Roman
↑ 81'
D
80
L. Chavez
M
22
F. De La Vega
F
48
A. Fernandez
↑ 81'
F
13
F. Gino
M
7
N. Guzman
F
16
M. Morello
D
10
A. Sosa
F
56
M. Lambardi
Independ. Rivadavia 4-1-3-2
Starting XI
21
E. F. Gomez Riga
G
20
A. Riep
🟨 45+1'
D
2
L. Costa
↓ 46'
D
13
A. Osella
D
3
J. M. Elordi
🎯 8' 🟨 82'
D
32
K. A. Vazquez
M
11
G. Rios
↓ 89'
M
19
R. Atencio
M
8
L. Bucca
⚽ 8' ↓ 73'
M
7
V. Ramis
↓ 46'
F
27
D. Crego
↓ 84'
F
Substitutes
30
N. Bolcato
G
25
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla
M
14
L. Gomez
D
15
N. Arena
D
34
S. Moreyra
↑ 89'
M
17
B. Dadin
↑ 46'
F
42
S. Studer
D
55
M. Salvo
↑ 84'
D
36
E. Bonifacio
D
40
I. Villalba
↑ 46'
D
5
T. Bottari
M
45
L. Sabato
↑ 73' 🟨 76'
F
Last matches: Aldosivi
24.07.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
1
1
D
18.07.26
Cop
Aldosivi
River Plate
3
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
River Plate
1
3
L
19.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Racing Club
1
1
D
11.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Belgrano Cordoba
0
1
L
04.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
31.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
22.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Sarmiento Junin
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Huracan
0
0
D
12.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Atletico Tucuman
1
1
D
03.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Banfield
0
2
L
23.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Union Santa Fe
0
1
L
17.02.26
Cop
Aldosivi
San Miguel
3
0
W
12.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Tigre
0
1
L
07.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Rosario Central
1
1
D
02.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Gimnasia L.P.
1
3
L
28.01.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Barracas Central
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
Last matches: Independ. Rivadavia
12.07.26
Cop
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
1
0
W
28.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
3
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
2
W
10.05.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Union Santa Fe
1
2
L
07.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
1
1
D
30.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
1
W
26.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
5
1
W
20.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
2
1
W
11.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Argentinos JRS
3
1
W
07.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
1
0
W
02.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
2
0
W
23.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Rosario Central
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
3
2
W
12.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Barracas Central
1
2
L
03.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
River Plate
1
1
D
26.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Racing Club
1
1
D
21.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Independiente
3
2
W
15.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Belgrano Cordoba
0
1
L
10.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1
0
W
H2H: Aldosivi vs Independ. Rivadavia
03.05.26
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
3
1
W
23.04.25
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
1
0
L
17.06.23
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
2
1
L
10.02.23
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
09.12.17
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
06.04.14
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
2
2
D
05.10.13
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
L
23.03.13
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
2
0
L
22.09.12
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
24.03.12
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
2
0
W
25.09.11
H2H
Independ. Rivadavia
Aldosivi
2
2
D
Last matches: Aldosivi
19.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Racing Club
1
1
D
04.04.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
0
0
D
31.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Argentinos JRS
0
2
L
16.03.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Huracan
0
0
D
17.02.26
Cop
Aldosivi
San Miguel
3
0
W
07.02.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Rosario Central
1
1
D
28.01.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Barracas Central
0
0
D
22.01.26
Lig
Aldosivi
Defensa Y Justicia
0
0
D
H2H at home: Aldosivi
03.05.26
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
3
1
W
10.02.23
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
L
09.12.17
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
05.10.13
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
L
22.09.12
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
L
24.03.12
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
2
0
W
Last matches: Independ. Rivadavia
28.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Bolívar
3
1
W
21.05.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Deportivo La Guaira
4
2
W
20.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Banfield
0
0
D
16.04.26
CON
Independ. Rivadavia
Fluminense
2
1
W
02.04.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Tigre
2
0
W
15.03.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia L.P.
3
2
W
26.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Racing Club
1
1
D
10.02.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto
1
0
W
27.01.26
Lig
Independ. Rivadavia
Huracan
2
1
W
H2H away: Independ. Rivadavia
03.05.26
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
1
D
01.11.25
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
3
1
L
10.02.23
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
1
2
W
09.12.17
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
0
D
05.10.13
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
1
W
22.09.12
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
0
2
W
24.03.12
H2H
Aldosivi
Independ. Rivadavia
2
0
L

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
L D W D W
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W L
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
W L W W L
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
L L W W D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W W W W W
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
L W W W W
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
L W D L D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
L W D D D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L D D W L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
D L D D L
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L L W L L
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
W D D L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
W D L D L
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
D D L D L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L L D
Knockout Phase