28.08.2026 19:30

Alaves

1 - 0

Estadio Mendizorrotza

Referee: Isidro Diaz de Mera Escuderos, Spain

Alaves vs Villarreal H2H Stats

Compare football head-to-head records, previous meetings, wins, draws, BTTS and Over 2.5 trends before reading the match prediction.

View today's football H2H stats

Alaves

Match Timeline

Villarreal

0' 15' 30' 45' 60' 75' 90'

⚽

🟨

🔄

🟨

Alaves vs Villarreal Prediction & Match Analysis

Full analysis and predictions for all markets

1X2

Home Win

Probability 60.6%

Odds -

BTTS

Yes

Probability 67.1%

Odds -

Over / Under 2.5

Over 2.5

Probability 64.5%

Odds -

All Markets

Market	Option	Probability	Odds	Stats & Analysis
1X2	Home Win	60.6%	-	▥
BTTS	Yes	67.1%	-	▥
Over / Under 2.5	Over 2.5	64.5%	-	▥
Corners O/U	Over 7.5 Corners	92%	-	▥
HT / FT	Home / Home	-	-	▥
Correct Score	2-1	-	-	▥

Probability Distribution

Alaves Win 60.6%

Draw 4.6%

Villarreal Win 34.8%

Expected Goals (xG)

Alaves1.53

Villarreal1.2

Recent Form (Last 5)

Alaves

D W D W W

9 GF / 2 GA

Villarreal

D D W W W

10 GF / 6 GA

Key Stats

1.67

Average Goals Scored

1.67

0.5

Average Goals Conceded

1.33

BTTS Yes

Over 2.5

5.5

Shots on Goal

6.5

Statistics are based on season averages

Season Statistics

Team averages and season trends before this fixture

Alaves 6 matches

Villarreal 6 matches

Alaves	Statistic	Villarreal
3	Wins	3
3	Draws	2
0	Losses	1
10	Goals For	10
3	Goals Against	8
1.67	Avg Goals Scored	1.67
0.5	Avg Goals Conceded	1.33
3	BTTS Yes	4
5	Over 1.5	5
2	Over 2.5	4
0	Over 3.5	3
3	Clean Sheets	1
0	Failed To Score	1
5.5	Shots On Goal	6.5
16.5	Total Shots	12.5
6	Corners	6.5
52%	Ball Possession	53.5%

Match Analysis

Model notes, team context and key prediction signals

H2H Analysis

Across those 15 head-to-head meetings, Alaves won 6 times, Villarreal won 6 times, while 3 matches finished as draws. The aggregate score in this matchup is 20:28 from Alaves's perspective. 11 of those games went over 2.5 goals, and both teams scored in 13 matches, with an average of 3.2 goals per game.

1X2: Home Win

BTTS: Yes

Over/Under 2.5: Over 2.5

Highest model probability: 12 (95.4%)

Predicted formations: Alaves 5-3-2 / Villarreal 4-4-2

Missing players: Alaves 1, Villarreal 0

H2H summary: Alaves wins 6, draws 3, Villarreal wins 6

Standings

Primera División

#	Team	MP	W	D	L	G	GD	PTS	Form
1	Barcelona	11	10	0	1	46:12	34	30	W L W W W
2	Atletico Madrid	11	9	1	1	22:8	14	28	W W W W W
3	Real Madrid	11	9	0	2	28:10	18	27	W W W W L
4	Real Betis	11	7	2	2	18:15	3	23	W D L W D
5	Real Sociedad	11	6	1	4	20:20	0	19	L W W W W
6	Sevilla	11	5	2	4	17:19	-2	17	L W L D L
7	Athletic Club	10	4	3	3	14:10	4	15	W W L D D
8	Deportivo La Coruna	11	3	5	3	15:14	1	14	W L D L D
9	Villarreal Away	11	3	3	5	15:15	0	12	L W D L W
10	Celta Vigo	11	2	6	3	10:10	0	12	L D W D W
11	Alaves Home	11	3	3	5	15:17	-2	12	L D L L D
12	Rayo Vallecano	10	3	3	4	15:20	-5	12	W L D D W
13	Getafe	11	3	3	5	8:16	-8	12	W L D L W
14	Espanyol	11	3	2	6	13:14	-1	11	W L L D L
15	Osasuna	11	3	2	6	11:22	-11	11	L L W L D
16	Racing Santander	11	3	2	6	15:29	-14	11	L W L D L
17	Elche	11	2	4	5	14:18	-4	10	L W D D W
18	Levante	11	2	4	5	16:21	-5	10	L L W D D
19	Valencia	11	2	3	6	8:17	-9	9	W L D D L
20	Malaga	11	0	5	6	8:21	-13	5	L D L D L

Promotion - Champions League (League phase)

Promotion - Europa League (League phase)

Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)

Relegation - LaLiga2