Predictions & Statistics
Full analysis and predictions for all markets
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| Market | Option | Probability | Odds | Stats & Analysis |
|---|
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 0%
Draw 0%
Villarreal Win 0%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.48
Villarreal1.16
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves
WWDLW
10 GF / 3 GA
Villarreal
WLDWL
8 GF / 6 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.6
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.2
3
BTTS Yes
3
2
Over 2.5
3
5.5
Shots on Goal
7
Statistics are based on season averages
Season Statistics
Team averages and season trends before this fixture
Alaves
6 matches
Villarreal
5 matches
| Alaves | Statistic | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | Wins | 3 |
| 3 | Draws | 1 |
| 0 | Losses | 1 |
| 10 | Goals For | 8 |
| 3 | Goals Against | 6 |
| 1.67 | Avg Goals Scored | 1.6 |
| 0.5 | Avg Goals Conceded | 1.2 |
| 3 | BTTS Yes | 3 |
| 5 | Over 1.5 | 4 |
| 2 | Over 2.5 | 3 |
| 0 | Over 3.5 | 2 |
| 3 | Clean Sheets | 1 |
| 0 | Failed To Score | 1 |
| 5.5 | Shots On Goal | 7 |
| 16.5 | Total Shots | 12 |
| 6 | Corners | 10 |
| 52% | Ball Possession | 59% |
Match Analysis
Model notes, team context and key prediction signals
H2H Analysis
Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 6 times, Villarreal won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Alaves's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.
Predicted formations: Alaves 5-3-2 / Villarreal 4-4-2
H2H summary: Alaves wins 6, draws 3, Villarreal wins 6
Last matches: Alaves
20.08.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
1
D
15.08.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
3
0
W
07.08.26
Fri
Alaves
Racing Santander
1
1
D
31.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Castellón
3
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Girona
1
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
17.05.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
0
W
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
09.05.26
La
Alaves
Elche
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
21.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
11.04.26
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
3
3
D
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
22.03.26
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
4
3
W
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Alaves
Valencia
2
3
L
27.02.26
La
Alaves
Levante
0
2
L
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
Last matches: Villarreal
16.08.26
La
Villarreal
Racing Santander
2
2
D
08.08.26
Fri
Villarreal
Galatasaray
2
1
W
05.08.26
Fri
Villarreal
Levante
1
0
W
25.07.26
Fri
Villarreal
PSV Eindhoven
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Villarreal
Benfica
0
2
L
24.05.26
La
Villarreal
Atletico Madrid
5
1
W
17.05.26
La
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
L
13.05.26
La
Villarreal
Sevilla
2
3
L
10.05.26
La
Villarreal
Mallorca
1
1
D
02.05.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
5
1
W
26.04.26
La
Villarreal
Celta Vigo
2
1
W
23.04.26
La
Villarreal
Oviedo
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Villarreal
Athletic Club
2
1
W
06.04.26
La
Villarreal
Girona
0
1
L
20.03.26
La
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
3
1
W
13.03.26
La
Villarreal
Alaves
1
1
D
08.03.26
La
Villarreal
Elche
2
1
W
28.02.26
La
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
4
L
22.02.26
La
Villarreal
Valencia
2
1
W
18.02.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
1
0
W
H2H: Alaves vs Villarreal
13.03.26
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
10.01.26
H2H
Villarreal
Alaves
3
1
L
08.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
0
W
09.11.24
H2H
Villarreal
Alaves
3
0
L
10.02.24
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
22.10.23
H2H
Villarreal
Alaves
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
W
21.12.21
H2H
Villarreal
Alaves
5
2
L
21.04.21
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
W
30.09.20
H2H
Villarreal
Alaves
3
1
L
25.01.20
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
2
L
25.10.19
H2H
Villarreal
Alaves
4
1
L
02.03.19
H2H
Villarreal
Alaves
1
2
W
28.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
W
10.02.18
H2H
Villarreal
Alaves
1
2
W
Last matches: Alaves
15.08.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
3
0
W
31.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Castellón
3
0
W
18.07.26
Fri
Alaves
Eibar
1
1
D
23.05.26
La
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
1
2
L
13.05.26
La
Alaves
Barcelona
1
0
W
02.05.26
La
Alaves
Athletic Club
2
4
L
25.04.26
La
Alaves
Mallorca
2
1
W
05.04.26
La
Alaves
Osasuna
2
2
D
13.03.26
La
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
23.02.26
La
Alaves
Girona
2
2
D
08.02.26
La
Alaves
Getafe
0
2
L
04.02.26
Cop
Alaves
Real Sociedad
2
3
L
25.01.26
La
Alaves
Real Betis
2
1
W
14.01.26
Cop
Alaves
Rayo Vallecano
2
0
W
04.01.26
La
Alaves
Oviedo
1
1
D
17.12.25
Cop
Alaves
Sevilla
1
0
W
14.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Madrid
1
2
L
06.12.25
La
Alaves
Real Sociedad
1
0
W
22.11.25
La
Alaves
Celta Vigo
0
1
L
02.11.25
La
Alaves
Espanyol
2
1
W
H2H at home: Alaves
13.03.26
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
0
W
10.02.24
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
W
21.04.21
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
W
25.01.20
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
2
L
28.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
W
Last matches: Villarreal
16.08.26
La
Villarreal
Racing Santander
2
2
D
08.08.26
Fri
Villarreal
Galatasaray
2
1
W
25.07.26
Fri
Villarreal
PSV Eindhoven
3
1
W
17.07.26
Fri
Villarreal
Benfica
0
2
L
17.05.26
La
Villarreal
Rayo Vallecano
0
2
L
10.05.26
La
Villarreal
Mallorca
1
1
D
23.04.26
La
Villarreal
Oviedo
1
1
D
12.04.26
La
Villarreal
Athletic Club
2
1
W
06.04.26
La
Villarreal
Girona
0
1
L
13.03.26
La
Villarreal
Alaves
1
1
D
28.02.26
La
Villarreal
Barcelona
1
4
L
18.02.26
La
Villarreal
Levante
1
0
W
14.02.26
La
Villarreal
Getafe
1
2
L
31.01.26
La
Villarreal
Osasuna
2
2
D
28.01.26
UEF
Villarreal
Bayer Leverkusen
0
3
L
17.01.26
La
Villarreal
Real Betis
0
2
L
03.01.26
La
Villarreal
Elche
3
1
W
17.12.25
Cop
Villarreal
Racing Santander
1
2
L
03.12.25
Cop
Villarreal
Antoniano
0
0
D
30.11.25
La
Villarreal
Real Sociedad
3
2
W
H2H away: Villarreal
13.03.26
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
08.03.25
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
0
L
10.02.24
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
1
D
30.04.22
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
L
21.04.21
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
L
25.01.20
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
1
2
W
28.10.18
H2H
Alaves
Villarreal
2
1
L
Standings
La Liga
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | G | GD | PTS | Form |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 2 |
Alaves
Home
|
1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
W
|
| 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
W
|
|
| 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 6 |
Villarreal
Away
|
1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
| 7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
D
|
|
| 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 14 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
?
|
|
| 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
|
| 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
L
|
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