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SPAIN › LA LIGA
28.08.2026 19:30
Estadio Mendizorrotza
Referee: I. Diaz
Alaves
Match Timeline
Villarreal
HT
0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'
⚽
31'
L. Boye · Assist: A. Perez
Alaves
🟨
48'
Abderrahman Rebbach
Alaves
🔄
54'
M. Rodriguez ↔ Yusi
Alaves
🔄
54'
T. Martinez ↔ M. Diaz
Alaves
🔄
62'
S. Mourino ↔ A. Freeman
Villarreal
🔄
62'
S. Comesana ↔ A. Perez
Villarreal
🔄
63'
T. Buchanan ↔ A. Moleiro
Villarreal
🔄
70'
G. Moreno ↔ I. Akhomach
Villarreal
🔄
71'
A. Rebbach ↔ D. Suarez
Alaves
🔄
71'
A. Perez ↔ C. Protesoni
Alaves
🔄
82'
L. Boye ↔ A. Manas
Alaves
🔄
82'
G. Mikautadze ↔ T. Oluwaseyi
Villarreal
🟨
86'
Nicolas Pépé
Villarreal
🟨
89'
Mariano Díaz
Alaves
🟨
90+2'
Antonio Sivera
Alaves

Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2
Home Win
Probability 60.6%
Odds -
BTTS
Yes
Probability 67.1%
Odds -
Over / Under 2.5
Over 2.5
Probability 64.5%
Odds -
All Markets
Market Option Probability Odds Stats & Analysis
1X2 Home Win
60.6%
- ▥
BTTS Yes
67.1%
- ▥
Over / Under 2.5 Over 2.5
64.5%
- ▥
Corners O/U Over 7.5 Corners
92%
- ▥
HT / FT Home / Home
-
- ▥
Correct Score 2-1
-
- ▥
Probability Distribution
Alaves Win 60.6%
Draw 4.6%
Villarreal Win 34.8%
Expected Goals (xG)
Alaves1.53
Villarreal1.2
Recent Form (Last 5)
Alaves Alaves
WWDLW
10 GF / 3 GA
Villarreal Villarreal
WLDWL
10 GF / 8 GA
Key Stats
1.67
Average Goals Scored
1.67
0.5
Average Goals Conceded
1.33
3
BTTS Yes
4
2
Over 2.5
4
5.5
Shots on Goal
6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alaves Alaves 6 matches
Villarreal Villarreal 6 matches
Alaves Statistic Villarreal
3 Wins 3
3 Draws 2
0 Losses 1
10 Goals For 10
3 Goals Against 8
1.67 Avg Goals Scored 1.67
0.5 Avg Goals Conceded 1.33
3 BTTS Yes 4
5 Over 1.5 5
2 Over 2.5 4
0 Over 3.5 3
3 Clean Sheets 1
0 Failed To Score 1
5.5 Shots On Goal 6.5
16.5 Total Shots 12.5
6 Corners 6.5
52% Ball Possession 53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 6 times, Villarreal won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Alaves's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win
BTTS: Yes
Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5
Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)
Predicted formations: Alaves 5-3-2 / Villarreal 4-4-2
Missing players: Alaves 1, Villarreal 0
H2H summary: Alaves wins 6, draws 3, Villarreal wins 6

Standings

Primera División
# Team MP W D L G GD PTS Form
1 8 8 0 0 34:7 27 24
W W W W W
2 8 6 1 1 18:8 10 19
W W W W L
3 8 6 1 1 14:9 5 19
W D W W W
4 8 6 0 2 19:8 11 18
W L W W L
5 8 4 2 2 13:12 1 14
D L W W D
6 8 4 1 3 12:15 -3 13
W W L W D
7 8 3 2 3 12:8 4 11
L D L L W
8 8 2 4 2 12:11 1 10
L D L D W
9 8 1 5 2 8:6 2 8
D W D D D
10 6 2 2 2 7:6 1 8
D D W W
11 8 2 2 4 13:13 0 8
L W W L L
12 8 2 2 4 11:11 0 8
D L L W D
13 7 2 2 3 11:16 -5 8
D W L W
14 8 2 2 4 4:10 -6 8
L W L D D
15 8 2 2 4 13:23 -10 8
D L L W L
16 8 2 2 4 8:18 -10 8
L D L L L
17 7 1 3 3 11:15 -4 6
D L L D W
18 8 1 3 4 11:17 -6 6
D W L D L
19 8 1 2 5 6:15 -9 5
D L W L L
20 8 0 4 4 4:13 -9 4
D L L D D
Promotion - Champions League (League phase)
Promotion - Europa League (League phase)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Relegation - LaLiga2