Alaves
Match Timeline
Villarreal
Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
1X2
Home Win
BTTS
Yes
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
All Markets
| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Home Win |
60.6%
|
3.29 | |
| BTTS | Yes |
67.1%
|
1.67 | |
| Over / Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 |
64.5%
|
1.84 | |
| Corners O/U | Over 7.5 Corners |
92%
|
1.27 | |
| HT / FT | Home / Home |
-
|
5.00 | |
| Correct Score | 2-1 |
-
|
10.00 |
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 60.6%
Draw 4.6%
Villarreal Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.53
Villarreal1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves
WWDLW
10 GF / 3 GA
Villarreal
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
5.5
Shots on Goal
6.5
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
6 matches
Villarreal
6 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 2 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 10 | Goals For | 10 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 8 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.67 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.33 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 4 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 5 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 4 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 3 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 6.5 |
| 16.5 | Total Shots | 12.5 |
| 6 | Corners | 6.5 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 53.5% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 6 times, Villarreal won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Alaves's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Alaves 5-3-2 / Villarreal 4-4-2
Missing players: Alaves 1, Villarreal 0
H2H summary: Alaves wins 6, draws 3, Villarreal wins 6
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 21:4 | 17 | 15 |
W
W
W
W
W
|
|
| 2 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 14:4 | 10 | 12 |
W
L
W
W
W
|
|
| 3 |
Alaves
Home
|
5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 10 |
L
W
W
D
W
|
| 4 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 10:6 | 4 | 10 |
W
L
W
D
W
|
|
| 5 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:6 | 2 | 10 |
W
D
L
W
W
|
|
| 6 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 9:6 | 3 | 9 |
D
W
W
D
D
|
|
| 7 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
W
L
W
W
|
|
| 8 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 7 |
W
D
L
L
W
|
|
| 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
D
W
W
L
L
|
|
| 10 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
W
L
W
L
D
|
|
| 11 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:8 | -3 | 7 |
L
L
W
W
D
|
|
| 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 7 |
L
W
D
W
L
|
|
| 13 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 5 |
L
D
W
D
L
|
|
| 14 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 5 |
D
D
L
W
L
|
|
| 15 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
D
D
D
L
L
|
|
| 16 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:14 | -6 | 4 |
L
W
L
D
L
|
|
| 17 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2:8 | -6 | 3 |
D
D
L
D
L
|
|
| 18 |
Villarreal
Away
|
4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 2 |
L
L
D
D
|
| 19 | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 6:13 | -7 | 2 |
D
L
L
L
D
|
|
| 20 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 1:10 | -9 | 1 |
L
L
L
L
D
|
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