ENGLAND NATIONAL LEAGUE
26.09.2026 14:00
EBB Stadium at Recreation Ground

Aldershot Town vs Tamworth Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 81.1%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 82.4%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
81.1%
-
BTTS Yes
82.4%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
-
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
87.7%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Aldershot Town Win 81.1%
Draw 6.7%
Tamworth Win 12.1%
Expected Goals (xG)
Aldershot Town1.71
Tamworth1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Aldershot Town Aldershot Town
WWDLW
23 GF / 12 GA
Tamworth Tamworth
WLDWL
32 GF / 38 GA
Key Stats
1.35
Average Goals Scored
1.88
0.71
Average Goals Conceded
2.24
8
BTTS Yes
16
5
Over 2.5
16
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Aldershot Town Aldershot Town 17 matches
Tamworth Tamworth 17 matches
Aldershot Town Statistic Tamworth
10 Wins 6
4 Draws 4
3 Losses 7
23 Goals For 32
12 Goals Against 38
1.35 Avg Goals Scored 1.88
0.71 Avg Goals Conceded 2.24
8 BTTS Yes 16
12 Over 1.5 17
5 Over 2.5 16
2 Over 3.5 12
7 Clean Sheets 0
3 Failed To Score 1
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

This match appears to feature a noticeable gap in profile, built around Aldershot Town's more proactive style and Tamworth's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Tamworth arrive with more visible recent inconsistency, which may leave them vulnerable if the match starts badly. Aldershot Town arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 7 with 15 points compared to Tamworth in 22 on 5, which underlines the gap in season consistency. Across the main signals in this matchup, Away Win remains the stronger lean, and the clean-sheet angle slightly favors Tamworth. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Tamworth having the stronger overall control. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent.

Aldershot Town Analysis

So far, Aldershot Town have built a campaign that leaves them 7 in the table on 15 points from 8 matches. Across the campaign, they have posted 4 wins, 3 draws, and 1 losses, while the 10:6 goal ratio supports the view of good form over their recent run. Going forward they rely heavily on their main attacking players, and defensively they have been very solid. At home, the record of 2 wins, 1 draws, and 1 losses points toward a fairly balanced split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Their broader style still suggests balanced attacking football.

Tamworth Analysis

Tamworth sit 22 with 5 points after 8 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. Across the season they have posted 1 wins, 2 draws, and 5 defeats, and the 14:22 goal record continues to suggest poor form over their recent run. Their attacking burden often falls on their main attacking players, while at the back they have been very solid. Away from home, the split record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 4 losses points to a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 6 head-to-head meetings, Aldershot Town won 1 times, Tamworth won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 12:9 from Aldershot Town's perspective. 4 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 4 matches, with an average of 3.5 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (93.3%)
H2H summary: Aldershot Town wins 1, draws 2, Tamworth wins 3

Standings

Conference
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 9 7 2 0 23:11 12 23
W W D W W
2 9 6 2 1 23:12 11 20
W W D W D
3 9 5 3 1 13:7 6 18
D W W W D
4 9 5 2 2 20:13 7 17
L W W D W
5 9 5 1 3 20:16 4 16
L L W W W
6 9 5 1 3 10:10 0 16
D W L L L
7 9 4 3 2 18:14 4 15
W D L L W
8 9 4 3 2 10:7 3 15
L D W W D
9 9 5 0 4 11:12 -1 15
W L L L W
10 9 5 0 4 12:15 -3 15
W W L W W
11 9 4 2 3 17:15 2 14
W W D D L
12 9 4 2 3 11:10 1 14
W L D L D
13 9 4 1 4 14:11 3 13
D W W L W
14 9 4 1 4 13:14 -1 13
L D W W L
15 9 3 2 4 13:13 0 11
W D L D L
16 9 2 4 3 16:14 2 10
L D D L W
17 9 2 3 4 11:12 -1 9
W L D W D
18 9 2 3 4 10:12 -2 9
D D W L D
19 9 3 0 6 7:11 -4 9
L L L W L
20 9 2 2 5 11:15 -4 8
L L W L W
21 9 2 2 5 16:23 -7 8
W L L D L
22 9 2 1 6 11:15 -4 7
L L W L L
23 9 1 1 7 9:23 -14 4
L W L D L
24 9 1 1 7 6:20 -14 4
L L L D L
Promotion - League Two
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Promotion - National League (Play Offs: Quarter-finals)
Relegation