02.08.2026 17:30
Estadio Jose Maria Minella
Referee: Luis Lobo Medina, Argentina
Aldosivi
Match Timeline
Gimnasia L.P.
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
🟨
9'
Alan Sosa
Aldosivi
🔄
22'
J. Merlo ↔ A. Colazo
Gimnasia L.P.
40'
A. Auzmendi · Assist: P. Silva Torrejon
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
43'
Matías Godoy
Aldosivi
🔄
46'
N. Cordero ↔ T. Fernandez
Aldosivi
🔄
46'
M. Godoy ↔ N. Gaitan
Aldosivi
🟨
48'
Federico Laurelli
Aldosivi
🔄
59'
F. Laurelli ↔ A. Palavecino
Aldosivi
🔄
59'
R. Gonzalez ↔ M. Garcia
Aldosivi
🟨
60'
Nacho Fernández
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
61'
N. Schelotto ↔ B. Barros Schelotto
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
61'
A. Auzmendi ↔ L. Janson
Gimnasia L.P.
66'
A. Colazo · Assist: A. Steimbach
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
71'
Pedro Silva
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
74'
L. Castro ↔ A. Chavez
Aldosivi
78'
N. Gaitan
Aldosivi
🔄
87'
I. Miramon ↔ A. Max
Gimnasia L.P.
🔄
87'
N. Fernandez ↔ L. Lamella
Gimnasia L.P.
🟨
90+2'
Mateo Seoane
Gimnasia L.P.

Aldosivi vs Gimnasia L.P. Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away Win
Probability 69.3%
Odds -
1 agree / 0 disagree
BTTS
Yes
Probability 86%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 58.6%
Odds -
1 agree / 1 disagree
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away Win
69.3%
-
BTTS Yes
86%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
58.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
86.4%
-
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
-
Correct Score 1-2
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aldosivi Win 24.8%
Draw 5.9%
Gimnasia L.P. Win 69.3%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aldosivi0.82
Gimnasia L.P.1.27
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aldosivi Aldosivi
WWDLW
13 GF / 22 GA
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P.
WLDWL
33 GF / 26 GA
Key Stats
0.65
Average Goals Scored
1.38
1.1
Average Goals Conceded
1.08
8
BTTS Yes
11
4
Over 2.5
12
2.61
Shots on Goal
3.7

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aldosivi Aldosivi 20 matches
Gimnasia L.P. Gimnasia L.P. 24 matches
Aldosivi Statistic Gimnasia L.P.
2 Wins 13
9 Draws 3
9 Losses 8
13 Goals For 33
22 Goals Against 26
0.65 Avg Goals Scored 1.38
1.1 Avg Goals Conceded 1.08
8 BTTS Yes 11
12 Over 1.5 17
4 Over 2.5 12
3 Over 3.5 5
5 Clean Sheets 8
11 Failed To Score 6
2.61 Shots On Goal 3.7
10.5 Total Shots 11
4 Corners 3.9
42.6% Ball Possession 45.1%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Overall, the preferred tip is Away Win, while the clean-sheet lean points toward Gimnasia L.P.. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. Recent form does not point to a completely one-sided rhythm, which increases the chance of a more tactical and phase-based contest. Gimnasia L.P. carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 6 with 26 points while Aldosivi sit 14 on 8, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Aldosivi expected to line up in 5-4-1 and Gimnasia L.P. in 4-3-1-2, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Gimnasia L.P. having the stronger overall control.

Aldosivi Analysis

With 8 points from 16 games and a place of 14, Aldosivi still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 0 wins, 8 draws, and 8 losses, together with goals at 6:19, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Tomás Fernández (1 goals), Santiago Moya (1 goals), Nicolás Cordero (1 goals), with creative support from Tomás Fernández (1 assists), Lucas Rodríguez (1 assists), Fernando Román (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned 0 wins, 7 draws, and 1 losses, which indicates a balanced but draw-heavy split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Stylistically, they tend to play with a more cautious and defensive approach.

Gimnasia L.P. Analysis

So far, Gimnasia L.P. have built a campaign that leaves them 6 in the table on 26 points from 16 matches. Their overall return of 8 wins, 2 draws, and 6 losses with goals at 19:19 reflects good form over their recent run. Their attacking weight is carried by Marcelo Torres (4 goals), Agustín Auzmendi (1 goals), Nacho Fernández (1 goals), with creative support from Agustín Auzmendi (2 assists), Alexis Steimbach (2 assists), Nicolás Barros Schelotto (1 assists), while defensively they have appeared very solid. Away from home, their split return of 4 wins, 1 draws, and 3 losses fits a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they usually display a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 12 head-to-head meetings, Aldosivi won 0 times, Gimnasia L.P. won 7 times, while 5 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 8:21 from Aldosivi's perspective. 6 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 6 matches, with an average of 2.42 goals per game.

1X2: Away Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (94.1%)
Predicted formations: Aldosivi 5-4-1 / Gimnasia L.P. 4-3-1-2
H2H summary: Aldosivi wins 0, draws 5, Gimnasia L.P. wins 7

Standings

Apertura - Group B
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 16 10 4 2 29:15 14 34
W W L W D
2 16 9 2 5 22:12 10 29
L W W W D
3 16 8 5 3 17:13 4 29
L D D W D
4 16 8 4 4 20:16 4 28
W W D L D
5 16 7 5 4 17:13 4 26
W D D D L
6 16 8 2 6 19:19 0 26
D D W W L
7 16 5 7 4 17:13 4 22
W W D D D
8 16 5 6 5 17:15 2 21
W L L L D
9 16 5 6 5 15:15 0 21
L D D D L
10 16 4 8 4 18:15 3 20
L L L D W
11 16 6 1 9 13:20 -7 19
L D W L W
12 16 5 3 8 17:19 -2 18
D D L L L
13 16 3 5 8 15:20 -5 14
L L W D D
14 16 0 8 8 6:19 -13 8
W L W L L
15 16 1 2 13 5:24 -19 5
L L L D D
Knockout Phase