Login Register
25.10.2026 15:15
Estadio Carlos Belmonte
Referee: D. Palencia
Albacete
Match Timeline
Eldense
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
20'
Víctor San Bartolomé
Albacete
🟨
21'
José Corpas
Albacete
🟨
24'
Justin Smith
Eldense
🟨
33'
Carlos Guirao Mora
Eldense
🟨
33'
Fidel
Eldense
⚽
45'
Higinio Marín · Assist: Victor Valverde da Silva
Albacete
🔄
45'
Jorge Rastrojo ↔ Mariano Emilio Carmona Cerezo
Eldense
🔄
45'
Justin Smith ↔ Jorge Martin Camunas
Eldense
🟨
51'
Jesús Vallejo
Albacete
🟨
54'
Javi Martínez
Eldense
🔄
62'
Javi Martínez ↔ Marcos Bustillo Aquesolo
Eldense
🔄
62'
Fidel ↔ Manuel Nieto
Eldense
🔄
62'
Víctor San Bartolomé ↔ Agustin Medina Delgado
Albacete
🔄
63'
Higinio Marín ↔ Mario Soberon Gutierrez
Albacete
🔄
69'
Victor Valverde da Silva ↔ Dani Bernabéu
Albacete
🟨
71'
Antonio Pacheco Ruiz
Albacete
🟨
73'
Lorenzo Aguado Herrera
Albacete
🔄
81'
Carlos Guirao Mora ↔ Dinis Rodrigues
Eldense
🔄
81'
Lorenzo Aguado Herrera ↔ Javi Villar
Albacete
🔄
81'
Antonio Pacheco Ruiz ↔ Roberto Gonzalez Bayon
Albacete

Albacete vs Eldense Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Away or Draw
Probability 85.3%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 71.2%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 77.2%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Away or Draw
85.3%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
71.2%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
77.2%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Draw / Away
-
- ▥
Correct Score 1-2
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Albacete Win 14.7%
Draw 30.5%
Eldense Win 54.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Albacete1.07
Eldense1.41
Recent Form (Last 5)
Albacete Albacete
L L L L L
3 GF / 14 GA
Eldense Eldense
W W W L L
10 GF / 7 GA
Key Stats
0.75
Average Goals Scored
1.19
1.75
Average Goals Conceded
1.56
10
BTTS Yes
9
9
Over 2.5
11
3.8
Shots on Goal
4.6

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Albacete Albacete 16 matches
Eldense Eldense 16 matches
Albacete Statistic Eldense
2 Wins 5
3 Draws 2
11 Losses 9
12 Goals For 19
28 Goals Against 25
0.75 Avg Goals Scored 1.19
1.75 Avg Goals Conceded 1.56
10 BTTS Yes 9
13 Over 1.5 11
9 Over 2.5 11
2 Over 3.5 5
2 Clean Sheets 2
5 Failed To Score 6
3.8 Shots On Goal 4.6
12.3 Total Shots 13.2
5.2 Corners 6
47.4% Ball Possession 49.2%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

Final Verdict

On paper, this fixture places two sides in different competitive situations, shaped by two sides with a fairly similar football identity. Squad availability does not appear severe enough to completely reshape the expected balance, although smaller absences can still influence specific duels. The defensive profile of this fixture suggests that clear openings may be harder to create.This profiles as a tighter contest, with fewer clear openings expected. The broader competitive context suggests that patience and control may be just as important as raw attacking intent. The shape dynamic also adds another layer here, with Albacete expected to line up in 4-4-2 and Eldense in 4-2-3-1, which may reinforce the expected flow toward Eldense having the stronger overall control. Eldense carry the stronger overall league profile, standing 15 with 11 points while Albacete sit 22 on 1, suggesting a clearer edge in long-term output. Taken together, the balance of indicators still supports Away Win, with the defensive lean favoring Eldense. Albacete have shown more instability in their recent run, so confidence and game management may become important factors.

Albacete Analysis

Albacete approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 22 with 1 points from 10 matches. Their record of 0 wins, 1 draws, and 9 losses, together with goals at 6:22, reflects poor form and are going through a difficult losing run. Much of their threat comes through Vallejo (1 goals), San Bartolomé (1 goals), Alex Rubio (1 goals), with creative support from Mario Soberón (1 assists), Agus Medina (1 assists), Víctor Valverde (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. At home, they have managed 0 wins, 0 draws, and 4 losses, a return that supports a weak split record. They are under visible pressure near the relegation zone. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

Eldense Analysis

Eldense approach this match from a more delicate league position, standing 15 with 11 points from 9 matches. Their record of 3 wins, 2 draws, and 4 losses, together with goals at 10:11, reflects good form over their recent run. Much of their threat comes through Jorge Rastrojo (2 goals), Fidel (2 goals), J. Smith (1 goals), with creative support from Jorge Rastrojo (1 assists), Carlos Guirao (1 assists), Marcos Bustillo (1 assists), while the defensive numbers suggest they have been very solid. Away from home, they have managed 1 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, a return that supports a fairly balanced split record. They are operating from a relatively stable mid-table position. In football terms they often show a more cautious and defensive approach.

H2H Analysis

Across those 7 head-to-head meetings, Albacete won 2 times, Eldense won 3 times, while 2 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 6:8 from Albacete's perspective. 1 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 3 matches, with an average of 2 goals per game.

1X2: Away or Draw
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: X2 (85.3%)
Predicted formations: Albacete 4-4-2 / Eldense 4-2-3-1
H2H summary: Albacete wins 2, draws 2, Eldense wins 3

Standings

Segunda
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 12 8 3 1 23:5 18 27
D W W L D
2 12 8 2 2 23:10 13 26
D D W W W
3 12 7 2 3 21:14 7 23
D L D L W
4 12 7 2 3 20:14 6 23
W W W W W
5 12 6 4 2 15:7 8 22
W D D W D
6 12 7 1 4 13:13 0 22
W L W W W
7 12 6 3 3 22:11 11 21
L W W D D
8 12 6 3 3 17:13 4 21
D W W L L
9 12 5 3 4 17:15 2 18
L D W W L
10 12 4 5 3 12:11 1 17
L D L W D
11 12 5 2 5 17:21 -4 17
W W L L D
12 12 5 1 6 19:22 -3 16
D W W L W
13 12 4 3 5 20:19 1 15
W L L W D
14 11 3 5 3 13:15 -2 14
D D D L
15 12 4 2 6 13:17 -4 14
L L W W W
16 12 3 4 5 18:23 -5 13
D L D W L
17 12 3 3 6 10:20 -10 12
L D L L L
18 12 3 2 7 15:22 -7 11
W L L L L
19 12 2 4 6 15:16 -1 10
L W L L W
20 11 3 1 7 15:20 -5 10
L L W D
21 12 2 1 9 10:23 -13 7
W W L L L
22 12 1 2 9 10:27 -17 5
L L L L D
Promotion - LaLiga
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Promotion - Play Offs: Semi-finals)
Relegation