URUGUAY PRIMERA DIVISIóN - APERTURA
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Estadio Luis Franzini

Predictions & Statistics

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.7%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 63.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 55.6%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.7%
-
BTTS Yes
63.2%
-
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
55.6%
-
Corners O/U Under 11.5 Corners
92%
-
HT / FT Home / Home
-
-
Correct Score 2-1
-
-
Probability Distribution
Albion FC Win 60.7%
Draw 15.6%
Danubio Win 23.7%
Expected Goals (xG)
Albion FC1.39
Danubio0.99
Recent Form (Last 5)
Albion FC Albion FC
WWDLW
30 GF / 22 GA
Danubio Danubio
WLDWL
20 GF / 28 GA
Key Stats
1.43
Average Goals Scored
0.95
1.05
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
12
BTTS Yes
11
11
Over 2.5
9
0
Shots on Goal
0

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Albion FC Albion FC 21 matches
Danubio Danubio 21 matches
Albion FC Statistic Danubio
9 Wins 4
6 Draws 9
6 Losses 8
30 Goals For 20
22 Goals Against 28
1.43 Avg Goals Scored 0.95
1.05 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
12 BTTS Yes 11
13 Over 1.5 15
11 Over 2.5 9
5 Over 3.5 5
6 Clean Sheets 5
5 Failed To Score 8
0 Shots On Goal 0
0 Total Shots 0
0 Corners 0
0% Ball Possession 0%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

From the opening view, this looks like a meeting between teams arriving with different levels of stability, reinforced by Albion FC's more proactive style and Danubio's more cautious structure. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. Albion FC have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Danubio. From a tactical point of view, the game still points toward Danubio having the stronger overall control. Albion FC arrive from the stronger league position, sitting 4 with 33 points compared to Danubio in 14 on 21, which underlines the gap in season consistency.

Albion FC Analysis

With 33 points from 21 games and a place of 4, Albion FC still have clear room for improvement in overall consistency. Their record of 9 wins, 6 draws, and 6 losses, together with goals at 30:22, reflects poor form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through their main attacking players, while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have returned - wins, - draws, and - losses, which indicates an unclear split record. They are pushing for upper-table objectives and still have something important to play for. Stylistically, they tend to play with balanced attacking football.

Danubio Analysis

Danubio sit 14 with 21 points after 20 matches and remain under pressure to produce steadier results. The overall return of 4 wins, 9 draws, and 7 defeats with a 20:27 goal balance points toward poor form and have been stuck in a sequence of draws. Going forward they depend heavily on their main attacking players, while defensively they have looked fairly stable. Away from home, the split record of - wins, - draws, and - losses points to an unclear split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. Their broader football approach still suggests a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 5 head-to-head meetings, Albion FC won 3 times, Danubio won 2 times, while 0 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:6 from Albion FC's perspective. 3 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 2 matches, with an average of 2.4 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (84.4%)
Predicted formations: Albion FC - / Danubio 4-3-3
H2H summary: Albion FC wins 3, draws 0, Danubio wins 2
Last matches: Albion FC
17.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
0
1
L
10.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
07.06.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
1
W
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
23.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
0
1
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
09.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Danubio
1
0
W
03.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
25.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
2
1
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
11.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
0
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
31.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Defensor Sporting
1
1
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
22.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
1
0
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
07.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Progreso
2
2
D
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
21.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Boston River
0
0
D
16.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
3
0
W
Last matches: Danubio
24.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
11.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
0
0
D
05.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
1
1
D
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
30.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
1
2
L
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
09.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
19.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
1
D
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
04.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
1
1
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
26.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
0
0
D
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
16.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Juventud
4
1
W
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
28.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
2
2
D
21.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
0
4
L
15.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
2
0
W
H2H: Albion FC vs Danubio
09.05.26
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
0
1
W
16.10.22
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
3
0
L
27.05.22
H2H
Albion FC
Danubio
1
2
L
31.10.21
H2H
Albion FC
Danubio
2
1
W
22.07.21
H2H
Danubio
Albion FC
0
2
W
Last matches: Albion FC
17.07.26
Pri
Albion FC
Juventud
0
1
L
31.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Atletico Torque
1
2
L
17.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
0
0
D
03.05.26
Pri
Albion FC
Club Nacional
3
2
W
17.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Central Espanol
6
1
W
05.04.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro Largo
2
2
D
25.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Wanderers
2
1
W
14.03.26
Pri
Albion FC
Penarol
0
1
L
28.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Racing Montevideo
1
3
L
16.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Cerro
3
0
W
06.02.26
Pri
Albion FC
Liverpool Montevideo
1
2
L
26.10.25
Seg
Albion FC
Central Espanol
0
0
D
12.10.25
Seg
Albion FC
Rentistas
4
1
W
27.09.25
Seg
Albion FC
Cerrito
0
0
D
14.09.25
Seg
Albion FC
Deportivo Maldonado
1
0
W
29.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Uruguay Montevideo
0
1
L
24.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Artigas
3
2
W
16.08.25
Seg
Albion FC
Rampla Juniors
2
1
W
27.07.25
Seg
Albion FC
Tacuarembo
1
0
W
13.07.25
Seg
Albion FC
La Luz
3
0
W
H2H at home: Albion FC
27.05.22
H2H
Albion FC
Danubio
1
2
L
31.10.21
H2H
Albion FC
Danubio
2
1
W
Last matches: Danubio
24.07.26
Pri
Danubio
Atletico Torque
0
1
L
05.06.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
0
0
D
18.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Deportivo Maldonado
1
3
L
02.05.26
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
3
L
25.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Club Nacional
2
1
W
12.04.26
Pri
Danubio
Central Espanol
2
2
D
30.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
2
L
21.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
1
2
L
07.03.26
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
1
1
D
21.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
0
4
L
09.02.26
Pri
Danubio
Cerro
1
0
W
02.11.25
Pri
Danubio
Racing Montevideo
2
1
W
17.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Boston River
0
0
D
05.10.25
Pri
Danubio
Penarol
0
2
L
19.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1
2
L
06.09.25
Pri
Danubio
Wanderers
2
0
W
24.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Progreso
0
1
L
18.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Cerro Largo
0
1
L
03.08.25
Pri
Danubio
Liverpool Montevideo
0
0
D
24.11.21
Seg
Danubio
Defensor Sporting
1
0
W
H2H away: Danubio
27.05.22
H2H
Albion FC
Danubio
1
2
W
31.10.21
H2H
Albion FC
Danubio
2
1
L

Standings

Apertura
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 15 9 4 2 23:14 9 31
L D D D D
2 15 9 2 4 24:16 8 29
L D W W D
3 15 8 4 3 26:16 10 28
L D W L L
4 15 8 3 4 23:16 7 27
W D W L W
5 15 7 3 5 23:22 1 24
L D D W L
6 15 6 5 4 22:16 6 23
W W L W W
7 15 7 1 7 26:21 5 22
L D W L W
8 15 5 6 4 13:11 2 21
L D D D L
9 15 5 5 5 20:18 2 20
W L D W D
10 15 6 2 7 16:21 -5 20
W W D W D
11 15 4 6 5 17:21 -4 18
L D D D L
12 15 5 2 8 16:19 -3 17
W D D W W
13 15 5 2 8 14:20 -6 17
L D D L L
14 15 4 3 8 17:22 -5 15
W L D L L
15 15 2 4 9 12:23 -11 10
W L L W L
16 15 2 4 9 8:24 -16 10
W W L L W